Rio Rancho, New Mexico 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

900
FXUS65 KABQ 020638 CCA
AFDABQ

Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1138 PM MST Sun Feb 1 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1131 PM MST Sun Feb 1 2026

- Areas of freezing fog and low visibility may impact areas across
  the southeast plains Monday morning once again.

- Near to above normal temperatures will prevail across the region
  through the next 7 days, except for slightly below normal
  temperatures on Wednesday across eastern New Mexico.

- Flurries may develop across northeast New Mexico Tuesday night
  through Wednesday morning, otherwise, dry conditions will
  continue.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Tuesday night)
Issued at 1131 PM MST Sun Feb 1 2026

Low clouds, and mist are redeveloping once again in the lower Pecos
River Valley of Chaves County, including Roswell, early this
morning. Any low clouds and mist should burn off mid to late this
morning as stronger southwest flow mixes down to the surface. The
recent warmup peaks areawide on today as the upper high/ridge
flattens and shifts east to over the Great Plains due to a weak
trough moving across the area. Highs will generally 8 to 15 degrees
above average with the aforementioned disturbance bringing some high
clouds overhead. Breezy west winds with peak gusts of 30 to 40 mph
across east central NM on the southern flank of a surface lee low
over northeast NM. Breezy north winds across far northeast NM on the
northern flank of the surface lee low. The weak upper level trough
and surface lee low exits east into Texas tonight allowing a weak
backdoor front with some breezy north winds in it`s wake to push
through eastern NM. This backdoor front will cool high temperatures
down close to average on Tuesday. Similar high temperatures to today
across western and central NM as a Rex Block develops along the
Pacific Coast. A disturbance embedded in the northwest flow between
the Rex Block and longwave troughing across the eastern 2/3rd of the
Continental U.S. will slide down the Rockies and High Plains late
Tuesday into early Wednesday morning. Can`t rule out a few sprinkles
and flurries across northeast and far east central NM during this
time.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Monday)
Issued at 1131 PM MST Sun Feb 1 2026

High temperatures cool down to near average across western and
central NM and slightly below average across eastern NM with
breezy northeast and east winds on Wednesday behind a backdoor
front associated with the Tuesday night/Wednesday morning
disturbance. The cooldown won`t last long though as high
temperatures quickly rebound to around 5 to 15 degrees above
average with continued dry conditions late next week. This is due
to the upper high portion of the Rex block over the Pacific coast
pivoting east to over much of the Intermountain West with the
upper low of the former block meandering over Southern CA and Baja
CA. Extended ensemble guidance shows a pattern change beginning
next Monday February 9th as a longwave upper level trough moves
into the Pacific Coast. This pattern change will help to increase
precipitation chances across much of the western U.S., including
New Mexico.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1005 PM MST Sun Feb 1 2026

Light breezes will prevail overnight with high, fair weather
cirrus clouds slowly moving in. Higher surface dewpoints in the
lower Pecos valley is once again expected to lead to low stratus
and freezing fog development late tonight into early Monday
morning. The areal extent of fog is forecast to be less than the
past couple of days, but will still impact KROW and nearby rural
areas with IFR to LIFR conditions (ceilings potentially as low as
400 ft and visibility down to 1/2 SM). Fog and low stratus will go
away in the late morning and early afternoon Monday. Breezes will
pick up from the west and northwest Monday afternoon across much
of northern and central New Mexico with gusts of 18 to 25 kt being
common (slightly higher in the central highlands near KCQC).
Winds will then turn northerly in the plains late in the afternoon
as a cold front moves in with gusts of 20 to 30 kt accompanying.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1131 PM MST Sun Feb 1 2026

