Grandview, Missouri 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

783
FXUS63 KEAX 061809
AFDEAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
109 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Warm weather settles in this week and through the weekend.

- Mostly dry through the weekend with rain chances returning
  early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 104 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

Upper-level ridging over the western CONUS and surface high pressure
over the eastern CONUS remains prominent. These features will
encourage warmer temperatures today and into the weekend. Today,
temperatures are expected to climb into the low 80s across much of
the area. Even warmer conditions are expected on Tuesday, especially
in southern portions of the forecast area and into central Missouri
where some locations could see high temperatures in the mid/upper
80s. These temperatures would be well above normal--as much as 10-15
degF! The normal high temperature at Sedalia (KDMO) on October 7,
for example, is 71 F...tomorrow`s forecast high temperature
currently sits at 85 F, a 14 degF difference.

A weak surface front will sink south Wednesday afternoon and
evening. Areas generally north of the Missouri River can expect to
see temperatures in the mid 70s on Thursday, and although this
slightly closer to normal, it is still around 5 degF warmer. As for
areas along and south of the Missouri River, temperatures are
broadly forecast to top out in the upper 70s and lower 80s with
isolated locations in our southern fringes reaching the mid 80s.
PoPs Thursday night into Friday morning across northern Missouri
were further reduced in this forecast cycle, now sitting below 5%.
While a brief, isolated shower can`t be totally ruled out, the low-
level jet axis continues to favor areas in Nebraska and Iowa for
shower development.

The subtle effects of the aforementioned boundary won`t hang around
for long as the ridge expands eastward, bringing a rapid return of
southerly surface flow and warm air advection. This will result in
building heat over the weekend, with temperatures ranging from the
lower 80s in our north to the upper 80s in our southern tier of
counties. A more unsettled pattern appears to lie in wait for us
next week, most clearly in the form of a deepening upper trough
along the West Coast. Another feature to watch will be the evolution
of Invest 92L which now has a near 100% chance of developing into a
tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours. While substantial uncertainty
remains, remnants of Invest 92L may propagate into portions of
central and eastern Missouri as early as Sunday. As things stand in
the current guidance suite, it does not appear that this would bring
any meaningful opportunity of rain to our area. Rather, our next
best chance of rain is more likely associated with the upper trough
and its associated surface low, possibly bringing a cold front
through the area early next week.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 104 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

VFR conditions to persist with clear conditions and
southwesterly winds generally 5-10 kts. A gradual clockwise
wind shift is expected to begin Wednesday morning with winds
becoming more westerly/northwesterly by 18Z.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Macko
AVIATION...Macko