Aurora, Nebraska 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

197
FXUS63 KGID 050559
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1159 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

...AVIATION UPDATE...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Chance (20-50%) for light snow accumulation on
  Saturday...mainly north and east of Grand Island.

- Otherwise mostly dry into next week. Next Wednesday/Thursday
  would be the next opportunity for precipitation.

- Brief shot of cold for Sunday, followed by above-normal
  temperatures early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 336 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

Lingering cloud cover kept temperatures a bit on the cooler side
today, although western areas have risen into the 40s as skies
clear. Tonight, temperatures are expected to dip to around 20
degrees...pretty close to climatological normals for early
December.

On Friday, the passage of a surface trough will switch winds to
the northwest. Mid and high-level cloud cover is expected to
increase through the day, but temperatures still are
anticipated to reach the 40s for most of the area.

On Saturday, a weak shortwave moving through the northwesterly
flow pattern will bring a chance for precipitation (mainly snow)
to parts of the area. Global ensembles continue to indicate that
the best potential for measurable snow will be to our east.
Additionally, most of the snow would be falling during the
daytime with temperatures in the 30s...not a great recipe for
meaningful snow accumulation. As such, the probability for 1"+
has decreased to only 10-15% in areas north and east of Grand
Island. A light dusting is the most likely outcome at this
point, and many areas will miss out entirely.

Colder air will rush into the area behind this shortwave,
resulting in noticably cooler day for Sunday. High temperatures
are expected to remain below freezing for most of the area.

Fortunately (or unfortunately if you are a winter-lover), this
cooldown won`t last long. The deep trough over the eastern CONUS
will shift eastward, and rising heights aloft will favor a
warmup for Monday/Tuesday. Ensembles currently favor Tuesday to
be the warmest day (upper 40s and 50s for most). Additional
northwesterly-flow shortwaves are expected to push through the
are for the middle to end of next week, but confidence in timing
is quite low. This could bring rain/snow to parts of the area,
but anything significant/impactful looks pretty unlikely.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1115 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

High confidence VFR conditions expected at both terminals
through the period as the MVFR stratus that impacted the
terminals earlier in the day has since eroded and only a mix of
mid/high level clouds and good VSBYs are expected through the
period.

For the remainder of the overnight hours, expect mostly
clear skies and light southwesterly winds less than 10 KTS to
prevail...eventually shifting and becoming NW behind a passing
trough during the morning hours Friday. Winds will eventually
increase and become gusty...to near 20-25KTS by mid-morning...
and then diminish to less than 8 KTS during the evening hours
Friday.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Mangels
AVIATION...SR