Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
138 PM CDT Mon May 4 2026
NDZ001>005-009-010-012-013-017>020-022-023-025-031>033-035>037-
040>044-046>048-050-051-055>062-051845-
Divide-Burke-Renville-Bottineau-Rolette-Williams-Mountrail-
McHenry-Pierce-McKenzie-Dunn-Mercer-Oliver-Sheridan-Wells-Foster-
Golden Valley-Billings-Stark-Burleigh-Kidder-Stutsman-Slope-
Hettinger-Grant-Bowman-Adams-Emmons-Logan-La Moure-McIntosh-
Dickey-Northwest Ward-Central and Southern Ward/Minot Area-
Western McLean-Eastern McLean-Western Morton-Eastern Morton-
Western Sioux-Eastern Sioux-
138 PM CDT Mon May 4 2026 /1238 PM MDT Mon May 4 2026/
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
North Dakota, northwest North Dakota, south central North Dakota,
southeast North Dakota, and southwest North Dakota.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
Near critical fire weather conditions today.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotters are asked to provide reports to the NWS using standard
procedures, including through our social media accounts.
$$
Telken
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
132 PM CDT Mon May 4 2026
WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-051845-
Vilas-Oneida-Forest-Florence-Northern Marinette County-Lincoln-
Langlade-Menominee-Northern Oconto County-Door-Marathon-Shawano-
Wood-Portage-Waupaca-Outagamie-Brown-Kewaunee-Waushara-Winnebago-
Calumet-Manitowoc-Southern Marinette County-
Southern Oconto County-
132 PM CDT Mon May 4 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north-central and northeast
Wisconsin.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
Temperatures in the mid 60s to mid 70s, wind gusts of 35 to 40
mph, and min RH values of 20-30 percent will result in elevated
fire weather conditions through early this evening, especially
where fine fuels are dried out and green up is not as advanced.
A few thunderstorms are possible late this afternoon, especially
from the southern Fox Valley to the lakeshore. Severe weather is
not expected, but a stronger storm could produce wind gusts of
40-50 mph.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
The potential for frost/freeze headlines will return beginning
Tuesday night.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed this afternoon or tonight.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
132 PM CDT Mon May 4 2026
LMZ521-522-541>543-051845-
The Bay of Green Bay south of a line from Cedar River MI to Rock
Island Passage-Lake Michigan from Washington Island to Sheboygan-
132 PM CDT Mon May 4 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest Lake
Michigan and the waters of Green Bay.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
Conditions hazardous for small craft are expected through this
evening on the bay and Lake Michigan.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
$$
Kurimski
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service New York NY
222 PM EDT Mon May 4 2026
ANZ332-345-350-353-355-051830-
Long Island Sound East of the Mouth of the Connecticut River-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 NM-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 NM-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 NM-
222 PM EDT Mon May 4 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Gale conditions are possible very late in the day Tuesday and into a
portion of Tuesday night.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.
Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
214 PM EDT Mon May 4 2026
MIZ016>018-020>036-041-042-086>088-095>099-051815-
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency-
Alpena-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-
Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac-
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix-
214 PM EDT Mon May 4 2026
This hazardous weather outlook is for Eastern Upper Michigan and
Northern Lower Michigan.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
A Red Flag Warning is in place across northern lower Michigan
today. Please see the Red Flag Warning for additional details.
There is a slight chance of non-severe thunderstorms this afternoon
and evening.
Localized flooding will linger near rivers, lakes, and poor
drainage areas.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Frost/freeze conditions return Tuesday night and continue each
night through the remainder of the week.
Localized flooding will linger near rivers, lakes, and poor
drainage areas.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected.
For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
214 PM EDT Mon May 4 2026
LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-051815-
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
214 PM EDT Mon May 4 2026
This hazardous weather outlook is for the northern Michigan
nearshore waters of Lake Huron, Lake Michigan and Lake Superior.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
Gale force wind gusts are expected today across Lake Michigan and
the Straits of Mackinac. Please see the latest Gale Warning for
additional details.
There is a slight chance of non-severe thunderstorms this afternoon
and evening.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated.
For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
114 PM CDT Mon May 4 2026
WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-051815-
Marquette-Green Lake-Fond du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge-
Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee-
Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha-
114 PM CDT Mon May 4 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central
Wisconsin, south central Wisconsin and southeast Wisconsin.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
Special weather statement in effect for all of southern Wisconsin
today for elevated fire weather concerns given warm and dry
conditions with very breezy winds.
Scattered thunderstorms are forecast along a cold front this
afternoon and evening. Some isolated strong wind gusts will be
possible with these storms.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
There is more potential for frost during the middle to late
portions of the week.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
114 PM CDT Mon May 4 2026
LMZ643>646-051815-
Sheboygan to Port Washington WI-
Port Washington to North Point Light WI-
North Point Light to Wind Point WI-
Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL-
114 PM CDT Mon May 4 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the nearshore waters from
Sheboygan Wisconsin to Winthrop Harbor Illinois.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
Gusty southwest winds will reach Small Craft Advisory levels
again today.
