Arkansas City, Kansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

599
FXUS63 KICT 061713
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1213 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry weather expected over the next seven days.

- Seasonably warm temperatures (highs in the 80s) are forecast
  through the upcoming weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 301 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

Currently, a deep trough is situated over the Great Lakes region
with weak ridging to our southwest. A short wave extends across the
California coast and will traverse eastward through the day today.
With the surface high located to our east, southerly winds continue
to dominate the region. As the short wave approaches from the west,
a surface low will deepen over the Rockies. This will lead to a
tightening pressure gradient over the Plains and cause breezy
conditions to develop this afternoon. Southerly winds around 15 mph
with gusts up to 25 mph will be possible for much of central and
south-central Kansas. This strong southerly flow will lead to the
first day in a stretch of above normal temperatures across the
area. Afternoon highs in the middle to upper 80s are expected.

While anomalous heights will lead to afternoon temperatures reaching
above normal through the end of the forecast period, the surface
trough associated with the shortwave will linger over central Kansas
for Wednesday and Thursday. Highs across south-central and southeast
Kansas are generally expected to reach into the middle to upper 80s
while highs over central Kansas will remain in the upper 70s to
lower 80s. The surface trough will retreat by the end of the week,
leading to middle to upper 80s areawide for Fri-Sun. Overall, mostly
clear skies, dry conditions, and seasonable warmth will persist
through the upcoming weekend.

The next chance for a pattern change will come early next week as a
shortwave kicks out over the Plains from the Desert Southwest. While
confidence in exact impacts remains low, continuity between model
guidance suggests increased rain chances and cooler temperatures for
the tail end of the forecast time frame and beyond.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1209 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

Good flying weather expected over the next 24hrs with VFR
conditions prevailing. A weak frontal boundary will push
southward into central Kansas Wednesday morning thus switching
the winds around to the north.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...AMD
AVIATION...CDJ