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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 060727

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0127 AM CST Fri Feb 06 2026

   Valid 061200Z - 071200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Upper ridging will build over the Plains states as a highly
   amplified mid-level trough ejects into the Atlantic today. Surface
   high pressure and an accompanying cool airmass will overspread much
   of the U.S. from the Plains eastward, limiting significant
   wildfire-spread concerns, except over the northern Florida Peninsula
   this afternoon. The passage of a surface trough will encourage 10-15
   mph sustained westerly surface winds as RH dips into the 25-35
   percent range. Given the lack of recent rainfall over northern parts
   of the Peninsula, Elevated highlights have been introduced.

   ..Squitieri.. 02/06/2026
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 060739

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0139 AM CST Fri Feb 06 2026

   Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Predominantly upper ridging will prevail over the central U.S.
   tomorrow (Saturday). However, an embedded mid-level impulse will
   traverse the ridge over the central Rockies and overspread the
   central Plains by afternoon. Surface lee troughing will encourage
   dry downslope flow over portions of the Colorado/Wyoming border into
   western Nebraska, and northeast New Mexico into the northern Texas
   Panhandle by afternoon peak heating. Over both of these areas, 15+
   mph sustained westerly surface winds should overlap with 25 percent
   RH for at least a few hours. Given the lack of recent precipitation
   over these areas, fuels should be dry enough to support some
   wildfire-spread potential, warranting the introduction of Elevated
   highlights.

   ..Squitieri.. 02/06/2026


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 052153

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0353 PM CST Thu Feb 05 2026

   Valid 071200Z - 131200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   A gradual breakdown of the highly amplified ridge across the western
   U.S. is expected through the weekend, with troughing becoming more
   established across the West by the middle of next week. An embedded
   mid-level short wave within the devolving ridge along with deepening
   lee surface troughing across the central/northern Plains will
   present an increased fire weather threat across portions of the
   central and southern Plains on Day 3/Saturday. Fire weather concerns
   could persist for portions of the Southern Plains early next week as
   surface troughing and subsequent stronger southwest flow affects the
   region. 

   ...Day 3/Saturday...
   Dry and breezy conditions within a favorable downslope regime are
   likely across portions of the central High Plains Day 3 Saturday,
   where westerly winds align with low RH and persistently dry fuels.
   Farther south, dry southwest flow south of a deepening lee surface
   trough across the central Plains should support a fire weather
   threat to portions of northeastern NM and the TX Panhandle. 40%
   critical probabilities were maintained for these areas for Saturday.
   An exiting mid-level trough and dry, post-frontal flow is expected
   across the Mid Atlantic/Carolinas region Saturday. However, recent
   precipitation and colder temperatures should mitigate a more
   significant fire weather threat.

   ...Day 5/Monday - Southern High Plains...
   Fire weather concerns could linger across the southern central High
   Plains into early next week as surface lee troughing expands across
   the central Plains in the shadow of increasing mid-level flow over
   the central Rockies. However, increasing ensemble member spread and
   uncertainty regarding the northern extent of return Gulf moisture
   into the southern Plains precludes introduction of critical
   probabilities at this time.

   ..Williams.. 02/05/2026
      




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