Hot Springs, Arkansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

881
FXUS64 KLZK 200523
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1223 AM CDT Thu Aug 20 2026

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1222 AM CDT Thu Aug 20 2026

-Some strong/severe thunderstorms possible early this morning over
northern/northeast sections...and again this afternoon/evening over
central/southern sections. Damaging winds will remain primary
threat...with locally heavy rainfall also possible

-Some relief from the very hot conditions expected today for portions
of the state...but temperatures may still get near 100 over central
to southern sections. Heat index values over 105 also expected this
afternoon in this region...with a Heat Advisory in place as a result

-Overall pattern has the upper ridge shifting west...with Arkansas
 in a more persistent northwesterly upper flow. This will allow
 for less consistent oppressive heat and some slightly better
 chances for rainfall going into next week

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1222 AM CDT Thu Aug 20 2026

A front is slowly dropping south into the state early this Thu
morning...with some scattered convection noted along and behind this
front over WRN sections and over NERN sections of the CWA. The
convective activity over NERN sections is in closer proximity to
better SHR and instability...which will result in a bit better
potential for seeing some strong to SVR TSRA. Further SW...this
activity has less SHR and instability to work with...but is where
the boundary is moving south at a faster pace. As a result...the
threat for SVR convection is lower...but not out of the SVR threat.
Damaging winds remains the primary threat with the strongest
activity...with locally heavy rainfall also possible.

The front will continue dropping south through the state through
this Thu. Additional afternoon convection will be possible
along/behind this front as it progresses slowly south...with best
POPs along/south of I-40 this afternoon. An isolated strong to SVR
TSRA could be seen with this activity...with damaging winds the
primary threat.

Beyond the chances for SHRA/TSRA this Thu...while the front is
bringing some relief from the very hot conditions...there will still
be some areas that see temps at or just over 100 this afternoon.
Heat index values will also warm over 105 in many places...mainly
over the SRN half of the area. Continue with a Heat Adv as a result.

Beyond Thu...the upper ridge will continue sliding further
west...with AR in a more persistent NRLY/NWRLY upper flow. This will
make it easier for some SFC fronts to push through the region...and
more opportunities for more consistent relief from the oppressive
heat. This may also bring better chances for rainfall into next
week...though widespread beneficial rainfall doesn`t look promising
at this time.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1130 PM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

Some convection is dropping ESE over NERN sections...as well as
WRN sections along the I-40 corridor as a front moves south. Have
mentioned this activity in the NRN terminals...and this activity
may also impact central sections before dissipating early Thu
morning. While a break will be seen after sunrise...additional
convection looks possible Thu afternoon as the front moves south
across this portion of the state. Expect dominant VFR
conditions...outside of any of the convective activity.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     96  73  96  73 /  10   0   0   0
Camden AR        102  74 100  73 /  20  20  10  20
Harrison AR       92  70  93  71 /  10   0  10   0
Hot Springs AR   102  74 101  74 /  30  30  10  20
Little Rock   AR 102  76  99  75 /  30  30  10  10
Monticello AR    103  76 101  74 /  20  30   0  10
Mount Ida AR     102  72  99  71 /  30  30  10  20
Mountain Home AR  92  70  92  70 /   0   0  10  10
Newport AR        93  73  95  72 /  10   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR    100  73  98  72 /  30  30  10  10
Russellville AR  101  74  99  73 /  20  10  10  10
Searcy AR         99  73  96  72 /  10  10   0  10
Stuttgart AR     101  75  99  73 /  30  30   0  10

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM CDT this evening
for ARZ031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-121-122-130-137-138-
140-141-230-237-238-240-241-340-341.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...62
AVIATION...62