Magnolia, Arkansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

282
FXUS64 KSHV 021806
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1206 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1030 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

 - A cold front and upper level low will allow for overnight
   showers with increasing coverage and a few thunderstorms on
   Tuesday, ending overnight.

 - Below average 50s for highs and 30s for lows return in the wake
   of the front for Wednesday and Thursday. Then warmer
   temperatures for Friday and upcoming busy weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1001 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

A cold front approaching from the northwest will move across the
region on Tuesday. Southerly flow ahead of the front will allow
for continued moisture advection with dewpoint values in the upper
40s to lower 50s tonight increasing to the upper 50s to lower 60s
on Tuesday. An upper-trough, in conjunction with the front, to
provide enough instability to generate showers across the region
beginning late tonight into early Tuesday. The combination of
temps climbing into the mid 60s across portions of north Louisiana
and Deep East Texas on Tuesday afternoon along with elevated dew
point values in the lower 60s, will allow for a few isolated
thunderstorms in the afternoon along the front.

Showers to shift southeast across north Louisiana on Tuesday
evening into the overnight hours before finally exiting the region
by daybreak.

Upper-level ridge to rebuild across the ArkLaTex in the wake of
the front with dry conditions prevailing through the remainder of
the forecast period. Temperatures to be generally driven by the
location of the surface high with the coldest overnight low
temperatures near freezing on Thursday night as the high becomes
established over the ArkLaTex. Late in the workweek, however,
expect a gradual warming trend as the surface high shifts south of
the region with weekend temperatures ranging from the upper 60s
to lower 70s and lows in the 40s. /05/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1200 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

For the 02/18z TAFs, VFR conditions will prevail initially with
southwest winds gusting near 20 kts at times, especially across
East Texas and Western Louisiana. Winds should diminish after
sunset, but clouds will also gradually increase in coverage ahead
of an approaching cold front and upper trough. Ceilings will
continue to lower and may fall into the MVFR range at most TAF
sites around 03/12z. Flight conditions will continue to
deteriorate as showers and thunderstorms develop across the
region along and ahead of the advancing front during the last few
hours of the period.

Nuttall

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1030 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

Forecast thunderstorms on Tuesday and through the overnight along
and south of I-20 from Texas into Louisiana, are not expected to
become severe. Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
/24/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  66  51  65  38 /   0  30  90  10
MLU  61  45  62  37 /   0   0  90  40
DEQ  60  42  61  30 /   0  40  60   0
TXK  65  50  64  35 /   0  40  80   0
ELD  64  45  60  33 /   0  20  90  10
TYR  65  53  65  38 /   0  30  80   0
GGG  66  51  66  37 /   0  40  90  10
LFK  66  52  66  40 /   0  20  90  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...09