Milford, New Hampshire 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

595
FXUS61 KGYX 021749
AFDGYX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gray ME
1249 PM EST Mon Feb 2 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes since the last forecast package for the
rest of this week.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1. Astronomical tides remain high Tue but diminishing storm
surge is expected to keep water levels below flood stage.

2. Weak systems bring reinforcing shots of cold air and chances
for snow showers Wednesday into Thursday night.

3. A potent short wave crosses Friday night through Saturday
bringing chances for snow followed by Arctic air arriving on
gusty NW winds into Sunday. Cold Weather Headlines will likely
be needed centered around Saturday night.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
Some minor coastal flooding and splashover occurred today at
high tide and astronomical tides remain high Tue. Nearshore wave
heights will be coming down thru the overnight which will reduce
the storm surge, but at the same time offshore winds will also
relax and allow some of the water level to slosh back towards
the coast. So all in all I anticipate surge Tue between one half
and one foot. This should keep water levels below flood stage,
but some splash over may still occur at particularly vulnerable
coastal locations.

Otherwise, clear skies tonight and weakening pressure gradient
will allow winds to drop after sunset. Additionally a narrow
ridge of high pressure will build in overnight. The set up looks
pretty good for strong radiational cooling. NBM guidance
currently keeps temps in the single digits to just below zero,
but given several nights of double digits below zero in the
northern valleys I do not see why we do not do it again tonight.
Opted to blend 10th percentile NBM guidance with MAV MOS to get
low temps into the mid teens below zero in the north and near
zero in the southern zones.


KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION...
A pair of compact short waves will cross northern New England
Wednesday through Thursday night. Moisture will be limited with
this systems so not expecting much more than scattered snow
showers. The highest chances (30 percent) will occur Wednesday
into Wednesday evening across the mountains towards the Mid
Coast. Near the Mid Coast model soundings show modest moisture
and lift within the dendritic growth zone. This combined with
some low level instability could result in snow showers here
putting down a quick coasting of snow creating slick travel. The
next wave arrives Thursday and looks to have even less moisture
resulting in lower chances for snow showers. Shots of colder
air will occur with each passing system while they will be less
noticeable that what happens this weekend.

KEY MESSAGE 3 DESCRIPTION...
The Polar Jet will dive southeast across the Great Lakes
extending towards the Mid Atlantic region late this week. A more
potent short wave will approach the Northeast from Hudson Bay
Friday. A multi model consensus shows the short wave shearing
out with some of the mid level forcing being shunted out to sea
off the Mid Atlantic in the vicinity of the left exit region.
This will result in cyclogenesis well offshore Saturday while
the remaining forcing from the short wave crosses northern New
England. Chances for snow will increase Friday night and will
persist into Saturday with light accumulations possible by
Saturday morning. Low pressure will continue to deepen in the
vicinity of Nova Scotia Saturday into Saturday night setting up
a tight gradient over New England. Late Saturday through Sunday
looks windy with an Arctic airmass taking aim at the forecast
area. Sub zero wind chills are likely during the day Saturday
with Cold Weather Headlines likely needed for Saturday night.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Through 18Z Tuesday...
Widespread VFR conditions thru Tue night. As a weak area of
high pressure builds in winds will also be light, generally from
the west or northwest.

Outlook:

Tuesday night: VFR Expected with light and variable winds.

Wednesday - Wednesday night: MVFR possible north, VFR more likely
elsewhere. Snow showers possible.

Thursday - Friday: VFR expected south, MVFR possible north.

Friday night - Saturday: MVFR and snow showers possible across
the entire area. NW winds could gust to 30 kts late Saturday.


&&

.MARINE...
Gusty offshore winds continue today as ocean storm pulls away
from the region. Winds will diminish this evening, while seas
will take until early Tue to fall below 5 feet. SCAs will remain
in effect outside of the bays until Tue morning, otherwise
winds and seas will remain below SCA thresholds into Wed.
Especially overnight as temps fall towards or into the single
digits, light freezing spray will continue despite diminishing
winds and seas.

Marginal SCA conditions possible late Wednesday and Wednesday
night in offshore flow. Light freezing spray is likely Wednesday
night and Thursday night. A strong cold front crosses Saturday
bringing Gale force offshore winds and moderate to heavy
freezing spray.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Tuesday for
ANZ150-152-154.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Legro/Schroeter