Palm Coast, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

434
FXUS62 KJAX 012315
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
615 PM EST Sun Feb 1 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit:
https:/www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

- Cold Weather Outbreak through Tuesday Morning. Cold Weather
  Advisory Tonight for Wind Chills 15-20F. Widespread Hard
  Freeze Tonight. Widespread Freeze Likely Again Monday Night

- Small Craft Advisory Through Monday

&&

.UPDATE...

No major updates needed on the forecast this evening. Forecast low
temperatures in the 20s tonight remain on track, with a light breeze
bringing dangerously cold wind chill values across the area. Given
calmer winds, areas to widespread frost development is likely across
the area tonight, with a hard freeze as well for most locations.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
Rest of today, a deep mid / upper level trough continues to
dominate the region with a very dry and cold airmass in place.
Deep layer flow remains northwesterly. Clear skies continue except
for stratocu over the relatively warmer Atlantic waters out about 40
to 60 nm from shore. Winds will continue to moderate with sustained
northwest winds of about 10-15 mph with occasional gusts of 20-25
mph. Winds should settle further by 5-6 pm. Highs today only in the
lower 40s which will likely meet the record low max for today. As
far as surface moisture, looks like record setting dewpoints today
with values of only 5-10 degrees today.

For Tonight, Clear skies continue with winds becoming light near 5-
10 mph, probably dropping slightly more than that at times, and
dewpoints will continue to be low. No appreciable change to the lows
tonight in the lower to mid 20s, with upper teens possible in the
wind-sheltered locations inland areas...so once again a widespread
hard freeze. Despite the lighter winds still expect wind chill
values to fall into the teens by the early morning hours and a Cold
Weather Advisory remains in effect for all NE FL/SE GA tonight into
Monday morning. A few spots across NE FL may reach Extreme Cold
Warning criteria below 15F, but for now have kept Cold Weather
Advisory in place. Areas to widespread frost are forecast, though
the surface RH of less than 80-85 percent may help limit it in some
locations.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
High pressure will build in from the west at the start of the
upcoming week. While a cold and dry airmass will be overheard,
temperatures are not expected to be as cold as was felt on Sunday.
Daytime highs on Monday will be in the 50s as clear and sunny skies
develop. While temperatures will be warmer, overnight Lows on Monday
Night will be still be in the upper 20s to lower 30s area-wide, with
the warmer temperatures along the coast. Light winds and the sub-
freezing temperatures will allow for the formation of widespread
frost and a light freeze across inland locations, with A Freeze
Warning to be issued in the overnight forecast package.

By Tuesday temperatures will continue to gradually warm, with
daytime highs in the 60s area-wide as southwesterly winds will
continue to bring in warmer air from the Gulf into the area. The
warmer air will keep temperatures above freezing come Tuesday night
as overnight Lows will primarily be in the upper 30s to upper 40s,
with the lower temperatures being felt over north central FL as
clearer skies will be found over our southern locations ahead of a
cold front moving into the area by midweek.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
The high pressure overhead will begin to weaken midweek as the next
cold front moves towards the area from the west. Wednesday is
trending to be wet as numerous to widespread showers spread from
northwest towards southeast from the afternoon, possibly late
morning, and through the overnight hours into Thursday as the front
pushes through the area. Behind the front, another round of cold and
dry air will filter into the area as high pressure builds into the
area once again. Though current trends show temperatures won`t drop
as much as this past weekend, there still will likely be a need for
Freeze products come Thursday night. Temperatures begin to warm once
again during the end of the upcoming week. But the warmup will be
short lived as another cold front arrives during the upcoming
weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/...

VFR conditions with SKC through the period. Northwest winds around 5-
10 knots through the period as well.

&&

.MARINE...

Strong low pressure off the east coast will continue to pull
away to the northeast Today with small craft advisory in place
over area coastal waters. With the offshore flow, a period of
low water levels remains possible around low tide through
tonight. Winds and seas slowly subside Monday into Monday night
as high pressure builds across the Gulf Coast states. The high
builds over the Florida peninsula Tuesday with seas continuing
to fall. The next cold front approaches from the west Wednesday,
moving across the area waters Wednesday night.

Rip Currents: Moderate to possible high risk on Monday into
Tuesday as some northeast swells affect the area.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Windy conditions will subside during the overnight hours as
high pressure builds into the area. Cool and dry conditions are
expected Monday wide widespread minRH values under 30%.
Dispersions will Good for most locations with areas of high
dispersions over southeast Georgia on Monday. Temperatures and
RH moderate by Tuesday and Wednesday as high pressure slowly
moves overhead and east of the region before another cold front
looks to move through around Wednesday Night/Thursday Morning.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS: Very cold wind chills will be
expected Tonight/early Monday Morning. Hard freeze conditions are
expected Tonight, with a light Freeze on Monday Night.

&&


.CLIMATE...
Daily records challenged by the arctic cold air outbreak are below:

Record Low Maximum Temperatures:

Sunday, February 1:
JAX 42/1900
CRG 44/1980
GNV 41/1909
AMG 42/1980

Record Low Temperatures:

Sunday, February 1:
JAX 24/1977
CRG 29/1977
GNV 25/1977
AMG 22/1977

Monday, February 2:

JAX 23/1979
CRG 27/1980
GNV 25/1980
AMG 19/1951

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  22  52  28  63 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  27  52  35  60 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  24  55  29  65 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  27  54  33  62 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  22  55  30  66 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  22  55  29  65 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Cold Weather Advisory until 10 AM EST Monday for FLZ021-023-
     024-030-031-035-038-120-124-125-132-136>138-140-220-225-
     232-233-236-237-240-322-325-333-340-422-425-433-522-533-
     633.
     Freeze Warning until 10 AM EST Monday for FLZ021-023-024-030-
     031-035-038-120-124-125-132-136>138-140-220-225-232-233-
     236-237-240-322-325-333-340-422-425-433-522-533-633.
GA...Cold Weather Advisory until 10 AM EST Monday for GAZ132>136-
     149-151>154-162-163-165-166-250-264-350-364.
     Freeze Warning until 10 AM EST Monday for GAZ132>136-149-
     151>154-162-163-165-166-250-264-350-364.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Monday for AMZ452-454.
     Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EST Monday for AMZ470-472-474.

&&

$$