Fort Smith, Arkansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

542
FXUS64 KTSA 021134
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
534 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 526 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

 - Notable warming trend continues Monday.

 - Low rain chances Monday night into Tuesday mainly across far SE
   OK into west- central AR. Temps cool slightly for mid week.

 - Much warmer and dry weather resumes Thursday into next
   weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Through Monday)
Issued at 1038 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

The influence of snow / sleet melt is becoming less and temperatures
are expected to continue the warming trend on Monday.
Patchy fog or freezing fog may develop across portions of NE OK by
sunrise Monday but confidence is low on both coverage and fog
intensity. Breezy winds by afternoon with temperatures in the mid
50s to low 60s will further speed along the remaining snow melt.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday Night through Sunday)
Issued at 1038 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

Cold front passes late Monday night through early day Tuesday. A few
showers are likely to develop along the frontal boundary from SE OK
into western AR before they quickly push east of the local region by
Tuesday afternoon. The post frontal cool down will be minor on
Tuesday but more so on Wednesday with increasing cloud cover as a
fast moving wave passing through the Plains. This feature may
spread a few flurries or sprinkles across E OK but measurable
precip chances remain very low.

The pattern by late week will maintain the high amplitude ridge
across the western CONUS with heights quickly expanding eastward
across the local area in wake of the passing mid week wave.
Guidance is in good agreement on temps warming above normal by late
week and likely continuing through next weekend. Dry weather also
remains through this forecast period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 533 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

VFR conditions likely prevail through the forecast period for all
sites. Mid and high clouds will increase this afternoon areawide,
with southerly sfc winds. A cold front will push through the
region tonight into Tuesday morning, bringing a northerly wind
shift. Cigs are forecast to lower across SE OK and NW AR ahead of
the front, perhaps into MVFR category just after the TAF period.
Additionally, a period of LLWS is expected ahead of the front,
mainly between 02-10z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   58  33  51  30 /   0  10   0   0
FSM   59  37  52  30 /   0  10  20   0
MLC   63  39  56  31 /   0  20  10   0
BVO   55  28  50  25 /   0   0   0  10
FYV   57  35  48  26 /   0  10  10   0
BYV   56  38  46  25 /   0  10  10   0
MKO   59  37  51  29 /   0  10   0   0
MIO   53  32  45  26 /   0   0   0   0
F10   63  38  54  30 /   0  10   0   0
HHW   60  46  59  32 /   0  20  30   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...43