Amarillo, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

539
FXUS64 KAMA 121752
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1252 PM CDT Sat Sep 12 2026

...New KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1243 PM CDT Sat Sep 12 2026

-Severe thunderstorm potential exists this afternoon and evening
 with the primary hazards being from damaging wind gusts upwards
 of 75mph and hail.

-A weather pattern shift will occur next week that has potential
 to bring needed rainfall and breaks in the heat to portions of
 the Panhandles.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday night)
Issued at 1243 PM CDT Sat Sep 12 2026

A frontal boundary remains stalled across the northwest combined
Panhandles today, with a surface trough extending back to the west.
This feature has resulted in nearly a ten degree spread in
temperatures across the forecast area. Locations behind and to the
north of it have northerly winds and temperatures in the 70s and
lower 80s whereas ahead of it southerly winds have also contributed
to increasing temperatures in the lower 90s. This will result in high
temperatures today being cooler in the northwest and warmer to the
south and east of the front/trough. Locations in the east will
likely top out in the lower 100s, with some locations in the far
southeast flirting with heat advisory thresholds.

The risk for severe weather continues for this afternoon and
evening. Ample moisture is in place with 700mb theta-e values
exceeding 340K across the eastern Panhandles. Deep layer wind shear
of around 30kts, steep lapse rates suggest storms will organize into
multicluster cells before perhaps congealing later into the evening.
The primary concern will be from damaging winds upwards of 75-80mph
but hail may also occur with any storm this afternoon and evening.
Timing indicates that initiation may occur as early as 2-3pm but
more likely closer to 4-5pm and continue through the evening hours,
with the best location being from roughly Amarillo to Guymon and
points east.

For Sunday, high pressure remains dominant over the region and this
will lead to another hot day across the region. Much of the area
should remain dry but there are hints of some isolated storms that
may move in from the mountains to our west during the later
afternoon and evening hours.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through next Friday)
Issued at 1243 PM CDT Sat Sep 12 2026

The center of the upper ridge will move off to the east and this
will allow for broad upper level troughing to take over just to our
west. Several fronts look to come into or close to the region along
with potential for better rain chances through the week. At this
time, Tuesday looks like the best day in terms of chances for precip
but each day next week shows potential, the most potential we have
seen in quite some time. The other benefit to this increased chances
for rain is it should keep our temperatures lower and closer to
average or even below for this time of year.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1243 PM CDT Sat Sep 12 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period. Thanks to
the passage of a front, winds for KDHT and KGUY will be out of the
north this afternoon and evening. KAMA will remain out of the south
to southwest. KGUY has potential to be affected by storms later this
afternoon and evening but confidence is so low as to not include in
the forecast at this time. KAMA likewise could also be affected by
storms after 00Z but confidence in that is even lower than KGUY, and
has also be omitted from the official TAF. Winds will shift out of
the south for tomorrow.

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...28
LONG TERM....28
AVIATION...28