Pine Hills, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

164
FXUS62 KMLB 191920
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
320 PM EDT Thu Mar 19 2026

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 320 PM EDT Thu Mar 19 2026

- Isolated to scattered showers continue across the local waters
  and along the coast through Friday, with drier conditions
  anticipated over the weekend and into the start of next week.

- Poor to hazardous beach and boating conditions are forecast to
  persist over the next few days. A High risk of rip currents
  continues through at least Friday. Entering the surf is strongly
  discouraged!

- A gradual warming trend is forecast through the period, with
  temperatures reaching above normal values this weekend and into
  early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 320 PM EDT Thu Mar 19 2026

Current-Friday...Troughing in the mid-levels remains in place
across the eastern US, with shortwaves rounding the southern flank
across the Florida peninsula. This energy aloft in combination
with a plume of moisture situated across the area resulting from a
stalled boundary across Cuba and the Bahamas has supported
isolated to scattered shower development across the local Atlantic
waters, with some of this activity moving onshore primarily from
the Cape southward. Rain chances remain between 20-30% along the
coast, with the best rain chances shifting towards across the
Treasure Coast tonight. Friday, a strengthening shortwaves moves
across Florida, helping to finally push the stalled boundary
southward. This will one again support isolated to scattered
shower development across the local waters and isolated activity
moving onshore cannot be ruled out, especially along the Treasure
Coast. Isolated storm development will also be possible across the
local Atlantic waters, but chances remain low (20%).

A tight pressure gradient remains in place across east central
Florida due to the area being wedged between the stalled boundary
and an area of high pressure across the southeastern US. The
result has been persistent north to northeast winds of 15 to 20
mph gusting to 30 to 35 mph, with the strongest winds focused
along the coast. These winds are forecast to persist over the next
couple of hours, with intensity waning into the overnight hours.
Another day of breezy and gusty conditions are forecast into
Friday, with the strongest winds once again favored along the
coast and barrier islands. These winds will also lead to continued
hazardous beach conditions, with a high risk of rip currents
persisting through Friday. Entering the surf is not advised!

Afternoon highs remain on track to reach the upper 60s along the
coast north of the Cape and into the low to mid 70s elsewhere.
Tonight, lows fall into the upper 40s north of the I-4 corridor
and into the 50s elsewhere. Friday, temperatures reach near-normal
values for this time of year across east central Florida, with
highs generally in the 70s areawide.

Saturday-Monday...High pressure gradually builds across the
Florida peninsula through this weekend, allowing for a drier air
mass to settle across east central Florida. This will result in
near-zero rain chances through this weekend and into early next
week as well as clearer skies. The clearer skies will allow for
sufficient daytime heating, causing a gradual warming trend in
temperatures. Afternoon highs are anticipated to climb into the
mid to upper 80s by Monday, with values approximately 5 to 7
degrees above normal. Lows will also trend warmer through this
weekend, reaching the mid to upper 50s by Monday night.

With the high sitting overhead, winds are anticipated to be
lighter at 5 to 10 mph during the daytime, with some local
enhancement possible along the coast as the east coast sea breeze
develops and moves inland. Overnight, winds are forecast to be
light and variable to calm at times. This would favor the
potential for some patchy fog development, especially across the
interior portions of east central Florida on Saturday morning and
Sunday morning. Confidence in this does remain low, but will
continue to closely monitor trends.

Tuesday-Thursday...By Tuesday, a slow-moving cold front
approaches Florida, resulting in increasing moisture across the
peninsula. The front transitions into more of a stalled boundary
mid to late week, with a plume of moisture remaining situated
across the peninsula. This will reintroduce low rain chances
across east central Florida, generally between 20 to 30 percent.
At this time, there is too low confidence to definitively say
whether storms will be possible, but will continue to closely
evaluate. High temperatures are forecast to remain above normal
through the extended forecast period, with overnight lows
remaining right near normal values.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 320 PM EDT Thu Mar 19 2026

Poor to hazardous boating conditions persist across the local
Atlantic waters through at least Friday. North to northeast winds
of 15 to 25 knots today and into tonight will support seas of 6 to
11 feet, and a Small Craft Advisory remains in effect across all
legs of the local Atlantic waters through at least 10 PM. Winds
begin to diminish slightly to around 10 to 20 knots tonight, with
seas responding by gradually subsiding to 6 to 9 feet tonight and
5 to 7 feet into Friday, with the highest seas focused across the
Gulf Stream waters. In addition to the poor to hazardous
conditions, isolated to scattered showers and isolated storms will
be possible across the local waters tonight into Friday.

By Saturday, high pressure builds over the Florida peninsula and
the local Atlantic waters, remaining in place into early next
week. Boating conditions improve and become generally favorable
once again through the weekend and into early next week. Winds
diminish to 5 to 10 knots and seas subside to 2 to 5 feet, with
dry conditions prevailing through Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 141 PM EDT Thu Mar 19 2026

Despite increased cloud cover, mostly VFR prevails, and MVFR
TEMPOs remain limited to the southern Treasure Coast. Light
onshore moving showers continue along the coast this afternoon,
lingering through the evening from VRB southward. Breezy north
winds have been observed across the region with frequent gusts
forecast between 20-25 kts inland and 25-30 kts along the coast.
Winds will be slower to diminish after sunset becoming around 10
kts overnight. Breezy north winds are forecast again Friday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 320 PM EDT Thu Mar 19 2026

Sensitive fire weather conditions will continue across east
central Florida due to critical minimum RH values. Breezy north to
northeast winds continue through at least Friday, with wind
speeds of 10 to 15 mph and gusts to 25 mph possible at times,
especially along the coast. Wind decrease into the weekend as high
pressure situates itself overhead. With the high pressure across
the area, temperatures are anticipated to trend warmer this
weekend and into early next week, which will help further dry
finer fuels. Caution should be taken over the next several days to
prevent fire starts, including properly discarding cigarettes,
avoiding parking vehicles on dry grass, and avoiding burning
outdoors. Fire weather conditions do not look to improve until the
middle of next week as moisture increases our ahead of a frontal
boundary.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  54  72  50  80 /   0   0   0   0
MCO  54  75  53  81 /   0   0   0   0
MLB  59  74  56  78 /  10  10   0   0
VRB  60  74  57  78 /  30  10  10   0
LEE  49  76  51  81 /   0   0   0   0
SFB  52  75  51  82 /   0   0   0   0
ORL  54  76  53  82 /   0   0   0   0
FPR  58  75  54  78 /  30  10  10   0

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for AMZ550.

     Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM EDT Friday for AMZ552.

     Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for AMZ555-570-572-
     575.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Tollefsen
AVIATION...Law