U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL FNUS22 KWNS 171858 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 PM CDT Wed Apr 17 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the current forecast. ..Wendt.. 04/17/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0153 AM CDT Wed Apr 17 2024/ ...Synopsis... Predominately zonal mid-level flow is expected over the CONUS by D2/Thursday. Stronger westerly flow is expected to gradually shift east as weak high pressure builds over the West. At the surface, a cold front is forecast to move across much of the plains ushering in a cooler air mass. Surface high pressure behind the front should keep winds modest over much of the central US. The only exception to this may be across parts of far northeast NM and southern CO. Here, the dry air mass may remain sheltered from the cold front supporting at least brief localized fire-weather conditions D2/Thursday afternoon. Otherwise, fire-weather potential appears limited across the CONUS.
U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 172040 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0340 PM CDT Wed Apr 17 2024 Valid 191200Z - 251200Z Given recent and expected precipitation across much of the CONUS through the extended forecast period, fire weather concerns should remain low for most areas. Portions of the Southwest and southern Great Basin are expected to generally remain dry. At present, fuels are not receptive and winds are forecast to remain rather light. Toward mid to late next week, models are in reasonable agreement that a broad trough will be in the West. Some potential for an increase in fire weather concerns will exist in parts of central/western New Mexico where fuels may become dry enough to support fire spread. This increase will coincide with increasing winds as the trough moves eastward. Confidence in critical fire weather occurring is too low for highlights. ..Wendt.. 04/17/2024
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