U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL FNUS22 KWNS 181819 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0119 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 04/18/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024/ ...Synopsis... Generally zonal flow will continue over the US ahead of a subtle southern stream trough over northern Mexico. At the surface, a back-door cold front will move into the southern high Plains and Rockies as high pressure intensifies over the central CONUS. With upslope trajectories, cooler temperatures, and weak winds, little overlap of dry and breezy conditions is expected over the southern High Plains. Fire-weather concerns should remain low for most areas. Portions of the Southwest and southern Great Basin are expected to generally remain dry. But, at present, fuels are not receptive and winds are forecast to remain modest limiting the potential for fire-weather concerns.
U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 182041 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024 Valid 201200Z - 261200Z Through the middle of next week, models suggest that the upper-level flow pattern will be quasi-zonal across the CONUS. The strongest upper-level winds will remain across then northern tier states during that same period. For the middle/latter portions of next week, models have suggested that mean troughing will set up in the West. At the surface, after an surge of cooler air reaches into the northern/central Gulf this weekend, some return flow is likely to occur into the southern Plains by the middle of next week. Between cooler temperatures as well as recent/expected precipitation, fire weather concerns will generally be minimal for most locations. Dry weather is expected across parts of the Southwest where fuels continue to dry. As troughing develops in the West, an increase in surface winds would occur. Depending on fuel receptiveness by mid/late next week, some increase in fire weather concerns could occur. ..Wendt.. 04/18/2024
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