ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 250614

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0114 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024

   Valid 261200Z - 271200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS
   AND SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO...

   ...Synopsis...
   A midlevel low and attendant surface cyclone will advance
   northeastward from the central Plains into the Upper MS Valley. On
   the backside of this system, a belt of strong deep-layer
   west-southwesterly flow will persist across a post-dryline
   environment over southern NM and parts of the southern High Plains.
   This will favor another day of critical fire-weather conditions
   across the region during the afternoon. 

   ...Southern New Mexico and much of the Southern High Plains...
   Along the southwestern periphery of the primary surface cyclone, a
   tight pressure gradient will persist across the area. This, combined
   with boundary-layer mixing into the strong flow aloft, will yield
   20-25 mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds (with higher
   gusts). At the same time, continued downslope flow amid a dry
   antecedent air mass will contribute to 10-15 percent afternoon RH.
   As a result, critical fire-weather conditions are expected across
   southern NM and much of the southern High Plains, given increasingly
   dry fuels over the area.

   ..Weinman.. 04/25/2024

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 241945

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0245 PM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

   Valid 261200Z - 021200Z

   A pair of mid-level troughs will traverse the southern Plains Friday
   into this weekend, supporting surface cyclone development and a
   trailing dryline surging eastward across the southern High Plains
   each day. Critically dry and windy conditions are expected, with 70
   percent Critical probabilities maintained for portions of the
   southern High Plains where dry and windy conditions will overlap
   through much of the afternoon for both Friday and Saturday. By
   Sunday, the second mid-level trough will eject into the middle
   Mississippi Valley region, prompting some weakening of the surface
   winds behind the dryline over the southern High Plains, where only
   40 percent Critical probabilities have been maintained. Thereafter,
   upper-level ridging will set in over the Plains states, with dry
   conditions persisting over the southern High Plains. Another
   mid-level trough will impinge on the Interior West by the middle of
   next week. Dry and windy conditions should overspread the region,
   though questions remain regarding fuel receptiveness, precluding the
   addition of Critical probabilities.

   ..Squitieri.. 04/24/2024