ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 031904

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook RESENT 1
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0104 PM CST Fri Feb 03 2023

   Valid 041200Z - 051200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   The previous forecast is largely on track. A low-amplitude shortwave
   trough is expected to push a weak cold front through northeastern
   New Mexico and the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles Saturday afternoon.
   The strongest winds are expected ahead of the front, while the
   lowest RH is expected behind the front, and this displacement
   precludes outlining any Elevated areas on this outlook. See the
   previous discussion for more details.

   ..Supinie.. 02/03/2023

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1245 AM CST Fri Feb 03 2023/

   ...Synopsis...
   A low-amplitude shortwave trough will track eastward from the
   central/southern Plains into the middle MS Valley. In its wake,
   broad/enhanced west-northwesterly midlevel flow will persist across
   the central/southern Rockies -- favoring continued lee troughing and
   breezy surface winds over the southern Plains. While locally
   elevated conditions are possible over northeastern NM into the TX/OK
   Panhandles, the stronger surface winds should be displaced east of
   the more substantial RH reductions -- precluding Elevated highlights
   at this time.

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 032138

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0338 PM CST Fri Feb 03 2023

   Valid 051200Z - 111200Z

   Several mid-level shortwave troughs are expected to traverse the
   CONUS this week. This should promote dry, breezy conditions at the
   surface across the southern High Plains through the period,
   particularly D3/Sunday and D4/Monday. Beyond D5/Tuesday,
   predictability of the individual troughs degrades, though pockets of
   elevated fire risk are possible.

   ...Day 3/Sunday...
   Warm, dry, and breezy conditions are expected to develop across
   eastern New Mexico and the western Texas Panhandle. RH may be near
   10-20% with gusts to 25-30 mph in the region. Fine fuels have begun
   the drying process and are expected to be marginally receptive to
   fire spread by Sunday. Because the elevated fire weather conditions
   are expected to be localized, 40% highlights were withheld on this
   outlook, though an Elevated risk area may be introduced in
   subsequent outlooks.

   ...Day 4/Monday...
   Strong downslope winds are expected to develop again across
   southeast New Mexico and adjacent areas of west Texas on Monday
   afternoon. RH may be in the 5-15% range with gusts to 30-35 mph
   across the region. For these reasons, a 40% highlight has been
   introduced. One mitigating factor for fire risk may be fuels, which
   are currently marginally dry. However, the fine fuels are expected
   to be sufficiently dry for fire spread, given no precipitation
   through at least Monday.

   ..Supinie.. 02/03/2023