Scattered thunderstorms are forecast along a cold front this
afternoon and evening. Some isolated strong wind gusts will be
possible with these storms.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
114 PM CDT Mon May 4 2026
LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-669-671-673-675-777-779-868-
870-872-874-876-878-051815-
Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to
mid-line of lake.-
Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the
Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South
Fox Island 5NM offshore-
Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to
mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM
offshore to mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Sheboygan to Port Washington WI 5NM offshore
to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Port Washington to North Point Light WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Whitehall to Pentwater MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Grand Haven to Whitehall MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid
lake-
Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
114 PM CDT Mon May 4 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the open waters of Lake Michigan.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
A Gale Warning is in effect over the northern one third of Lake
Michigan from 10 AM to 4 PM CDT today for gusty south to
southwest winds.
Scattered thunderstorms are forecast along a cold front this
afternoon and evening.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
$$
www.weather.gov/mkx
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
103 PM CDT Mon May 4 2026
OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-050615-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
103 PM CDT Mon May 4 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.
Elevated fire weather conditions are expected this afternoon across
most of the Texas Panhandle due to breezy and dry conditions.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Isolated thunderstorms are possible across the northern Texas and
Oklahoma Panhandles on Tuesday afternoon and evening.
Frost or freeze conditions will be possible Thursday morning
across the central and northern combined Panhandles.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1202 PM MDT Mon May 4 2026
COZ058>089-093>099-051815-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1202 PM MDT Mon May 4 2026
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
Elevated fire weather conditions are forecast across Huerfano, Las
Animas and Baca Counties due to gusty winds and marginal humidity
values near 15 percent. Caution is advised with any outdoor
burning activities this afternoon.
Showers and high elevation snow will spread along the Continental
Divide, northeast into the Palmer Divide this afternoon and evening.
Spotty snow along the Continental Divide of an inch or two may be
possible. A couple of lightning strikes are possible along the
Continental Divide. Showers will spread south across the Plains
late tonight.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
An upper storm system will move across southern Colorado Tuesday and
Wednesday. Widespread moderate to heavy rainfall and higher
elevation snow is forecast Tuesday, with colder air spreading
into the region Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. This will
bring snow levels down to 5000 to 6000 feet by Wednesday morning.
Several inches of snow are forecast across the Mountains, and into
northern El Paso County Tuesday night and Wednesday. Heavy, wet
snow on trees and power lines could cause damage and power
outages. Winter Weather Advisories have been issued for the
mountains and northern El Paso County. Precipitation will come to
an end Wednesday evening.
Very cold air will spread across the Plains by Thursday morning with
temperatures in the 20s and lower 30s. Precautions should be taken
to protect sensitive vegetation and exposed sprinkler.
A few light snow showers will be possible over the Central Mountains
Thursday through Sunday. A few thunderstorms may be possible on
Saturday afternoon and evening on the Plains.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters will not be needed today or tonight.
$$
EHR/88
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
1247 PM CDT Mon May 4 2026
KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-051800-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
1247 PM CDT Mon May 4 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Kansas, east central
Kansas, north central Kansas and northeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
Storm chances increase this evening. A few storms could become
severe with mainly a large hail with damaging wind threat.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER MESSAGE
Weather spotters are encouraged to relay reports of hail, damaging
wind, tornadoes and flooding.
&&
More detailed information can be found at:
www.weather.gov/media/top/DssPacket.pdf
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1217 PM CDT Mon May 4 2026
ARZ001-002-010-011-119-120-129-219-220-229-OKZ049-053-055>071-
073>075-154-172-176-254-272-276-354-376-051730-
Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Northern Crawford-
Northern Franklin-North and Central Sebastian-Southern Crawford-
Central and Southern Franklin-Southern Sebastian-Pushmataha-
Choctaw-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-
Mayes-Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Cherokee-Adair-
Muskogee-McIntosh-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer-Western Osage-
Northern Sequoyah-Northern Le Flore-Northeast Osage-
Central and Southern Sequoyah-Central Le Flore-Southeast Osage-
Southern Le Flore-
1217 PM CDT Mon May 4 2026
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Early Evening.
SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.
FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Western Osage and Pawnee counties.
ONSET...Ongoing.
DISCUSSION...
Isolated thunderstorms may develop late this afternoon along the
dryline to the west of the area that could move eastward into
eastern Oklahoma during the evening hours. Additional
thunderstorms will likely develop during the late evening and
overnight primarily across parts of northeast Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas in response to the low level jet. Both the
dryline storms and low level jet storms will pose a threat for
severe hail, with locally damaging wind potential primarily with
dryline storms.
