Farmers Loop, Alaska 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

365
FXAK69 PAFG 061047
AFDAFG

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
247 AM AKDT Tue Oct 6 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...
Central and Eastern Interior...
- Light snow persists from the West-Central Interior to Arctic
  Village. Additional snow accumulations around 1 to 2 inches
  north of Fairbanks.

- Snow showers in the Central/Eastern Interior this morning,
  more likely overnight and into Wednesday. A coating to 1 inch
  expected from Fairbanks southeast.

- Temperatures remain chilly with highs in the 30s and some 20s
  closer to the Brooks Range through Thursday then a gradual
  warming trend thereafter.

- Gusty south winds develop through the AK Range Friday night,
  potentially upwards of 60-70 mph on Saturday.

West Coast and Western Interior...
- The main story is a Bering Sea low which will bring strong
  wind and minor coastal impacts Thursday into Friday. More
  elaboration about the coastal impacts in the coastal section.

- South/southeast winds increase as early as Wednesday afternoon
  in St. Lawrence Island. Gusts up to 70 mph are possible there,
  and 50 to 60 mph for much of the coast. Gradually weakening
  through the weekend.

- The front will move into the Western Interior on Friday
  bringing light rain, wind gusts to 30 mph and areas of snow
  near the Kobuk Valley and Western Brooks Range.

North Slope and Brooks Range...
- Light snow persists in the Brooks Range with additional snow
  accumulations around 3 to 6 inches in Atigun Pass through
  Wednesday night.

- Temperatures remain chilly but seasonably cold across the
  region with highs in the 20s (30s near Point Hope) and lows in
  the single digits and teens (lowest in the Brooks Range).

- Strong south/southeast winds likely in Point Hope with gusts
  up to 60 mph possible on Friday. Periods of rain likely along
  the Chukchi Sea Coast Friday/Saturday with snow in the
  Western Brooks Range.

- Southerly winds increase on Saturday with gusts upwards of 45
  mph possible in Atigun and Anaktuvuk Passes and 30 mph along
  the Arctic Coast.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Snow will continue for portions of the Interior and Brooks Range
through Wednesday as a front drops southeast across Northern Alaska.
Afterwards, all eyes turn to the Bering Sea where a strong low is
expected to develop Wednesday night and gradually shimmy east
through the end of the week bringing strong wind and minor coastal
impacts to the West Coast Thursday and Friday. Rain then moves
into the Western Interior on Saturday with strong south winds
possible through the Brooks Range and AK Range passes.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Looking at 500mb, a couple of features are driving the current
weather, including an upper level trough dropping south from the
Chukchi and an open wave trough in the Gulf. In between, there
is a conglomerate of vorticity and moisture being advected
northward, running into marginally cold air aloft which is being
provided by the arctic trough. This is resulting in persistent
snow from the West-Central Interior to the Central and Eastern
Brooks Range. So far, we`ve seen mostly light snow, but Tanana
and Bettles have flirted with moderate snow at times. This will
be gradually exiting stage-right as the trough pushes it out of
the area. Only to bring light snow from Fairbanks southeast
Tuesday evening into Wednesday. Although most of the
precipitation recently in Fairbanks has been rain, the arctic
trough will provide enough cold air for it to snow, especially
overnight Tuesday. The snow will likely stick to elevated/colder
surfaces, leaving any pavements mainly wet Wednesday morning.
This snow will gradually shift southeast through the day
Wednesday with minor accumulations possible in the Eastern
Interior. For the most part, valley locations can expect a
coating to 1 inch on colder/elevated surfaces.

Elsewhere across Northern Alaska, the weather remains fairly
quiet with chilly but seasonable temperatures through Wednesday
afternoon. The main headline moving forward will be the
incoming Bering Sea low bringing a front to the West Coast. Wind
will begin to increase as early as Wednesday afternoon, but it
will be most noticeable on Thursday. South/southeast wind across
the entire West Coast increases with gusts upwards of 70 mph in
St. Lawrence Island, 60 mph in the Seward Peninsula and Point
Hope and 50 mph for the remainder of the coast. This will allow
water levels to increase Thursday and Friday resulting in
minor coastal impacts. Otherwise, accompanying the wind will be
some rain, mainly 0.50" or less for most of the coast on
Thursday, but there will be increased totals in the terrain of
the Seward Peninsula with precipitation amounts upwards of 1".
Some of this may fall as snow, but accumulations will only be
around 1 to 3". This pushes towards the Western Interior and up
to the Chukchi Sea Coast as well. Most of it will be light
periods of rain, but snow is expected in the Western Brooks
Range and it could be heavy at times. At this time, south winds
increase through the Alaska Range and Brooks Range, potentially
up to 60 to 70 mph in the Alaska Range and 45 mph in the Brooks
Range. This allows the Central/Eastern Interior and Arctic
Plains to be more dry than not due to downsloping.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
The aforementioned front from the Bering Sea low will continue to
weaken, but winds will remain fairly gusty, up to 35 to 45 mph
on Saturday with noticeable weakening Saturday night into
Sunday.

The Western Brooks Range likely sees the heaviest amounts,
potentially upwards of 6 inches. The front mainly fizzles out
before getting into the Interior and Central/Eastern North
Slope, mostly because of strong southerly flow through the
Alaska Range and Brooks Range, downsloping the Interior and
North Slope allowing it to remain mostly dry through Saturday.

One thing we will be monitoring is a series of lows moving into the
Gulf Sunday through the beginning of next week. This has the
potential to bring some more active weather to the southern AK
Range, and portions of the Interior while remaining fairly mild.
But confidence is very low after Sunday. Nothing looks tremendously
impactful in the Interior though.

Coastal Hazard Potential...
High Surf Advisories are out for the entire coast from Point
Lay southward, with the exception of the southern Seward
Peninsula where a Coastal Flood Advisory is issued. It`s
marginal, but water levels may be upwards of 4-5 feet above the
normal high tide line in Nome during the Thursday afternoon and
Friday morning high tides. This could bring water towards the
Belmont Subdivision. Elsewhere, water levels will be mainly 2-4
feet above the normal high tide line which will bring erosion
and high surf. Hooper Bay may be close to seeing water getting
close to beach property if the water gets to 3 feet, so we will
be monitoring that closely.

For all other water levels and more details for your community,
visit weather.gov/afg and click on where you live, or type it
into the search bar.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
No concerns.


&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AK...High Surf Advisory from 10 AM Thursday to 4 AM AKDT Saturday
     for AKZ801-815-820-824.
     High Surf Advisory from 1 PM Thursday to 4 AM AKDT Saturday
     for AKZ818.
     High Wind Watch from Thursday morning through late Thursday
     night for AKZ820>823.
     Coastal Flood Advisory from 10 AM Thursday to 4 AM AKDT
     Saturday for AKZ821-822.
     High Surf Advisory from 7 AM Thursday to 4 AM AKDT Saturday
     for AKZ825.
     High Wind Watch from late Wednesday night through late
     Thursday night for AKZ827.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM AKDT this evening for PKZ801.
     Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM AKDT this afternoon for PKZ802.
     Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM AKDT this afternoon for PKZ806-
     817-853-854.
     Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM AKDT this morning for PKZ807.
     Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM AKDT early this morning for
     PKZ810-851-856.
     Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM AKDT early this morning for
     PKZ816.
     Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM AKDT this evening for PKZ850.
&&

$$