Birmingham, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

047
FXUS64 KBMX 200610
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1210 AM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1210 AM CST SAT DEC 20 2025

 - Above-normal daytime and nighttime temperatures are expected on
   and around Christmas. Highs will be in the lower 70s for nearly
   all of central Alabama with a medium chance for some
   communities to get as warm as the middle 70s.

 - Light showers will affect parts of the region early in the week
   with the bulk of central Alabama activity occurring on Sunday.
   Rain-free weather is currently forecast on and around
   Christmas.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Today through next Friday)
Issued at 1210 AM CST SAT DEC 20 2025

Nice weather is in store for today. After a chilly start,
temperatures will peak in the 60s this afternoon with sunshine
throughout.

A front will arrive from the north by early Sunday as a plume of
relatively shallow moisture advects northward from the Gulf. A
pattern of isentropic lift will produce variable cloudiness and
spells of showers for parts of the Gulf Coast and Tennessee Valley
regions early in the week. For central Alabama, the bulk of activity
should occur on Sunday with onset very early in the morning. Rain
chances have been increased in line with the CAMs, which show
scattered activity plus a more focused cluster right along the
front. Given the proximity of the primary corridor of lift, we`ll
monitor for any additional adjustments to rain chances early in the
week.

An anomalous ridge of high pressure will be our primary weather
feature mid to late next week. This will keep any sort of stormy
weather at bay. Temperatures will become noticeably warmer by the
day. Highs in the lower 70s are forecast for nearly all of central
Alabama. On top of that, probability guidance shows a medium chance
for some communities to reach the middle 70s. As things currently
stand, forecast high temperatures are a few degrees below daily
records, mainly dating back to 2015 and 2016; however, they are
around 15 degrees above normal for late December.

89^GSatterwhite

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1210 AM CST SAT DEC 20 2025

VFR conditions are expected over the next 24 hours.

89^GSatterwhite

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Low RHs over the next week will be confined to two days: today and
Monday. For today, percentages in the lower to middle 20s are
forecast for the east half of central Alabama, a slight decrease
from previous forecasts. On Monday, percentages in the upper 20s to
lower 30s are forecast, again favoring eastern areas of central
Alabama.

Light showers, with negligible rain amounts, will affect parts of
central Alabama early in the week. The bulk of activity should occur
on Sunday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     61  37  58  36 /   0  30  30  10
Anniston    63  42  61  40 /   0  30  30  10
Birmingham  61  45  58  43 /   0  30  30  10
Tuscaloosa  64  47  61  44 /   0  30  40  10
Calera      64  43  62  42 /   0  20  40  10
Auburn      63  43  63  46 /   0   0  20  10
Montgomery  64  43  63  49 /   0  10  30  20
Troy        64  40  67  49 /   0   0  20  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...89^GSatterwhite
AVIATION...89^GSatterwhite