South to southwest winds gusting in the 30 to 40 mph range will
continue through the afternoon areawide, leading to locally
limited fire spread conditions in parts of Osage and Pawnee
counties.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm and High Wind Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...No Hazards.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm and Heavy Rain Potential.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Scattered storms are expected to redevelop by late Tuesday
afternoon from portions of northwest Arkansas into far southeast
Oklahoma along an advancing cold front. These storms will carry an
elevated severe threat, with large hail and locally damaging wind
the main hazards. The storms are expected to move quickly east of
the forecast area by early to mid evening. Some storms may
develop behind the front, possibly as far north as northeast
Oklahoma during the day Tuesday, but these storms will carry a
very limited severe threat.
Storms may develop on the cool side of the front Wednesday across
far southeast Oklahoma into west central Arkansas. These storms
would carry a limited large hail risk. After a period of quiet
weather from Wednesday night through Friday, additional
thunderstorm chances return by next weekend with another
disturbance moving into the Plains.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1211 PM CDT Mon May 4 2026
NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-051715-
Sheridan-Eastern Cherry-Keya Paha-Boyd-Brown-Rock-Holt-Garden-Grant-
Hooker-Thomas-Blaine-Loup-Garfield-Wheeler-Arthur-McPherson-Logan-
Custer-Deuel-Keith-Perkins-Lincoln-Chase-Hayes-Frontier-
Western Cherry-
1211 PM CDT Mon May 4 2026 /1111 AM MDT Mon May 4 2026/
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central Nebraska.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
Elevated to near critical fire conditions are possible this afternoon
as RH values drop under 20 percent and northerly winds gust to near
30 to 35 mph.
Isolated thunderstorms are possible this afternoon through the
evening. The severe potential remains low at this time.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Additional thunderstorms are expected on Saturday night. The severe
risk is uncertain at this time.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
1149 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026
ILZ027>031-036>038-040>057-061-051100-
Knox-Stark-Peoria-Marshall-Woodford-Fulton-Tazewell-McLean-Schuyler-
Mason-Logan-De Witt-Piatt-Champaign-Vermilion-Cass-Menard-Scott-
Morgan-Sangamon-Christian-Macon-Moultrie-Douglas-Coles-Edgar-Shelby-
1149 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Illinois, east
central Illinois and west central Illinois.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
Gusty winds of 30 to 40 mph will combine with loose top soil to
create areas of blowing dust this afternoon. This is most likely
north of I-72 and Danville, where morning rainfall was minimal. The
blowing dust may reduce visibilities to less than 1/2 mile at times.
Conditions should improve around 7 pm when wind speeds are reduced.
Scattered thunderstorms are expected late afternoon into tonight, as
a cold front sweeps through the area. Some of these may be severe,
with hail being the primary concern. Most of the hail should be the
size of quarters, but west central Illinois may see some as large as
golf balls.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
A few thunderstorms may linger into Tuesday over east central
Illinois, though severe weather is not expected.
Minor flooding will continue along the Illinois River from Havana to
Beardstown into early next week, though river levels will slowly fall
during this period.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be needed after 7 pm.
Expected storm motion is toward the east at 45 mph.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
1149 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026
ILZ062-063-066>068-071>073-051100-
Cumberland-Clark-Effingham-Jasper-Crawford-Clay-Richland-Lawrence-
1149 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Illinois and
southeast Illinois.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
Scattered thunderstorms will redevelop this afternoon, and continue
into tonight. A few of the storms may be strong or locally severe,
with damaging gusts up to 60 mph and hail up to 1 inch the primary
severe weather threat.
Lingering flooding on the lower Embarras River and Wabash River
should subside today.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Thunderstorms are still possible Tuesday into Tuesday evening.
Severe weather is not expected with any of these storms at this
time.
Minor flooding on the Little Wabash River near Clay City will
continue for several more days.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be needed this evening.
Expected storm motion is toward the east at 45 mph.
$$
Geelhart
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville IL
1142 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026
ILZ003>006-008-010>013-019>021-023-032-033-039-103>108-INZ001-002-
010-011-019-051645-
Winnebago-Boone-McHenry-Lake IL-Ogle-Lee-De Kalb-Kane-DuPage-
La Salle-Kendall-Grundy-Kankakee-Livingston-Iroquois-Ford-
Northern Cook-Central Cook-Southern Cook-Northern Will-
Southern Will-Eastern Will-Lake IN-Porter-Newton-Jasper-Benton-
1142 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026 /1242 PM EDT Mon May 4 2026/
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
Illinois...northeast Illinois and northwest Indiana.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Elevated Thunderstorm Risk...with an associated:
Level 2 of 5 Damaging Wind Risk...up to 60 mph.
Level 2 of 5 Large Hail Risk...up to 1 inch in diameter.
Limited Blowing Dusk Risk South of Interstate 80.
DISCUSSION...
This afternoon, strong southwest winds and dry conditions may lead
to areas of blowing dust near agricultural areas south of
Interstate 80.
Scattered thunderstorms may produce locally damaging winds and
hail this evening.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotters activation is not anticipated at this time.
