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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 201635

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1035 AM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

   Valid 201700Z - 211200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FAR EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE
   TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS...

   ...Update...
   No changes were required for today's forecast. Expect increasing
   westerly winds throughout the afternoon, with RH dropping into the
   low teens to single digits. Please see the previous discussion for
   additional details.

   ..Barnes.. 12/20/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0110 AM CST Sat Dec 20 2025/

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level trough will gradually amplify while traversing the Great
   Lakes today, encouraging the southward translation of a weakening
   surface low across the southern Plains. As a result, dry downslope
   flow is expected across portions of eastern New Mexico into western
   Texas ahead of a southward-sagging surface cold front today. During
   the afternoon, with boundary-layer mixing, RH will drop below 20
   percent over several locales as sustained westerly surface winds
   exceeding 15 mph becomes abundant, warranting the continuation of
   Elevated highlights. Guidance consensus continues to depict
   overlapping 20+ mph sustained westerly surface winds amid 15 percent
   RH along portions of the New Mexico/Texas border, where Critical
   highlights have been maintained.
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 201923

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0123 PM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

   Valid 211200Z - 221200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Update...
   No changes are needed for the Day 2 forecast. Please see the
   discussion below for additional information.

   ..Barnes.. 12/20/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0112 AM CST Sat Dec 20 2025/

   ...Synopsis...
   Upper ridging will prevail over much of the CONUS tomorrow (Sunday),
   with surface high pressure becoming established east of the
   Mississippi River as surface lee troughing and associated southerly
   flow overspreads the Plains states. While breezy conditions are
   likely across parts of the central into southern Plains, modest
   moisture return may accompany the windy southerly flow, which may
   limit wildfire-spread potential. As such, overall quiescent fire
   weather conditions are likely across the CONUS on Sunday.


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 202237

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0437 PM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

   Valid 221200Z - 281200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Increasing mid to upper-level heights are expected over the central
   and southern CONUS by early next week as a ridge migrates eastward
   over Chihuahua Mexico and into the Southern Plains. This ridge will
   continue to drift eastward through mid to late next week over the
   Gulf, while troughing begins to impact the Pacific Northwest.
   Persistent west to southwest mid-level flow across the Rockies will
   aid in lee troughing throughout next week, and the potential for
   some breezy winds at the surface across the Central and Southern
   High Plains.

   ...Southern High Plains...
   Breezy westerly downslope winds are expected to impact the TX and OK
   Panhandles and east-central NM by Monday/D3. Low critical
   probabilities will remain in the forecast here, though there are
   some indications of only locally critical RH being reached.
   Decreasing surface wind speeds will accompany a decreasing surface
   pressure gradient Tuesday/D4 across this same region. By
   Wednesday/D5, however, increasing downslope flow will return as a
   lee trough deepens. This stronger surface flow will likely be more
   confined to the northwestern/western TX/OK Panhandles and far
   northeastern NM, where low critical probabilities remain in place
   from the previous forecast. In addition, fuels across this landscape
   will become more receptive to fire start/spread with very little to
   no sign of appreciable precipitation and above average
   temperatures/low relative humidity anticipated through the extended
   forecast.

   ..Barnes.. 12/20/2025
      




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