No critical fire weather concerns through this weekend. The recent
warmup peaks areawide today with some breezy west winds across east
central areas and breezy north winds across far northeast areas.
These winds combined with min relative humidity values in the low
teens and 50th-70th percentile ERCs will result in elevated fire
weather conditions across northeast areas Cooling down closer to
average across eastern areas Tuesday and near to slightly below
average across all areas Wednesday behind two backdoor fronts. Some
flurries and sprinkles across northeast NM Tuesday night into early
Wednesday. Milder temperatures quickly return late next week as high
pressure builds east and dominates the intermountain West. More
widespread areas of good to very good ventilation across the
highlands, east central and northeast plains today. Fair to very
good ventilation outside of the Rio Grande Valley and southeast
plains Tuesday. Good to very good ventilation across south central
and eastern areas Wednesday before widespread poor ventilation
Thursday and Friday. Good to very good ventilation across the
highlands Saturday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  57  25  56  24 /   0   0   0   0
Dulce...........................  59  20  55  16 /   0   0   0   0
Cuba............................  58  24  55  22 /   0   0   0   0
Gallup..........................  60  18  60  17 /   0   0   0   0
El Morro........................  58  27  56  20 /   0   0   0   0
Grants..........................  61  19  61  18 /   0   0   0   0
Quemado.........................  61  26  58  22 /   0   0   0   0
Magdalena.......................  58  32  61  30 /   0   0   0   0
Datil...........................  58  28  58  24 /   0   0   0   0
Reserve.........................  65  26  65  25 /   0   0   0   0
Glenwood........................  68  29  68  32 /   0   0   0   0
Chama...........................  50  20  49  16 /   0   0   0   0
Los Alamos......................  54  32  54  29 /   0   0   0   0
Pecos...........................  56  29  57  24 /   0   0   0   0
Cerro/Questa....................  51  28  50  22 /   0   0   0   0
Red River.......................  44  17  46  16 /   0   0   0   0
Angel Fire......................  51   7  49   6 /   0   0   0   0
Taos............................  55  18  54  19 /   0   0   0   0
Mora............................  60  29  58  21 /   0   0   0   0
Espanola........................  61  24  61  25 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Fe........................  57  30  56  28 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Fe Airport................  56  26  58  25 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Foothills...........  58  34  59  32 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Heights.............  61  32  61  33 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Valley..............  61  28  64  26 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  60  32  63  30 /   0   0   0   0
Belen...........................  61  22  63  27 /   0   0   0   0
Bernalillo......................  60  30  63  29 /   0   0   0   0
Bosque Farms....................  60  23  62  26 /   0   0   0   0
Corrales........................  60  30  63  29 /   0   0   0   0
Los Lunas.......................  60  24  62  28 /   0   0   0   0
Placitas........................  57  32  58  30 /   0   0   0   0
Rio Rancho......................  59  31  62  30 /   0   0   0   0
Socorro.........................  63  31  65  33 /   0   0   0   0
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  56  32  55  28 /   0   0   0   0
Tijeras.........................  54  32  55  29 /   0   0   0   0
Edgewood........................  56  28  57  25 /   0   0   0   0
Moriarty/Estancia...............  61  19  60  21 /   0   0   0   0
Clines Corners..................  56  29  55  26 /   0   0   0   0
Mountainair.....................  58  29  59  26 /   0   0   0   0
Gran Quivira....................  57  29  59  27 /   0   0   0   0
Carrizozo.......................  59  32  59  33 /   0   0   0   0
Ruidoso.........................  56  34  56  30 /   0   0   0   0
Capulin.........................  58  27  57  21 /   0   0   0   0
Raton...........................  59  21  61  20 /   0   0   0   0
Springer........................  64  20  65  19 /   0   0   0   0
Las Vegas.......................  61  26  63  23 /   0   0   0   0
Clayton.........................  63  33  63  28 /   0   0   0   0
Roy.............................  60  26  65  24 /   0   0   0   0
Conchas.........................  66  25  69  26 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Rosa......................  68  32  67  27 /   0   0   0   0
Tucumcari.......................  67  27  71  27 /   0   0   0   0
Clovis..........................  65  30  67  31 /   0   0   0   0
Portales........................  64  29  68  30 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Sumner.....................  58  24  69  28 /   0   0   0   0
Roswell.........................  48  26  60  32 /   0   0   0   0
Picacho.........................  64  32  68  33 /   0   0   0   0
Elk.............................  63  31  66  31 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...71
LONG TERM....71
AVIATION...52