North Port, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

732
FXUS62 KTBW 191825
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
225 PM EDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 224 PM EDT Fri Jun 19 2026

- Heat Advisory for the rest of today for most of the area for
  heat index values up to around 110 degrees. Daily heat index
  values of 105+ degrees likely to continue through the weekend
  areawide.

- Marginal Risk (Level 1/5) of severe storms with damaging wind
  gust threat today from the Nature Coast to interior central and
  southern locations.

- Increased afternoon showers and thunderstorms through the
  weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 224 PM EDT Fri Jun 19 2026
Mid-level ridging extends across the Florida peninsula this
afternoon with a shortwave trough over the southeast. At the
surface, the Atlantic ridge axis remains stretched across the
Florida Straits, keeping an onshore boundary layer flow across the
local area. For the rest of today, we will continue to see some
additional showers and storms pop up with help from the shortwave
and these will continue to move generally eastward before activity
diminishes overnight.

For the weekend, a series of impulses will move over north Florida
while we keep an onshore low-level flow. This setup will keep the
best rain chances for the Nature Coast region and then for south of
there, the highest concentration of showers and storms will be away
from the coast.

Ridging builds back in aloft next week as the surface ridge axis
lifts northward a bit, bringing more of a light boundary layer flow.
Moisture will decrease, bringing rain chances down some, but still
keeping isolated to scattered chances each day, mainly away from the
coast once again.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 224 PM EDT Fri Jun 19 2026
Still a chance for a few storms at the terminals this afternoon, but
chances aren`t particularly high as activity is widely scattered.
Could see some earlier showers around Tampa Bay tomorrow morning,
then activity shifts inland yet again.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 224 PM EDT Fri Jun 19 2026
No headlines expected through the period although showers and storms
will be possible mainly over northern and central waters through the
weekend. Locally higher winds and seas likely in/near
thunderstorms.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 224 PM EDT Fri Jun 19 2026
Warm and humid conditions are expected through the next several days
with minimal fire weather concerns. The best rain chances will be
for areas north of I-4 and the interior through the weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  81  92  80  92 /  10  30  10  20
FMY  79  94  78  94 /  10  30  10  30
GIF  77  94  75  94 /  20  60  30  50
SRQ  79  92  78  92 /  10  20  10  10
BKV  77  92  75  93 /  30  60  30  20
SPG  81  92  80  92 /  10  20  10  10

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 4
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Sunday: 4

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Heat Advisory until 7 PM EDT this evening for Coastal Charlotte-
     Coastal Citrus-Coastal Hernando-Coastal Hillsborough-
     Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee-Coastal Pasco-Coastal Sarasota-
     DeSoto-Hardee-Highlands-Inland Charlotte-Inland Citrus-
     Inland Hernando-Inland Hillsborough-Inland Lee-Inland
     Manatee-Inland Pasco-Inland Sarasota-Pinellas-Polk-Sumter.

Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

Carlisle