Andover, Kansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

004
FXUS63 KICT 201108
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
508 AM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

...Updated Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Stout/gusty north winds today will lead to HIGH to borderline
  VERY HIGH grassland fire danger. Elevated fire danger
  possible again Wednesday and Thursday.

- Extended period of above average temperatures and dry weather
  through at least Friday, with record high temperatures in
  jeopardy Tuesday through Friday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 206 AM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

WIND:

A cold front will progress south through the region this morning,
with stout/gusty north winds in its wake, strongest between about 9
AM and 3 PM. Similar to the last few days, thinking winds will tend
to overachieve model guidance given strong cold advection and
pressure rises, with a few gusts likely reaching 35-40 mph.

Additional breezy to windy days are expected Monday and especially
Wednesday and Thursday, as low pressure deepens north-northwest of
the region. GFS bufkit soundings support south-southwesterly wind
gusts exceeding 30-40 mph Wed-Thu.

TEMPERATURES:

A slightly cooler mostly Pacific airmass in wake of today`s cold
front will support the coolest temperatures the next 7 days today
and Sunday, with forecast highs in the upper 40s and 50s, although
these numbers are still relatively mild for December standards.

As we head into the upcoming work week, deterministic and ensemble
consensus continues to support well above average temperatures
through at least Friday, as anomalous upper ridging builds east over
Mid-America. Readings will likely be warmest Tuesday through Friday,
with ensemble mean atmospheric thickness near the upper end of
climatology. Consequently, record high temperatures in the 60s and
70s will be in jeopardy Tuesday through Friday (Dec 23-26), with
record warm lows in the 50s to near 60 degrees possible

Ensemble consensus supports an eventual modest cool down as we head
into next weekend, although considerable uncertainty exists this far
out.

PRECIPITATION:

Deterministic and ensemble consensus continues to support zero
precipitation chances through at least Friday, as stout upper
ridging builds east over the Heartland. Thereafter (next weekend
into early next week...7-10 days in the future), there are some
hints for increasing precipitation chances as a western CONUS upper
trough approaches, but uncertainty remains high this far out.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 504 AM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

VFR conditions are expected the next 24 hours across central,
south-central, and southeast Kansas.

The main aviation hazard will be stout/gusty northerly winds
spreading south across the region this morning, in wake of a
cold front moving south. Gusts up to around 30 kts are likely.
Winds will gradually subside by later this afternoon.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 206 AM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

TODAY...Stout/gusty north winds in wake of a cold front will support
some HIGH to borderline VERY HIGH grassland fire danger, but
slightly cooler temperatures and less favorable humidity values
should keep fire danger well below red flag/critical threshold.

WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY...Well above average temperatures and the
potential for gusty south-southwest winds may support additional
VERY HIGH grassland fire danger mid-late next week. Stay tuned as we
refine forecast details in the coming days.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 206 AM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

Record High Temperatures in jeopardy this upcoming week:

December 23rd...

Site        Forecast High      Record High (Year)

Wichita          65                67 (1893)
Chanute          66                68 (1982)
Russell          60                66 (2021)

December 24th...

Site        Forecast High      Record High (Year)

Salina           68                71 (1955)
Russell          67                72 (1955)

December 25th...

Site        Forecast High      Record High (Year)

Wichita          74                68 (2019)
Salina           72                69 (1922)
Chanute          74                71 (1922)
Russell          72                75 (1950)

December 26th...

Site        Forecast High      Record High (Year)

Wichita          70                69 (2021)
Salina           66                67 (2008)

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...ADK
AVIATION...ADK
FIRE WEATHER...ADK
CLIMATE...BRF/ADK