Juneau, Alaska 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

632
FXAK67 PAJK 070703
AFDAJK

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
1003 PM AKST Fri Nov 6 2026

.SYNOPSIS...

Key Messages:

 - Strong winds in the northern panhandle will continue to
   decrease through the evening, with light rain possible for the
   rest of the panhandle overnight.

 - Generally improving conditions expected with potential for a
   brief break into Saturday morning.

 - A new gale force front will approach the southern panhandle
   Saturday night, increasing outflow winds through the inner
   channels Saturday as it approaches.


&&

.SHORT TERM...The remnants of a low pressure system will move
north this evening. Clearing on the backside of the low will
foster showery precipitation and scattered clouds across the
central and northern regions. Rain will remain generally light,
with diminishing chances overnight. Total rainfall through
tomorrow morning along the NE Gulf coast will reach under an inch,
with around 0.5 inches for the remainder of the northern region.
As rain exits by early tomorrow morning, a break in activity may
allow for clearing skies and possible patchy fog. Meanwhile, the
southern panhandle will experience the fringes of a shortwave
trough moving north and clipping the southeastern corner. This
feature will bring light rainfall, primarily isolated to the Misty
Fjords and Hyder regions, before quickly exiting to give the
south a brief break ahead of the next system.

Conditions become active again tomorrow as an approaching low
tracks into the northeastern Gulf. The front is now expected to
reach the outer edge of the southern panhandle Saturday afternoon.
It will shift north through the evening while weakening,
eventually dissipating near the central panhandle and keeping rain
away from the northern region. Rainfall totals over the southern
region up to Frederick Sound will likely reach 0.5 to 1.5 inches
through early Sunday morning. As the pressure gradient tightens
and flow briefly turns northerly on Saturday, winds will pick up
in Lynn Canal, potentially reaching advisory criteria in Skagway
by the afternoon. Elevated NE winds will also impact outer coastal
waters before diminishing quickly Sunday morning.

Maintaining an active pattern, another low enters the central
Gulf late Sunday evening, bringing stronger SE winds to most of
the outer coast and impacting low-lying communities into early
next week. For more details, see the long term discussion below.

.LONG TERM... / Tuesday through Saturday / The remains of the
Monday system will be pulling bay to the NW Gulf and remains of
the weather front will be sweeping through the panhandle and NE
gulf coast. The midrange solutions think that there will be a
secondary system pulling to the far SE of Gulf of Alaska to Haida
Gwaii with its associated rain and some wind. Wednesday is hinting
an yet another system to push the next weather system into the
gulf that will usher in another fall storm to Southeast Alaska.
Fall has decided to stay with the active weather pattern.

&&

.AVIATION.../Through 06z Sunday/...Showers continue across the
area creating variable flight conditions for SE AK. Areas across
panhandle, especially over the south, are starting to see more of a
break in those showers with some areas seeing lowest cloud bases
around 5000 ft or higher. As showers persist tonight some areas will
continue to see a scattered deck, at times broken, around 1500 to
2500 ft. By late Saturday morning most areas are likely to have
predominately VFR conditions. Just as that happens, another low will
move northward toward the southern panhandle. This will not only
bring rain and lowered clouds back to the area, it will also once
again increase winds.

Winds currently have begun to relax across the area with the
exception of Haines and Skagway where gusts to 30 to 40 kts will
continue into early Saturday morning. Winds across the area will be
below 10 kts before low moves NW and once again increases winds.
This low will not only increase winds, it will also create a change
in wind from southerly to northerly. Once again strongest winds will
be over Skagway, but multiple areas will see wind speeds and gusts
increase. LLWS is also likely over Prince of Wales Island Saturday
afternoon and evening.

&&

.MARINE...
Outside (Gulf and Coastal Waters): The low passing SW of Yakutat
this evening will move east and gradually fill/weaken through
morning. This will leave us with a broad southwesterly flow 20 kts
or so by morning with 15 ft seas mostly a SW-SE swell. We see
another low to gale force moving up out of the north Pacific
tomorrow bringing another round of 25 to 35 kt sustained winds
with higher gusts to the Dixon Entrance region by tomorrow
afternoon. We continue with Gale Warnings for the Dixon Offshore
zones starting tomorrow and those will possibly spread a bit
further east to the southern Panhandle by Saturday night. Looking
further out, the main thing to watch the next few days will be a
stronger low moving up out of the north Pacific Monday. Most
models bring this low down to around 955 mb as it
strengthens/deepens over the central Gulf of Alaska Monday into
Tuesday. This could mean storm force winds to the central and
eastern Gulf of Alaska zones Monday into Tuesday. Stay tuned for
further update. /Garmon

Inside (Inner Channels): The low moving west of Yakutat tonight
will result in a gradual weakening of winds over the northern
Panhandle overnight into Saturday, however as the low to the south
moving up towards Haida Gwaii tomorrow deepens a bit, and the high
over the Yukon strengthens a bit, we will see an increased
northerly flow over the northern Panhandle north to south facing
waters tomorrow afternoon and evening...and we have Small Craft
Advisories for Saturday posted for those zones. To the south, the
low moving up near Haida Gwaii on Saturday will result in an
increased wind flow over Clarence Strait, hence the Small Craft
Advisories there for tomorrow as well.  05/Garmon

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Wind Advisory until 6 AM AKST Sunday for AKZ318.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ661.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ012-013-022-031-033-034-036-053-
     641>644-651-652-662>664-671-672.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BAS
LONG TERM...Bezenek
AVIATION...EAB
MARINE...GARMON

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