GENERAL STORM MOTION OF THE DAY:
Moving toward the east at 35 to 40 mph.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville IL
1142 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026
LMZ740>745-051645-
Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL-
Wilmette Harbor to Northerly Island IL-
Northerly Island to Calumet Harbor IL-
Calumet Harbor IL to Gary IN-Gary to Burns Harbor IN-
Burns Harbor to Michigan City IN-
1142 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Illinois
nearshore waters of Lake Michigan and the Indiana nearshore
waters of Lake Michigan.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Hazardous conditions for small craft are expected.
Limited Thunderstorm Risk...with an associated:
Level 1 of 5 Thunderstorm Wind Gust Risk...up to 50 knots.
Level 1 of 5 Hail Risk...up to 1 inch in diameter.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
$$
Borchardt
Visit us at www.weather.gov/chicago
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1122 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026
TXZ021>044-051630-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-Floyd-
Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-Yoakum-
Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
1122 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling
Plains, and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
Elevated fire weather conditions will continue this afternoon across
most of the region due to the combination of strong breezes and low
relative humidity. A Fire Danger Statement is in effect until 9 PM
this evening.
An isolated thunderstorm or two may develop over the far southern
Texas Panhandle late this afternoon into this evening. Strong wind
gusts will be possible near any storm activity.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Elevated fire weather conditions will be possible Tuesday and
Wednesday, mainly over southern and western portions of the Caprock.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
947 AM MDT Mon May 4 2026
COZ090>092-KSZ001>003-013>015-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-051600-
Yuma-Kit Carson-Cheyenne CO-Cheyenne KS-Rawlins-Decatur-Sherman-
Thomas-Sheridan-Wallace-Logan-Gove-Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-
Red Willow-
947 AM MDT Mon May 4 2026 /1047 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026/
This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska...
northwest Kansas and east central Colorado.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
Scattered storms this afternoon and early evening are forecast to
move across the region. Hail up to one inch and patchy blowing dust
reducing visibility to a mile would be the primary hazards with these
storms.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
Tuesday night through Wednesday, a rain/snow mix is forecast along
and west of Kansas 27. Visibility down to 1 mile and light
accumulations of snow may lead to slick and hazardous conditions.
Tuesday and Wednesday nights, temperatures are forecast to cool into
the mid 20s to lower 30s. Sensitive vegetation may be impacted by
freezing temperatures.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Active weather across portions of the Tri-State Area is anticipated.
Spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
947 AM MDT Mon May 4 2026
KSZ004-016-051600-
Norton-Graham-
1047 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026
This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest Kansas.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
Scattered storms this afternoon and early evening are forecast to
move across the region. Hail up to one inch and patchy blowing dust
reducing visibility to a mile would be the primary hazards with these
storms.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
Tuesday and Wednesday nights, temperatures are forecast to cool into
the mid 20s to lower 30s. Sensitive vegetation may be impacted by
freezing temperatures.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Active weather across portions of the Tri-State Area is anticipated.
Spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service St Louis MO
555 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026
ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-051100-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
555 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.
.DAYS ONE THROUGH SEVEN...Today through Sunday.
More detailed information can be accessed at:
https://www.weather.gov/media/lsx/DssPacket.pdf
The Area Forecast Discussion is available at:
https://forecast.weather.gov/
product.php?issuedby=LSX&product=AFD&site=lsx
.KEY MESSAGES...
- A storm or two will be capable of primarily large hail for areas
north
of I-70 this evening.
- Periods of rain are expected (100% chance) tonight through Tuesday
night. The threat of flooding is very low.
- Below normal temperatures are expected Tuesday through Thursday.
NOTE: Starting May 29, 2026, this outlook product will be
discontinued. Please see the above products for more detailed
forecast information.
$$
WFO LSX
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
0508 AM CDT Mon May 04 2026
KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-051008-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
0508 AM CDT Mon May 04 2026
This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Another warm and breezy day expected today.
- Additional storms are expected tonight, some of which could
produce large hail and straight line winds.
- Cooler, showery weather expected Tuesday - Wednesday.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
443 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026
IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-057>062-070>075-
081>086-092>097-050945-
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Sac-Calhoun-
Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Black Hawk-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-
Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Polk-Jasper-
Poweshiek-Cass-Adair-Madison-Warren-Marion-Mahaska-Adams-Union-
Clarke-Lucas-Monroe-Wapello-Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-
Appanoose-Davis-
443 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight
Thunderstorm chances return late this afternoon to evening,
mainly across southeast Iowa. A few storms could be strong to
severe, with hail and gusty winds the primary threats.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
Frost or freeze conditions are possible Tuesday night, mainly in
northern to northwest Iowa.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be needed this evening.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
512 AM EDT Mon May 4 2026
NCZ196-204-050915-
East Carteret-Ocracoke Island-
512 AM EDT Mon May 4 2026
...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT THROUGH
THIS EVENING...
