Pelham, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

947
FXUS64 KBMX 021801
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1201 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1200 PM CST MON FEB 2 2026

 - Widespread showers return late Tuesday afternoon through
   Wednesday. No hazardous weather or abnormally cold temperatures
   are expected for the period.

 - Long-range guidance trends are indicating a significant and
   much warmer pattern change in store for the area.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 1200 PM CST MON FEB 2 2026

The "heat wave" is beginning, even though it will be briefly
interrupted on Thursday behind a cold front moving through
Wednesday. Fairly widespread rain will begin to enter the
northwestern portions of the area late Tuesday afternoon and then
slide through during the day on Wednesday. The front will slowly
move across the area until a second shortwave can slide down and
kick the front further east out of our domain. Only minimal
instability will be available with this front so rain is really
the only impact we will see with this system. A return to the 50s
and 60s is expected on Friday through the weekend along with
return to southerly flow. Long-range guidance trends are
indicating a significant and much warmer pattern change across
the U.S. by the week of February 9th. The Climate Prediction Center
is currently forecasting a high chance for much of the Deep South
to observe above normal temperatures during this period.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1200 PM CST MON FEB 2 2026

VFR conditions through the cycle with winds 10 kts or less from
the SW this afternoon.

16

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Winds have shifted to the southwest. We should still see RH values
low this afternoon, but then increase substantially this evening
and Tuesday ahead of the next approaching cold front. Widespread
rain showers are expected late Tuesday afternoon through
Wednesday afternoon, with rainfall amounts generally less than
one-half inch on average. Rain-free conditions will return
Thursday and remain through the weekend, with no critical fire
weather conditions currently anticipated.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     26  58  40  47 /   0  70  90  10
Anniston    30  59  43  48 /   0  50 100  10
Birmingham  33  59  41  47 /   0  70 100  10
Tuscaloosa  32  59  39  47 /   0  80  90   0
Calera      30  61  42  49 /   0  60 100  10
Auburn      32  60  48  53 /   0  10 100  40
Montgomery  31  65  49  55 /   0  20 100  30
Troy        31  65  51  57 /   0  10  90  50

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...16