ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 190747

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0147 AM CST Fri Dec 19 2025

   Valid 201200Z - 211200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PARTS OF FAR EASTERN NEW MEXICO
   INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE...

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level trough will rapidly translate across the northern and
   eastern CONUS tomorrow (Saturday), resulting in surface high
   pressure overspreading much of the eastern CONUS as a surface low
   drifts south across Texas during the day. Ahead of a surface frontal
   boundary, dry downslope westerly flow will promote 15-20 mph
   sustained westerly surface winds amid 15-20 percent RH for at least
   a few hours Saturday afternoon across parts of eastern New Mexico
   into western Texas, warranting Elevated highlights. Critical
   highlights have also been introduced where guidance consensus
   depicts 20+ mph sustained westerly winds overlapping 15 percent RH
   amid dry fuels along the New Mexico/Texas border.

   ..Squitieri.. 12/19/2025

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 182150

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0350 PM CST Thu Dec 18 2025

   Valid 201200Z - 261200Z

   Zonal flow aloft will prevail over the CONUS this weekend, with
   ridging slowly building over the southern US next week. Strong flow
   aloft will be prevalent around the weak ridging with upper-level
   troughing likely off/near the West and Northeast Coasts. This
   stronger west-southwest flow aloft will result in downslope flow on
   portions of the southern/central High Plains into mid-next week.
   Little to no precipitation is expected for much of the Plains for
   the forecast period. 

   ...Day 3/Saturday: southern High Plains/vicinity...
   West-northwest winds will strengthen ahead of an approaching cold
   front and amid dry downslope flow, likely resulting in
   elevated/critical fire weather conditions across much of west Texas
   into eastern New Mexico. Elevated to locally critical conditions may
   extend into the western Hill country and north Texas as boundary
   layer mixing routinely extends farther east than longer-range
   forecast guidance indicates. The cold front is forecast to arrive in
   the evening with breezy/gusty north-northeast winds and no
   precipitation, but temperatures will cool and RH will increase with
   the frontal passage.

   ...Day 5/Monday - Day 8/Thursday: southern/central Plains...
   Warm/dry conditions will continue on the southern/central Plains
   early into late-next week. Downslope flow will mostly continue on
   the southern/central High Plains with occasional increases as jets
   pass through the background flow. A 40% area was added on Day
   5/Monday across northeast New Mexico, southeast Colorado, and the
   Oklahoma/Texas Panhandles to reflect this potential. While the
   downslope early next week is unlikely to be as strong as this
   week's, it will be sufficient for at least locally elevated
   conditions on portions of the southern/central High Plains over
   multiple days. Additionally, the continued curing of fuels coupled
   with the potential of elevated/critical winds/RH in a multi-day
   event will be monitored going forward with additional probabilities
   likely needed in subsequent outlooks.

   ..Nauslar.. 12/18/2025