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Moderate Rip Current Risk.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
512 AM EDT Mon May 4 2026
NCZ203-205-050915-
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
512 AM EDT Mon May 4 2026
...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Moderate Rip Current Risk.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
350 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026
IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-
098-NEZ013-014-SDZ038>040-050-052>071-050900-
Lyon-Osceola-Dickinson-Sioux-O`Brien-Clay-Plymouth-Cherokee-
Buena Vista-Woodbury-Ida-Lincoln-Murray-Cottonwood-Nobles-Jackson-
Pipestone-Rock-Dixon-Dakota-Beadle-Kingsbury-Brookings-Gregory-
Jerauld-Sanborn-Miner-Lake-Moody-Brule-Aurora-Davison-Hanson-McCook-
Minnehaha-Charles Mix-Douglas-Hutchinson-Turner-Bon Homme-Yankton-
Union-
350 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Iowa, west central
Iowa, southwest Minnesota, northeast Nebraska, central South
Dakota, east central South Dakota, south central South Dakota and
southeast South Dakota.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
North winds will increase behind a cool front today, with gusts of
30 to 35 mph expected this afternoon. If sprinkles or light rain
showers develop along and behind the front, isolated stronger gusts
of 40 to 45 mph will be possible.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Areas of frost or near-freezing temperatures return to portions of
the Highway 14 corridor early Tuesday, and could expand farther south
again by early Wednesday and Thursday. If you have sensitive outdoor
plants, continue to monitor the forecast through the coming days.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
344 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026
KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-050845-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
344 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central Kansas,
east central Kansas, south central Kansas and southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected by early this evening,
persisting into the overnight hours. While widespread severe
weather is unlikely, the strongest activity will be capable of dime
to quarter size hail and 50 to 60 mph winds.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
Periodic showers with a few embedded thunderstorms are possible
across the region Tuesday through Wednesday, but severe weather is
not expected with this activity. Storms will then return for the
Saturday night through Sunday time frame.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.
&&
For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
342 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026
ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-050845-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
342 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026 /442 AM EDT Mon May 4 2026/
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
A few early morning thunderstorms are forecast in the Evansville
Tri-State area through dawn.
A Lake Wind Advisory has been issued for southwest winds of 15 to
25 mph with gusts of 25 to 35 mph late morning through late
afternoon.
Breezy winds, along with relative humidity down to around 30% and
dry soils, will result in elevated fire weather conditions today.
A few thunderstorms are possible this afternoon to early evening
along the I-64 corridor, with more widespread activity moving in
late tonight.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
Showers and thunderstorms are forecast Tuesday through Wednesday
with the best chance for storms overall Tuesday to Tuesday night.
A few strong to severe storms are possible, mainly in Southeast
Missouri and far Western Kentucky Tuesday afternoon and evening.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed.
$$
ATL
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
231 AM MDT Mon May 4 2026
COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-051200-
Lower Yampa River Basin-Central Yampa River Basin-
Roan and Tavaputs Plateaus-Elkhead and Park Mountains-
Upper Yampa River Basin-Grand Valley-Debeque to Silt Corridor-
Central Colorado River Basin-Grand and Battlement Mesas-
Gore and Elk Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys-
Central Gunnison and Uncompahgre River Basin-
West Elk and Sawatch Mountains-Flat Tops-Upper Gunnison River Valley-
Uncompahgre Plateau and Dallas Divide-Northwest San Juan Mountains-
Southwest San Juan Mountains-Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River-
Four Corners/Upper Dolores River-Animas River Basin-
San Juan River Basin-Southeast Utah-Eastern Uinta Mountains-
Eastern Uinta Basin-Tavaputs Plateau-Arches/Grand Flat-
La Sal and Abajo Mountains-Canyonlands/Natural Bridges-
231 AM MDT Mon May 4 2026
On Sunday, May 10, 2026, the Hazardous Weather Outlook will no
longer be created or updated.
The product has been replaced by a graphical version that is
available on our webpage at weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=gjt
Any questions on the change can be directed to
nws.grandjunction@noaa.gov
____________________________________________________________________
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Colorado, southwest
Colorado, west central Colorado, east central Utah, northeast Utah
and southeast Utah.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Showers will move across the area from south to north today with some
afternoon thunderstorms possible. Some light snow will also be
possible later tonight above 10,000 feet.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Showers will favor areas north of the I-70 corridor with some higher
elevation snow expected. A cold front will then drop down from the
north Tuesday evening into Wednesday bringing another round of precip
with accumulating higher elevation snowfall and valley rain. Another
system may bring more precip for the weekend.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
320 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026
IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-050830-
Buchanan-Delaware-Dubuque-Benton-Linn-Jones-Jackson-Iowa-Johnson-
Cedar-Clinton-Muscatine-Scott-Keokuk-Washington-Louisa-Jefferson-
Henry IA-Des Moines-Van Buren-Lee-Jo Daviess-Stephenson-Carroll-
Whiteside-Rock Island-Henry IL-Bureau-Putnam-Mercer-Henderson-
Warren-Hancock-McDonough-Scotland-Clark-
320 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
Illinois...northwest Illinois...west central Illinois...east
central Iowa...northeast Iowa...southeast Iowa and northeast
Missouri.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
Winds gusting up to 30 mph combined with warm temperatures and low
humidity levels will create an elevated fire risk today. Avoid or
delay any outdoor burning.
