ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 150532

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1132 PM CST Sun Dec 14 2025

   Valid 161200Z - 171200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   Some modest breakdown of the upper ridge across the CONUS can be
   expected on Tuesday. A weak front will move out of the High Plains.
   There will be some increase in mid-level winds across the Rockies as
   well. Where sufficient downslope warming occurs within the
   central/southern High Plains, fire weather could approach elevated
   criteria locally. Confidence in location/duration are too limited
   for highlights.

   ..Wendt.. 12/15/2025

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 142048

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0248 PM CST Sun Dec 14 2025

   Valid 161200Z - 221200Z

   Confidence in the potential for critical fire weather conditions
   remains limited for the country through the extended period.
   Long-range guidance and cluster analyses continue to trend towards a
   more active upper-level flow regime heading into the upcoming work
   week. This pattern shift will favor surface cyclone development
   across Plains/Midwest with most guidance showing a reasonably strong
   signal for intense cyclone development across the northern
   Plains/Great Lakes during the D4/Wed to D5/Thur period. A similar
   signal for cyclone development is noted heading into the upcoming
   weekend (albeit with considerably higher model/ensemble
   variability). In general, this synoptic regime will promote
   rain/snow chances from the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies
   into the Midwest and southeastern states with predominantly dry and
   warm conditions expected for the Southwest and southern Plains. 

   ...D5/Thursday - D7/Saturday - Central/Southern High Plains...
   A return to warm and dry conditions is anticipated for the work week
   with temperatures expected to climb into the mid/upper 60s for
   portions of the southern High Plains by mid-week. These temperatures
   will reside near the 90th percentile of seasonal normal for the
   region, and will promote steady dead/dormant fuel drying through
   late week. The development of a series of strong surface lows and
   cold frontal passages beginning D4/Wed and lasting through the
   weekend may support strong enough winds for periods of elevated to
   critical fire weather conditions across portions of the central and
   southern High Plains each afternoon. While most deterministic and
   ensemble solutions generally agree in the overall pattern,
   considerable variability persist among guidance. This limits
   confidence in which day/regions will see the greatest fire weather
   threat, though risk probabilities may eventually be needed as model
   consensus improves in the coming days.

   ..Moore.. 12/14/2025