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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 171612

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1112 AM CDT Wed Apr 17 2024

   Valid 171700Z - 181200Z

   No changes to the ongoing forecast.

   ..Wendt.. 04/17/2024

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Wed Apr 17 2024/

   ...Synopsis...
   Behind the weakening upper low, flow aloft is forecast to trend more
   zonal and weaken as the general pattern de-amplifies. Still, some
   stronger westerly flow will linger over parts of the southern
   Rockies through the forecast period. A lee low will bolster
   low-level surface flow off the Rockies and into the adjacent High
   Plains this afternoon and evening. Warm temperatures are expected
   along with the dry downslope flow. This should support afternoon min
   RH values of 10-15% across much of eastern NM and southern CO. While
   winds are not expected to be overly strong (generally 10-15 mph) a
   few hours of dry and breezy conditions are possible. With area fuels
   dry, elevated fire-weather conditions are likely.
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 171858

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0158 PM CDT Wed Apr 17 2024

   Valid 181200Z - 191200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   No changes to the current forecast.

   ..Wendt.. 04/17/2024

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0153 AM CDT Wed Apr 17 2024/

   ...Synopsis...
   Predominately zonal mid-level flow is expected over the CONUS by
   D2/Thursday. Stronger westerly flow is expected to gradually shift
   east as weak high pressure builds over the West. At the surface, a
   cold front is forecast to move across much of the plains ushering in
   a cooler air mass. Surface high pressure behind the front should
   keep winds modest over much of the central US. The only exception to
   this may be across parts of far northeast NM and southern CO. Here,
   the dry air mass may remain sheltered from the cold front supporting
   at least brief localized fire-weather conditions D2/Thursday
   afternoon. Otherwise, fire-weather potential appears limited across
   the CONUS.


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 172040

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0340 PM CDT Wed Apr 17 2024

   Valid 191200Z - 251200Z

   Given recent and expected precipitation across much of the CONUS
   through the extended forecast period, fire weather concerns should
   remain low for most areas. Portions of the Southwest and southern
   Great Basin are expected to generally remain dry. At present, fuels
   are not receptive and winds are forecast to remain rather light.
   Toward mid to late next week, models are in reasonable agreement
   that a broad trough will be in the West. Some potential for an
   increase in fire weather concerns will exist in parts of
   central/western New Mexico where fuels may become dry enough to
   support fire spread. This increase will coincide with increasing
   winds as the trough moves eastward. Confidence in critical fire
   weather occurring is too low for highlights.

   ..Wendt.. 04/17/2024
      




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