The Storm Prediction Center has a marginal, level 1 out of 5, risk
for severe storms this afternoon and evening.
Low level moisture is limited so storm initiation may not occur until
4 to 6 PM. Once storms develop, hail and damaging winds will be
the primary risks.
The overall time frame for strong to severe storms is 4 to 10 PM
this afternoon and evening.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is possible late this afternoon and evening.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
403 AM EDT Mon May 4 2026
OHZ003-006>010-017>019-027>030-036-037-047-050815-
Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Wyandot-
Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Marion-Morrow-Knox-
403 AM EDT Mon May 4 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio and
northwest Ohio.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible this
afternoon and evening. A storm or two could become strong to severe
with damaging winds and large hail being the primary hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Riverton WY
200 AM MDT Mon May 4 2026
WYZ001>020-022>030-051200-
Yellowstone National Park-Absaroka Mountains-Cody Foothills-
North Bighorn Basin-Southwest Bighorn Basin-Southeast Bighorn Basin-
Owl Creek and Bridger Mountains-Bighorn Mountains West-
Bighorn Mountains Southeast-Northeast Johnson County-
Southeast Johnson County-Teton and Gros Ventre Mountains-
Jackson Hole-Wind River Mountains West-Wind River Mountains East-
Upper Wind River Basin-Wind River Basin-Lander Foothills-
Green Mountains and Rattlesnake Range-
Natrona County Lower Elevations-Casper Mountain-Star Valley-
Salt River and Wyoming Ranges-Upper Green River Basin Foothills-
Upper Green River Basin-South Lincoln County-
Rock Springs and Green River-Flaming Gorge-East Sweetwater County-
200 AM MDT Mon May 4 2026
...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Western and Central Wyoming.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Scattered showers expected Monday afternoon with mountain snow into
the overnight hours becoming more widespread.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Valley rain/mountain snow Monday and Tuesday with additional chances
Thursday into Friday. Below freezing temperatures for lower
elevations Tuesday night.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Marquette MI
359 AM EDT Mon May 4 2026
LSZ162-240>251-263>267-050800-
Lake Superior west of a line from Saxon Harbor WI to Grand
Portage MN beyond 5NM-Saxon Harbor WI to Black River MI-
Black River to Ontonagon MI-
Ontonagon to Upper Entrance of Portage Canal MI-
Upper Entrance of Portage Canal to Eagle River MI-
Eagle River to Manitou Island MI-
Manitou Island to Point Isabelle MI-
Point Isabelle to Lower Entrance of Portage Canal MI-
Lower Entrance of Portage Canal To Huron Islands MI Including
Keweenaw and Huron Bays-Huron Islands to Marquette MI-
Marquette to Munising MI-Munising to Grand Marais MI-
Grand Marais to Whitefish Point MI-
Lake Superior from Saxon Harbor WI to Upper Entrance to Portage
Canal MI 5NM off shore to the US/Canadian border including Isle
Royale National Park-
Lake Superior from Upper Entrance to Portage Canal to Manitou
Island MI 5NM off shore to the US/Canadian Border-
Lake Superior West of Line from Manitou Island to Marquette MI
Beyond 5NM from shore-
Lake Superior East of a line from Manitou Island to Marquette MI
and West of a line from Grand Marais MI to the US/Canadian Border
Beyond 5NM from shore-
Lake Superior from Grand Marais MI to Whitefish Point MI 5NM off
shore to the US/Canadian border-
359 AM EDT Mon May 4 2026 /259 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026/
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Central Lake
Superior...Eastern Lake Superior and Western Lake Superior.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
A Gale Warning has been issued for the waters along and north of
the Keweenaw this afternoon. Refer to the latest Marine Weather
Message for details
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
The need for weather spotter reports is not anticipated at this
time.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Marquette MI
359 AM EDT Mon May 4 2026
MIZ001>007-009>014-084-085-050800-
Keweenaw-Ontonagon-Northern Houghton-Baraga-Marquette-Alger-Luce-
Gogebic-Iron-Dickinson-Menominee-Delta-Southern Schoolcraft-
Southern Houghton-Northern Schoolcraft-
359 AM EDT Mon May 4 2026 /259 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026/
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Upper
Michigan and western Upper Michigan.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
There is a slight chance (15%) for thunderstorms across the
eastern U.P. this afternoon.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
The need for weather spotter reports is not anticipated at this
time.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Duluth MN
257 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026
LSZ121-140>148-150-050800-
Bayfield to Oak Point WI-Grand Portage to Grand Marais MN-
Grand Marais to Taconite Harbor MN-
Taconite Harbor to Silver Bay Harbor MN-
Silver Bay Harbor to Two Harbors MN-Two Harbors to Duluth MN-
Duluth MN to Port Wing WI-Port Wing to Sand Island WI-
Sand Island to Bayfield WI-Oak Point to Saxon Harbor WI-
Outer Apostle Islands Beyond 5 NM from Mainland-
257 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Superior
and the Nearshore waters of western Lake Superior.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Gusty westerly winds to 30 knots, locally to 35 knots possible
near Grand Marais, build wave heights and and create hazardous
conditions for Small Craft.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
The National Weather Service in Duluth, MN is proposing to
discontinue the Hazardous Weather Outlook product on or around
May 11 2026 because it is a redundant product. Please note that
no other products including forecasts, warnings, and NOAA Weather
Radio will be changing, only the Hazardous Weather Outlook
product is proposed to be discontinued. Feedback on the proposal
to discontinue the Hazardous Weather Outlook is open through May
11. Please email nws.duluth@noaa.gov with your feedback. Again to
repeat, NOAA Weather Radio is not going away and we will continue
to issue forecasts and warnings.
