Birmingham, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

684
FXUS64 KBMX 220656
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1256 AM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1255 AM CST MON DEC 22 2025

 - Light showers will affect parts of the Gulf Coast and Tennessee
   Valley regions today and Tuesday, though a majority of the
   activity looks to be displaced from central Alabama.

 - Above-normal daytime and nighttime temperatures are expected
   from Tuesday to Saturday. High temperatures in the lower to
   middle 70s will place us 15-20 degrees above normal for late
   December.

 - A front is currently forecast to sweep across the region on
   Sunday, offering an opportunity for showers and perhaps a few
   thunderstorms.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Today through this weekend)
Issued at 1255 AM CST MON DEC 22 2025

Isentropic lift and low level moisture will produce variable
cloudiness across the region today and Tuesday along with some
light shower activity. It still looks like the majority of showers
should be displaced from central Alabama; however, just about
anywhere thick cloudiness occurs, especially today and tonight, weak
radar echos in the form of virga or sprinkles could appear.

An anomalous ridge of high pressure will become our primary weather
feature mid to late week. This will result in above-normal
temperatures for late December, from Tuesday to Saturday, by as
much as 15-20 degrees for highs and near 15 degrees for lows.
Rain-free weather is forecast on and around Christmas.

Forecast models vary regarding the upper-level weather pattern
heading into the second half of the weekend/Sunday. We`ll have to
watch trends regarding a trough axis moving across the Great Lakes
region in terms of its configuration. Solutions with a more
amplified trough favor a sharp temperature drop and more in the
way of precipitation with the front, while less amplified
solutions are dialed back on the scope of both.

89^GSatterwhite

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1255 AM CST MON DEC 22 2025

Ceilings across central Alabama are VFR-MVFR as of 06:45z. This
will be the theme for the rest of the overnight with MVFR-affected
terminals improving to VFR sooner than others later this morning.
East winds will average less than 10 knots overnight, becoming
east-southeast to southeast near 10 knots from ~12z to sunset.

89^GSatterwhite

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

MinRHs today will be lowest across east Alabama, averaging in the
20 percent range from late morning through the afternoon, but much
higher across west Alabama. No low RHs are forecast for the
remainder of the week due to seasonably high dew points.

Winds will increase today to near 10 mph from the east-southeast
to southeast, easing at sunset. Light winds are forecast on
Tuesday from the southwest, light again on Wednesday but from the
west/southwest. No big or widespread rain makers are in the
forecast through at least Saturday.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 1255 AM CST MON DEC 22 2025

Record High Temperatures:

December 23:
KBHM: 73/2015
KEET: 74/2015
KANB: 73/2015
KTCL: 75/1964
KMGM: 78/1990

December 24:
KBHM: 77/1964
KEET: 74/2016
KANB: 78/1964
KTCL: 86/2019
KMGM: 79/2016

December 25:
KBHM: 78/2016
KEET: 79/2016
KANB: 78/2015
KTCL: 80/2016
KMGM: 82/2016

December 26:
KBHM: 76/2021
KEET: 75/2016
KANB: 78/2015
KTCL: 75/2021
KMGM: 82/2015

December 27:
KBHM: 77/2015
KEET: 77/2015
KANB: 76/2015
KTCL: 79/2015
KMGM: 80/2016

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     38  58  47  69 /   0   0  10   0
Anniston    42  59  47  69 /   0   0  10   0
Birmingham  46  60  51  69 /  10  10  10   0
Tuscaloosa  46  62  51  71 /  10  10  10   0
Calera      46  63  48  72 /  10  10  10   0
Auburn      48  62  47  70 /   0   0   0   0
Montgomery  51  64  48  73 /  10  10   0   0
Troy        49  65  46  73 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...89^GSatterwhite
AVIATION...89^GSatterwhite