El Dorado, Arkansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

833
FXUS64 KSHV 191102
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
602 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026

...New AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 100 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2026

 - Warm up continues through the possibility of record high
   temperatures for some locations by the upcoming weekend.

 - Next cold front will impact our region late Sunday Night into
   Monday but the front should come in dry.

 - Dry is the key word to this forecast as wildfire probabilities
   will continue to increase through the forecast period.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1103 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2026

Clear skies overnight tonight will allow for maximum radiational
cooling. Several sites are cooler than previously forecast, so
I`ve nudged overnight low temperatures down a few degrees to
allow for more cooling. Otherwise, the forecast from the day shift
remains on track.

An upper-level ridge over the western CONUS will keep skies clear
and combine with the persistent southerly surface flow and warm up
the region through the rest of this week. Temperatures in the low
80s on Thursday will near 90 by Saturday afternoon, which could
result in some broken temperature records Saturday and Sunday.
This ridge will begin to weaken during the day on Sunday which
will allow a cold front to push south into the region sometime on
Monday. There is still plenty of uncertainty on the timing and
forward propagation of this front, but it is unlikely that there
will be any rain associated with it. Where this front moves will
inform the afternoon highs on Monday before the region warms up
again going into the middle of next week. Long-range models have
upper-level flow becoming more zonal by the end of the period,
which makes any hope for rain look unlikely.

The continued dry conditions will make fire weather a top concern
through the period. Southerly surface flow has contributed to
slightly higher RH`s over the past day or so. However, the fuels
are dry enough for easy fire spread without critically low
humidities. Several wildfires started in the Ark-La-Tx during the
day on Wednesday, one requiring evacuations in Winn Parish this
evening. As such, a Fire Danger Statement has been issued for the
entire region during the day Thursday in order to highlight the
wildfire risk. Additional fire weather products may be necessary
over the coming days, but always follow guidance from local
officials regarding outdoor burning.

57

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 600 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026

For the 19/12z TAF period...Expect VFR conditions throughout the
TAF period with a few passing mid and high clouds. Winds will be
from the SSW near 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph by this
afternoon, before diminishing after sunset. Reduced flight
categories may develop at KLFK by the end of the TAF period, as
low cigs move in from the south. /20/


&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 100 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  81  58  85  61 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  80  55  85  59 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  81  51  85  54 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  82  58  87  61 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  80  55  85  58 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  82  58  87  61 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  82  57  87  60 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  80  55  84  59 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...57
AVIATION...20