Bartlesville, Oklahoma 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

356
FXUS64 KTSA 020438
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1038 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1038 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

 - Notable warming trend continues Monday.

 - Low rain chances Monday night into Tuesday mainly across far SE
   OK into west- central AR. Temps cool slightly for mid week.

 - Much warmer and dry weather resumes Thursday into next
   weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Through Monday)
Issued at 1038 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

The influence of snow / sleet melt is becoming less and temperatures
are expected to continue the warming trend on Monday.
Patchy fog or freezing fog may develop across portions of NE OK by
sunrise Monday but confidence is low on both coverage and fog
intensity. Breezy winds by afternoon with temperatures in the mid
50s to low 60s will further speed along the remaining snow melt.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday Night through Sunday)
Issued at 1038 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

Cold front passes late Monday night through early day Tuesday. A few
showers are likely to develop along the frontal boundary from SE OK
into western AR before they quickly push east of the local region by
Tuesday afternoon. The post frontal cool down will be minor on
Tuesday but more so on Wednesday with increasing cloud cover as a
fast moving wave passing through the Plains. This feature may
spread a few flurries or sprinkles across E OK but measurable
precip chances remain very low.

The pattern by late week will maintain the high amplitude ridge
across the western CONUS with heights quickly expanding eastward
across the local area in wake of the passing mid week wave.
Guidance is in good agreement on temps warming above normal by late
week and likely continuing through next weekend. Dry weather also
remains through this forecast period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1038 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

Increasing high clouds are anticipated ahead of a shortwave and
associated cold front forecast to move into the region just
outside of this TAF period. Late tonight into Monday morning,
potential remains for patchy areas of reduced visibility and again
have maintained a Tempo group for timing at KBVO. Toward the end
of the TAF period, ahead of the front, low/mid level clouds could
begin to develop over southeast Oklahoma into west central
Arkansas. Will add a mention of mid clouds to KMLC/KFSM with the
greater potential just outside the TAF period. Winds through the
period remain southerly for most locations. Outside of reduced
visibility at KBVO, VFR conditions are currently forecast through
the TAF period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   26  58  33  51 /   0   0  10   0
FSM   24  59  37  52 /   0   0  10  20
MLC   30  63  39  56 /   0   0  20  10
BVO   21  55  28  50 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   26  57  35  48 /   0   0  10  10
BYV   28  56  38  46 /   0   0  10  10
MKO   28  59  37  51 /   0   0  10   0
MIO   24  53  32  45 /   0   0   0   0
F10   29  63  38  54 /   0   0  10   0
HHW   29  60  46  59 /   0   0  20  30

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...20