Leavenworth, Kansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

527
FXUS63 KEAX 061116
AFDEAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
616 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Above normal temperatures return for the remainder of the week and
  through the weekend.

- Mainly dry through the weekend, rain chances return early next
  week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 247 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

Strengthening upper ridging over the western US, coupled with a
broad surface high pressure over the eastern US, will lead to a
return of above normal temperatures for the remainder of the
week and through the weekend. This will support highs climbing
into the 80s for many locations today. Tomorrow, a weak front
will move into the area and settle just south of the area
tomorrow night. Ahead of this boundary, temperatures will surge
in the mid to potentially upper 80s, especially in our southern
zones. This boundary settles just to the south of the area as
high pressure moves into the Great Lakes region Wednesday night
into Thursday. That boundary lifts northward Thursday and by
the evening and overnight, it still looks like there is some low
potential for showers to develop along the nose of the low-
level jet nosing into that boundary. The best forcing and
ascent looks shifted northwest into Nebraska though, so our
potential has decreased. PoPs look low enough now to not carry
any mention of corresponding weather but there is still a 5-10%
chance for precipitation across northern Missouri.

For later in the week and into the weekend, broad ridging spreads
eastward with very warm mid-level temperatures moving east out of
the higher terrain of the West. With persistent warm advection,
we should see highs in the 80s be maintained. Our normal highs
for the end of the week are near 70 so we will likely be at
least 10 degrees above normal and potentially 15+ degrees above
normal by late in the weekend. We`ll also need to monitor the
track a potential tropical system. Models move a system onshore
along the Gulf coast and take it to the east of the area Sunday
into Monday. So for now, it looks dry for our forecast area.
Additionally, with the upper ridge shifting east into the middle
of the country, deep troughing develops over the western US/
eastern Pacific. This system may bring some unsettled weather
into the middle of the US next week, generally at the tail end
of this forecast or beyond it.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 615 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

VFR conditions are expected through the forecast. Light winds
initially, will become southerly around 10kts between 14-15Z.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...CDB
AVIATION...CDB