Artesia, New Mexico 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

194
FXUS64 KMAF 061909
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
209 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 157 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

- A warming trend continues through at least tomorrow, after which
  temperatures will decrease slightly Thursday into the weekend.
  Another warming trend is expected late this weekend into early
  next week.

- There is a 10-30% chance of showers and thunderstorms south of
  I-10 Thursday and Friday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Wednesday night)
Issued at 157 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

Current satellite imagery shows a dry airmass hovered over the
region aloft. This is thanks to an upper-level ridge positioned over
the Four Corners region allowing dry, northwest flow aloft to take
shape. This pattern is expected through the short-term period,
promoting dry conditions and near to slightly warmer temperatures
for this time of year. Highs today span mainly in the mid 70s to mid
80s. Subtle surface troughing extending across portions of New
Mexico into southwest Texas combined with daytime heating may allow
a few showers to develop this afternoon across the Davis Mountains
and Presidio Valley. Tonight, lows are forecast to range from the
mid 50s to low 60s. A similar weather day is in store as upper-level
ridging persists. Highs are expected to be a touch warmer in the
upper 70s to mid 80s for most locations.

Lamberson

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 157 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

Slightly cooler weather and low rain chances (10-30%) for areas
south of Interstate 10 kick off the long-term period. This is due to
an inverted upper-level trough developing over the forecast area on
Thursday. A tropical disturbance in the southwest Gulf along with
southeasterly to easterly winds bring surface moisture to the far
southernmost portions of the region. As a result, low chances for
isolated to scattered showers/storms are in store Thursday and
Friday across the Big Bend, Lower Trans Pecos, and Davis Mountains.
PWATs are forecast to hover near the 75th climatological percentile
indicating the potential for heavy rainfall. Given the limited
shower/storm coverage, the flash flood threat remains very low.
Surface high pressure from the Rockies will keep dry air in the
lower levels for areas north of the aforementioned areas, resulting
in slim to none rain/storm chances (< 10%). Slightly cooler
temperatures are expected through Saturday ranging from the mid 70s
to mid 80s for most locations, thanks to the aforementioned inverted
trough. By Saturday, the trough lifts northeast of the region and
subtle upper-level ridging builds back in from the west. This sets
up a warming trend late in the weekend into early next week with
temperatures rebounding back into the mid 80s to low 90s regionwide.

Lamberson

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1201 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

VFR conditions throughout TAF period, with light winds from the
south/southeast below 10 mph at all TAF sites. Low confidence in
any development of mist or lower cloud ceilings at any terminals
overnight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               61  87  62  87 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 60  85  61  84 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   65  86  65  85 /   0   0   0  10
Fort Stockton            63  87  63  85 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           58  77  59  74 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    59  82  60  82 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    55  81  57  79 /   0   0   0  30
Midland Intl Airport     62  85  63  85 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   62  85  63  84 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     63  88  64  87 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....11
AVIATION...94