$$
NLy
More information may be obtained at the following web address:
http://www.weather.gov/duluth
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Duluth MN
257 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026
MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033>038-WIZ001>004-006>009-050800-
Koochiching-North St. Louis-Northern Cook/Northern Lake-
North Itasca-Central St. Louis-Southern Lake/North Shore-
Southern Cook/North Shore-North Cass-South Itasca-South Cass-
Crow Wing-Northern Aitkin-South Aitkin-Carlton/South St. Louis-
Pine-Douglas-Bayfield-Ashland-Iron-Burnett-Washburn-Sawyer-Price-
257 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northeast
Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Strong westerly winds gusting around 40 mph are possible.
Localized minor flooding continues in portions of the Minnesota
Arrowhead, especially inland from Lake Superior along the North
Shore towards Ely and along the International Border. A Flood
Advisory is in effect, as well as a River Flood Warning along the
South Kawishiwi River.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
Localized minor flooding continues in portions of the Minnesota
Arrowhead this week.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Skywarn spotter activation will not be needed today or tonight.
The National Weather Service in Duluth, MN is proposing to
discontinue the Hazardous Weather Outlook product on or around
May 11 2026 because it is a redundant product. Please note that
no other products including forecasts, warnings, and NOAA Weather
Radio will be changing, only the Hazardous Weather Outlook
product is proposed to be discontinued. Feedback on the proposal
to discontinue the Hazardous Weather Outlook is open through May
11. Please email nws.duluth@noaa.gov with your feedback. Again to
repeat, NOAA Weather Radio is not going away and we will continue
to issue forecasts and warnings.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
351 AM EDT Mon May 4 2026
NYZ009-015>018-023-025-036-037-044>046-050800-
Northern Oneida-Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-Schuyler-
Tompkins-Madison-Southern Oneida-Cortland-Chenango-Otsego-
351 AM EDT Mon May 4 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
A few severe thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday afternoon and
evening. Damaging winds will be the main threat from these storms.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures. Please relay
any information about severe weather to the NWS.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
336 AM EDT Mon May 4 2026
LCZ460-LEZ444-LHZ361>363-421-422-441>443-462>464-050745-
Lake St Clair-
Michigan Waters of Lake Erie from Detroit River to North Cape MI-
Lake Huron from 5NM east of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Lt
beyond 5 NM off shore-
Lake Huron from Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Point MI beyond 5NM
off shore-
Lake Huron from Sturgeon Point to Alabaster MI beyond 5NM off shore-
Outer Saginaw Bay SW of Alabaster to Port Austin MI to Inner Saginaw
Bay-Inner Saginaw Bay SW of Point Au Gres to Bay Port MI-
Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI-Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac MI-
Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI-
Lake Huron from Port Austin to Harbor Beach beyond 5NM Off Shore-
Lake Huron from Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac beyond 5NM Off Shore-
Lake Huron from Port Sanilac to Port Huron beyond 5NM Off Shore-
336 AM EDT Mon May 4 2026
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake
Huron and Lake St Clair.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
There is a chance of thunderstorms after 6 PM, mainly south of Port
Huron. The strongest storms will be capable of producing wind gusts
to 40 knots and hail to a half inch in diameter as they move
northeast at 25 knots. The thunderstorms will develop in advance of a
slow moving cold front.
Small craft advisories remain in effect for Saginaw Bay today. Please
refer to the latest nearshore marine forecast for details.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed today and tonight.
$$
You can obtain your latest National Weather Service forecasts online
at www.weather.gov/detroit.
SC
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
336 AM EDT Mon May 4 2026
MIZ047>049-053>055-060>062-050745-
Midland-Bay-Huron-Saginaw-Tuscola-Sanilac-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer-
336 AM EDT Mon May 4 2026
This hazardous weather outlook is for southeast Michigan.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
There is an elevated risk for wildfires today due to warm
temperatures, dry air and gusty winds.
There is a slight chance of thunderstorms tonight, mainly after 10
PM. Severe weather is not expected with the main severe weather risk
being hail to a half inch in diameter and wind gusts to 40 MPH.
