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Mapleton, North Dakota 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Mapleton ND
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Mapleton ND
Issued by: National Weather Service Grand Forks, ND |
| Updated: 7:36 pm CDT Jun 23, 2026 |
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Tonight
Slight Chance
T-storms then
Mostly Clear
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Wednesday
Chance
Showers and
Breezy
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Wednesday
Night
Chance
Showers then
Partly Cloudy
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Thursday
Mostly Sunny
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Thursday
Night
Partly Cloudy
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Friday
Chance
Showers
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Friday
Night
Chance
Showers then
Chance
T-storms
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Saturday
Showers
Likely and
Breezy
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Saturday
Night
Showers and
Breezy
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| Lo 54 °F |
Hi 73 °F |
Lo 51 °F |
Hi 77 °F |
Lo 54 °F |
Hi 77 °F |
Lo 61 °F |
Hi 83 °F |
Lo 68 °F |
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Hazardous Weather Outlook
Tonight
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 54. Light west northwest wind becoming west 5 to 10 mph after midnight. |
Wednesday
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A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 4pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 73. Breezy, with a northwest wind 14 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Wednesday Night
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7pm, then a slight chance of showers between 7pm and 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 51. North northwest wind 7 to 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Thursday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. North wind around 8 mph becoming east in the afternoon. |
Thursday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 54. East wind 6 to 8 mph. |
Friday
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A 50 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. Southeast wind 7 to 15 mph. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. |
Friday Night
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A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Southeast wind 14 to 16 mph. |
Saturday
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Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 83. Breezy, with a southeast wind 18 to 23 mph increasing to 24 to 29 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 41 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Saturday Night
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Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 68. Breezy, with a southeast wind 24 to 28 mph, with gusts as high as 41 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. |
Sunday
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A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 88. Breezy, with a southeast wind 23 to 28 mph, with gusts as high as 38 mph. |
Sunday Night
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A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. Breezy, with a south southeast wind 15 to 20 mph decreasing to 9 to 14 mph after midnight. |
Monday
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A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. South southwest wind 10 to 18 mph becoming west northwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 28 mph. |
Monday Night
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Northwest wind 8 to 14 mph becoming south southwest after midnight. |
Tuesday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. South southwest wind 9 to 16 mph. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Mapleton ND.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
633
FXUS63 KFGF 232331
AFDFGF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
631 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- There is a level 2 out of 5 risk for severe thunderstorms this
afternoon into early evening, mainly along and east of the Red
River Valley. The main hazards will be hail up to the size of
golfs balls and tornadoes.
- Growing signal for strong to severe storms late this weekend
into early next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1233 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026
...Synopsis...
The system seen on water vapor imagery across southern Manitoba has
become occluded and will very slowly propagate east/southeast.
Large scale pattern will become zonal toward the end of the
week, and then transition to southwest flow aloft by early next
week as western CONUS troughing develops. Ensemble guidance in
good agreement with how the large scale pattern will evolve,
albeit with lower confidence in smaller scale features.
..Severe storm potential today...
Warm sector/theta-e ridge will be near or just east of the valley by
early afternoon, with CI anticipated along the leading edge of this
boundary early-mid afternoon. Given expected storm motion off the
boundary, anticipate discrete mode. Environment will be
supportive of supercell type storms (albeit low topped given
MLCAPE 1000-1500 J/kg) given effective bulk shear near 30 kts
and effective SRH near 200 m2/s2 (environment supportive for
stronger low level mesocyclones). Severe hail up to golf balls
anticipated given straight hodograph structure, lower freezing
level, and favorable mid level lapse rates. Also anticipate
tornadoes given the favorable low level dynamics. AI guidance
(Nadocast and Storm Net) back up this thinking.
The most likely scenario at time has the stronger discrete low
topped supercell storms developing early afternoon (1-3p) along
the eastern edge of the valley affecting much of northwest and
west central Minnesota through 6-7p. There should be 2-5 storms
at any given time. This is the period when low topped
supercells will bring the largest hail and tornado threat. There
is the potential for additional development closer to the sfc
low/upper low later in the afternoon affecting the northern
valley into northwest Minnesota, although more uncertainty
exists with this activity.
...Weekend into early next week severe potential...
The synoptic ingredients typical for producing severe storms in our
region will be in place - and conceptually the large scale pattern
supports severe storm outbreaks. Details are always the tricky part,
especially where individual upper waves track and how far east the
greater instability will be. There does remain some uncertainty with
exactly how amplified the large scale pattern will be and this will
influence those details.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 632 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026
Scattered showers and thunderstorms continue this evening,
mainly across the northern Red River Valley and northwest
Minnesota. KTVF and KBJI have the better chances to see
thunderstorm activity, thus a continuation of PROB30 into late
this evening. Outside of thunderstorms, VFR to MVFR ceilings
prevail into the early overnight period. Lower ceilings are
still expected across a large portion of the area heading into
Wednesday morning, with MVFR CIGs possible at all sites.
&&
.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...TG
AVIATION...Lynch
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