Tuscaloosa, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

882
FXUS64 KBMX 191719
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1219 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1208 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026

 - Well above average temperatures are expected as we head into
   this weekend and onward.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This afternoon through Wednesday)
Issued at 1208 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026

Very quiet weather is expected for most of the next seven days, as a
surface ridge builds in the Gulf, and an upper-level ridge builds
over the west coast. Under the influence of both these ridges,
temperatures across the region will begin to skyrocket. By the
weekend, afternoon highs will range in the mid to upper-80s, with a
few locations in our east potentially pushing 90 degrees come
Sunday. By Monday however, these ridges will begin to retrograde, as
a trough begins to drop south through the Midwest.

This time yesterday, morning guidance didn`t have the cold front
associated with this trough dropping all that far south. Today
however, guidance is bring the cold front much farther south,
introducing a larger temperature swing to the forecast. In general,
this frontal passage still looks dry, as there is barely any
moisture in the air column from NW flow aloft. The trend to watch
the next few days will be how far south this next front makes it, as
that will dictate how far our temperatures swing. From here,
temperatures will begin to climb once more, as the ridge
reestablishes itself out west, with very little to speak of
regarding rain chances through the remainder of the forecast.

/44/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1208 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026

VFR conditions are anticipated for the entire TAF period.

/44/

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

MinRH values today will likely range from the low-40% north, to the
mid to low-20% range south. This will be the trend for most of
the next week, as MinRH values remain variable under a strong
high-pressure to our west, and a surface ridge to our south.
Little to no rain is expected the next seven days, and drought
conditions will likely expand given the upcoming warm stretch.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     40  77  51  83 /   0   0   0  10
Anniston    44  77  54  82 /   0   0   0  10
Birmingham  47  78  56  83 /   0   0   0  10
Tuscaloosa  47  80  55  85 /   0   0   0   0
Calera      45  79  54  84 /   0   0   0  10
Auburn      46  76  53  82 /   0   0   0   0
Montgomery  44  78  52  83 /   0   0   0   0
Troy        43  78  52  83 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION.../44/
AVIATION.../44/