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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 021626

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1026 AM CST Wed Dec 02 2020

   Valid 021700Z - 031200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR COASTAL RANGES OF SOUTHERN
   CALIFORNIA...

   The ongoing forecast is on track and no changes are needed.  Areas
   of gusty winds are expected to continue today amidst poor overnight
   recovery of RH, with gusts of 40-70 mph in terrain-favored areas. 
   Where fuels are dry, extreme fire behavior (particularly spotting)
   may exist.

   See the previous discussion below for more information.

   ..Cook.. 12/02/2020

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1231 AM CST Wed Dec 02 2020/

   ...Synopsis...
   A fairly strong region of surface high pressure, recently analyzed
   over the northern Rockies, is forecast to gradually shift southward
   today. This feature will generally follow behind an upper-level low
   as it continues to dig southward and deepen through the day. As the
   surface high migrates to the south, offshore pressure gradient winds
   are forecast to increase across southern California (where warm and
   dry conditions have been ongoing for the past several days). 

   ...Southern California...
   Surface observations from the higher elevations of Los Angeles and
   Ventura counties show poor overnight RH recoveries (RH values in the
   low teens) and sustained winds in the upper teens for a few
   locations. These elevated conditions will persist through the day
   and most likely increase in coverage as the aforementioned surface
   high shifts further into the Great Basin. Initially isolated pockets
   of critical conditions will also see an increase in coverage across
   southern CA, especially this evening after roughly 03 UTC Thursday
   when mid-level winds are forecast to increase and may yield stronger
   wind gusts (up to 35-45 mph in a few locations). Guidance remains in
   good agreement that the 12-15 UTC Thursday period should see the
   strongest pressure-gradient winds, but areas of persistent critical
   conditions appear likely as early as late tonight and into the early
   morning hours Thursday.

   

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