Thunderstorm motion will be northeast at 40 MPH. A cold front will
result in the chance for thunderstorms.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed today and tonight.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
336 AM EDT Mon May 4 2026
MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-050745-
St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
336 AM EDT Mon May 4 2026
This hazardous weather outlook is for southeast Michigan.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Scattered thunderstorms are expected this evening into the overnight.
There is a slight chance for strong to severe thunderstorms, after 6
PM. The strongest storms will be capable of producing hail a half
inch to one inch in diameter and wind gusts of 45 to 60 MPH. Storm
motion will be to the northeast at 30 MPH. Thunderstorms will occur
in advance of a cold front set to move across the area tonight.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight due to the isolated
nature of the severe weather risk.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
235 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026
IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ017-029-
032>034-041>044-053>055-061-051145-
Mitchell-Howard-Winneshiek-Allamakee-Floyd-Chickasaw-Fayette-
Clayton-Wabasha-Dodge-Olmsted-Winona-Mower-Fillmore-Houston-
Taylor-Clark-Buffalo-Trempealeau-Jackson-La Crosse-Monroe-Juneau-
Adams-Vernon-Crawford-Richland-Grant-
235 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast
Minnesota...northeast Iowa and southwest into central Wisconsin.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Elevated fire weather conditions are expected areawide from mid-
morning through the late afternoon hours.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
Frost and/or freeze conditions may return Monday through Friday
nights.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
No action needed.
.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...
No webinar is scheduled.
$$
APF
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Hastings NE
217 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026
KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
050730-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
217 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Near-Critical fire weather conditions are possible for areas along
and south of Interstate 80 in Nebraska during the afternoon to
early evening hours due to the combination of northerly winds
gusting 20-30mph and low humidity.
Scattered thunderstorms are possible during the evening to
overnight hours. A few storms along the Nebraska Kansas border
could be capable of producing small hail and gusty winds during
the evening hours.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Frost is possible across portions of the area Wednesday night into
Thursday morning.
&&
More information may be obtained at the following web page:
https://www.weather.gov/hastings
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
210 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-050715-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
210 AM CDT Mon May 4 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Marginal hail risk.
Marginal thunderstorm wind damage risk.
Elevated lightning risk.
Limited non thunderstorm wind risk.
Elevated fire weather risk.
DISCUSSION...
Gusty southerly winds will occur this morning into this evening
with gusts up to around 35 mph at times.
There is a low chance for an isolated thunderstorm across central
Missouri late this morning into this afternoon but most locations
should remain dry.
Showers and thunderstorms will move southeast through the area
late this evening into Tuesday morning as a front moves into the
region. A few strong to severe storms will be possible, with hail
to the size of quarters and damaging winds up to 60 mph the main
risks.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Showers and thunderstorms will likely be ongoing across portions
of the area as a front moves through the area. Instability will
develop south of the front Tuesday afternoon, generally south of
I-44 where additional strong to severe storms will be possible.
Hail up to the size of half dollars and damaging winds to 60 mph
will be the main risks with a few of the strongest storms Tuesday
afternoon.
Showers and a few non-severe storms will linger across the area
Tuesday evening into Tuesday night.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
&&
More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket
This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf
$$
Wise
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
258 AM EDT Mon May 4 2026
INZ050-058-059-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>055-060>062-050700-
Wayne-Fayette-Union-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-Darke-Shelby-Logan-
Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark-Madison-Franklin-Preble-Montgomery-
Greene-
258 AM EDT Mon May 4 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Indiana, central
Ohio and west central Ohio.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Any thunderstorms that are able to develop during the late afternoon
and early evening will be capable of producing isolated strong to
damaging wind gusts. The most likely time frame for thunderstorms is
expected from 4 pm to 9 pm.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
250 AM EDT Mon May 4 2026
INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-050700-
Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Clinton-Howard-Fountain-Montgomery-Boone-
Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph-Vermillion-Parke-Putnam-
Hendricks-Marion-Hancock-Henry-Vigo-Clay-Owen-Morgan-Johnson-Shelby-
Rush-Sullivan-Greene-Monroe-Brown-Bartholomew-Decatur-Knox-Daviess-
Martin-Lawrence-Jackson-Jennings-
250 AM EDT Mon May 4 2026
This hazardous weather outlook is for central Indiana.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Thunderstorms are possible today and tonight. An isolated severe
thunderstorm cannot be ruled out. The main threats would be large
hail and damaging wind. Lightning is a threat from any thunderstorm,
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Thunderstorms are possible at times on Tuesday. Widespread severe
weather is not expected but an isolated severe storm cannot be ruled
out.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated.
&&
More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate
information can be found at http://weather.gov/ind
$$
JP
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson KY
226 AM EDT Mon May 4 2026
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-050630-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-
Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
226 AM EDT Mon May 4 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
There is a low chance of thunderstorms today, primarily this morning.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Thunderstorms are possible at times from late Tuesday through
Thursday, and again on Saturday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
GEERTSON | 
