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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 231607

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1107 AM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024

   Valid 231700Z - 241200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes
   or additions made.

   ..Squitieri.. 04/23/2024

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0128 AM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024/

   ...Synopsis...
   A midlevel trough will advance east-southeastward from the Midwest
   toward the Northeast through the period, while an upper ridge
   encompasses much of the West. On the backside of the midlevel
   trough, a post-frontal air mass will infiltrate the northern and
   central Plains, where breezy/gusty northerly surface winds are
   expected. Over portions of southern NE and KS, these winds could
   briefly overlap 20-30 percent afternoon RH, favoring locally
   elevated fire-weather conditions -- given receptive fuels across the
   area. However, these conditions appear too brief and marginal for
   Elevated highlights at this time.

   Farther west, dry/breezy conditions are expected across the
   Southwest during the afternoon. However, fuels are generally not
   supportive of large fires at this time.
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 231913

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0213 PM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024

   Valid 241200Z - 251200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   The previous forecast remains unchanged.

   ..Squitieri.. 04/23/2024

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0129 AM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024/

   ...Synopsis...
   A low-latitude midlevel trough accompanied by strong southwesterly
   flow aloft will impinge on the Southwest, where dry antecedent
   conditions will be in place. This will promote a fairly expansive
   area of dry/breezy conditions across the region; however, fuels are
   generally not supportive of large-fire spread at this time.
   Elsewhere, a limited overlap of warm/dry/breezy conditions will
   temper fire-weather concerns.


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 232024

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0324 PM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024

   Valid 251200Z - 011200Z

   An active fire weather pattern will become situated over the
   southern High Plains late this week through the weekend. The passage
   of multiple mid-level troughs will encourage surface cyclone
   development and the eastward surge of a dryline each day
   Thursday-Sunday along the southern High Plains. Critically dry and
   windy conditions will become situated behind the dryline each day,
   with 70% Critical probabilities maintained where very windy and dry
   surface conditions will coincide for several hours during the
   afternoon. Furthermore, locally Extremely Critical surface winds/RH
   cannot be ruled out over portions of eastern New Mexico into far
   western Texas for Day 3/Thursday or Day 5/Saturday, when the core
   mid-level jet stream from both upper-level troughs overspread the
   region. By early next week, the ejection of these mid-level troughs,
   in favor of upper ridging, will encourage a more quiescent fire
   weather pattern over the southern High Plains, though dry surface
   conditions should persist.

   ..Squitieri.. 04/23/2024
      




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