Hazleton, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

124
FXUS61 KBGM 060610
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
210 AM EDT Mon Apr 6 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Updated temperatures through the evening as well as increased
chances of precipitation with the rain and snow showers that
are moving in from the west.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) A cold front has passed through the region with steadily
falling temperatures and chances of rain and snow showers
through Tuesday.

2) High pressure and drier weather is expected mid-to-late week
starting off cold mid week before moderating to seasonable
temperatures by the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

With the cold front through the region, temperatures have
steadily been falling and that trend will continue. Clouds are
thinning a bit this afternoon and that could halt the fall of
temps briefly but not for long. Tonight, as 850 mb temperatures
fall to around -8C to -10C, surface temperatures fall below
freezing and lake effect snow showers likely develop. Soundings
tonight show just barely enough lake induced CAPE but the
boundary layer is pretty shallow so lake effect snow showers
will be on the lighter side tonight.

Tomorrow, a deeper pocket of colder air advects in aloft as the
long wave trough axis approaches the region from the west.
Cooling aloft coupled with strong solar heating at this time of
the year will make for some steep lapse rates through at least
700 mb and potentially to 500 mb if there is enough heating.
Thermal profiles through the day will support snow with may be
a mix of rain at the lowest elevations below 800 feet with
convective showers that develop in the afternoon. Some of the
CAMs are trying to develop enough CAPE for a low end lightning
potential and graupel in some of the stronger cells that
develop. The probability of thunder is still to low to add to
the grids for Monday afternoon and evening.

With the trough axis moving through on Tuesday, temperatures
region wide will struggle to get above freezing with scattered
snow showers as a 500 mb shortwave swings through. Given the
time of the year and lack of frontogenesis for higher snowfall
rates, any accumulating snow is limited to the overnight hours
Monday into Tuesday morning before solar heating melts the snow
that fell and any additional falling snow through the day.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

The long wave trough moves east Tuesday night with strong high
pressure moving in. Despite return flow developing Tuesday
night, the calm winds and clear skies leads to a very cold
April morning. Lows are currently forecast to be in the low 20s
and teens but conditions are favorable for good radiational
cooling so there is potential for the current low forecast to be
too warm.

Zonal flow and weak warm air advection helps temperatures
quickly moderate Wednesday through Friday back to seasonable
temperatures with cool mornings and warm afternoon highs. High
pressure over the SE US helps cut off any moisture from the Gulf
so chances of precipitation is low from mid week into the
weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Scattered snow showers continue across portions of the area,
with SYR and RME expected to have the best chance at seeing off
and on showers for the next few hours, with MVFR restrictions
possible. Snow should start to dissipate by 10z with MVFR
ceilings lingering into the morning hours. ITH/ELM/BGM will also
see periodic MVFR ceilings into the morning hours. VFR
conditions are expected at all terminals by mid morning.

Scattered rain showers are expected to move over the area in the
afternoon, but with dry air at the surface, most of the
precipitation is not expected to reach the ground. A low
pressure system is expected to move over the area in the
evening, which will bring some scattered snow showers to CNY,
with ITH/ELM/BGM having a chance at snow showers and MVFR
restrictions.

Winds are expected to be active through the morning hours, with
gusts between 20-30kts tonight, weakening to around 20kts in
the morning hours. Gusts should dissipate by the mid afternoon
hours.


Outlook:

Late Monday through midday Tuesday...A clipper system will brush
by with initially mixed rain-snow showers, becoming scattered
snow showers with possible restrictions, as colder air is
reinforced across the area.

Late Tuesday through Thursday Night...Mainly VFR.

Friday...A weak frontal zone may encroach into the area with a
chance of rain showers and associated restrictions.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...AJG/DK
AVIATION...JTC