Montrose, Colorado 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

100
FXUS65 KGJT 022047
AFDGJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
147 PM MST Mon Feb 2 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Mostly dry and unseasonably warm conditions persist through
  the week, with temperatures 10 to 15 degrees above normal.

- Breezy winds and light snow showers are likely tomorrow over
  the northern and central Divide mountains. Less than an inch
  of accumulating snow is expected.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 139 PM MST Mon Feb 2 2026

Northwesterly flow has set in as a ridge of high pressure
builds over the West Coast. This pattern will generally lead to
unseasonably warm days, cool nights, and dry conditions.

Tomorrow an upper-level jet noses into north-central Colorado
bringing enough lift and moisture for light snow showers over
the northern and central Divide mountains. This setup favors
mountain ranges east of the local forecast area, but we could
see slippery stretches develop over mountain passes on our side
of the Divide as well. All in all, less than an inch of snow is
possible for the aformentioned areas. Breezy winds will combine
with falling snow to reduce visibility at times.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 139 PM MST Mon Feb 2 2026

With a Rex Block to the west, high pressure over CA and NV and
a low near Baja California, and troughing still to the east,
northwesterly flow dominates over the Intermountain West. A
deeper trough well off shore will nudge the high into the Four
Corners region by Thursday. Temperatures will jump several
degrees as this much warmer airmass moves overhead, with some
locations even making a run at records on Thursday and Friday.
The closed low that had been lurking off the Baja looks to
finally track eastward by the weekend, though models remain in
poor agreement regarding the track and strength of this feature.
Ensembles indicate heightened PWAT values, which means
increased cloud cover and slightly cooler temperatures. There is
a possibility of some precipitation with this feature late in
the weekend, though confidence in this is low (<30%). Taking a
peek into the extended period, there is increasing, though still
low (<30%), confidence in the Rex Block finally breaking down
and the pattern becoming more progressive. Deterministic and
ensemble guidance are in good agreement with this forecast, and
3 of the 4 cluster forecasts also break down the Rex Block and
bring in a more progressive pattern. In addition, the Climate
Prediction Center`s 8-10 and 10-14 day outlooks are favoring a
wetter pattern for the West that would be consistent with a
pattern shift. Definitely something to keep an eye on going
forward.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1008 AM MST Mon Feb 2 2026

VFR conditions are forecast through the TAF period with light,
terrain-driven winds and passing high clouds.

&&

.GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

CO...None.
UT...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KAA
LONG TERM...BGB
AVIATION...TGJT