ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 060443

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1143 PM CDT Mon Oct 05 2026

   Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   On Day 2/Wednesday, an upper-level jet streak will continue
   advancing southeast over the northern Plains and Great Lakes
   regions. This will be accompanied by a cold front moving across
   portions of the Midwest with northwesterly surface winds near 15-20
   mph in its wake. However, RHs will fail to drop below 30%, which
   only reinforces the already limited fuel receptiveness, precluding a
   notable fire weather concern.

   ..Stearns.. 10/06/2026

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 052151

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0451 PM CDT Mon Oct 05 2026

   Valid 071200Z - 131200Z

   ...Discussion...
   A lingering upper-level ridge will undergo further suppression on
   Days 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday as the upper-level jet continues to dive
   southward along its northeastern periphery. This pattern looks to
   fully break down the high as yet another higher-amplitude trough
   approaches the Pacific Northwest on Day 5/Friday. Forecast guidance
   currently indicates that this system will introduce increased winds,
   but also usher in cooler temperatures and precipitation chances over
   the Pacific Northwest and Northern Rockies primarily on Days
   6-7/Saturday-Sunday.

   On Day 5/Friday, the pressure gradient will begin to tighten ahead
   of the aforementioned upper-level trough moving southeastward into
   the Pacific Northwest. Southwesterly flow ahead of this impending
   trough is likely to support widespread strong surface winds
   (sustained near 20 mph) amid above-normal temperatures and dry
   afternoon RH near 10-20%. After several days of dry conditions and
   above-normal temperatures through the workweek, fuels will be
   conditioned for ignition across much of the central latitudes of the
   western CONUS as this wind event approaches. Thus, an area of 40%
   probability of Critical wind/RH conditions have been introduced over
   much of the MT/WY plains on Day 5/Friday, and maintained across much
   of WY on Day 6/Saturday. Further adjustments may be necessary to the
   outlined risk areas as the pattern evolution becomes more clear.

   ..Elizalde-Garcia.. 10/05/2026