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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 
2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical 
Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2026. During the off-season, 
Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions 
warrant.

$$
Forecaster Bucci
NNNN
    

000
AXNT20 KNHC 031729
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun May 3 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
1710 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES... 

Gulf of America Gale Warning: The Gale Warning has expired, but
strong to near-gale force NE winds continue in the SW Gulf
offshore Veracruz. Seas are currently 8-12 ft. Winds and seas will
quickly diminish overnight into Monday morning. Please read the 
latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center 
at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
information.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The tropical wave is along 39W, from 10N southward, moving west at
10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is south of the equator,
west of 30W, including coastal sections of Brazil. Most of the 
wave continues to move through a hostile dry environment which 
inhibits other impacts.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16W, then 
continues SW to near 03N20W. The ITCZ extends from 03N20W to NE 
Brazil near 02S36W. Aside from the convection described in the
TROPICAL WAVES section, scattered moderate convection is from 03N
to 07N east of 17W. 

GULF OF AMERICA...

Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section above for information on 
a Gale Warning for the SW Gulf.

The late-season cold front extends from Miami, FL, to just north
of the Florida Keys, to the northern tip of the Yucatan Peninsula,
to 1012 mb low pressure centered in the SE Bay of Campeche. North
of the front, surface observations and satellite scatterometer
data indicate moderate to fresh NE winds, diminishing to gentle
speeds along the northern Gulf Coast. Seas are 4-7 ft across the
basin. Scattered showers and tstorms are along and ahead of the
front, including within the Yucatan Channel and the Straits of
Florida. 

For the forecast, the cold front will stall and gradually wash 
out by Mon morning over the far SE Gulf and Straits of Florida. 
Strong to near-gale force NW winds offshore of Veracruz will 
diminish later today. Elsewhere, fresh N to NE winds will continue
behind the front into tonight. Expect Mon and Tue to see 
quiescent conditions prevailing across the Gulf. Moderate to fresh
SE to S return flow will set up in the W Gulf Tue night into Thu.
Looking ahead, another cold front - albeit weaker - may reach the
NW Gulf by Thu.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

Moderate to fresh trades prevail across the eastern and central 
Caribbean, with gentle winds elsewhere. Seas are 3-6 ft across the
basin. Scattered moderate convection associated with the
equatorial trough continues to flare up in the south-western 
Caribbean offshore Colombia, Panama, Costa Rica, and southern 
Nicaragua.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High north 
of the area and the Colombian Low will support pulsing fresh to 
strong trades over the S central Caribbean, and moderate to fresh 
trades over the remainder of the E and central Caribbean for the 
next several days. A weakening cold front is approaching the 
Yucatan Channel today. After the cold front dissipates near the 
Yucatan Channel on Mon, expect SE winds over the Gulf of Honduras 
to increase to fresh to strong Tue through Thu. 

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends from 31N72W to Miami, FL. Scattered showers
and tstorms are along and ahead the frontal boundary. Recent
satellite scatterometer data depicts moderate to fresh NE to N
winds north of the front, with 4-7 ft seas. Elsewhere across the 
tropical and subtropical Atlantic, high pressure prevails, 
anchored by 1021 mb high near 26N57W and 1019 mb high near the 
Canary Islands. Moderate or weaker winds and 4-7 ft seas prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will reach from 
31N59W to a low pressure area forming near 27N77W Mon morning. The
low will ride along the frontal boundary to be just south of 
Bermuda Tue morning with the front extending southwestward to the 
central Bahamas. The front should be dissipating by Wed morning. 
Expect fresh to strong SW winds south of the front today, followed
by fresh to strong NE winds north of the front on tonight and 
Mon. Looking ahead, conditions should become quiescent Tue through
Thu. 

$$
Mahoney
  

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 PM PST Sun Nov 30 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 
2025 Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather 
Outlook will resume on May 15, 2026 for the eastern North Pacific 
and on June 1, 2026 for the central North Pacific. During the 
off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as 
conditions warrant.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs
NNNN
    

000
AXPZ20 KNHC 031540
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Sun May 3 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Gulf of Tehuantepec Gale Warning: A late-season Tehuantepec gap 
wind event will last from this morning through early Mon morning,
as a ridge persists across the eastern slopes of the Sierra 
Madre Mountains in Mexico, behind a cold front moving across the 
Gulf of America. These gap winds will reach minimal gale-force 
through tonight, along with seas peaking at 10 to 12 ft. As the 
ridge shifts eastward on Mon, both winds and seas should subside 
quickly and allow marine conditions to rapidly improve.

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at websites: 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml 

Climatologically, the first gale-force event of the season occurs
in mid-October, with the final gale-force event occurring in 
late March or early April. Occasionally, gale-force events may 
occur as early as September, and as late as May. 

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from near the Costa Rica/Panama border
to 07N96W. The ITCZ continues from 07N96W to 06N120W to beyond 
07N140W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 02N to
10N between 82W and 94W. Similar convective activity is noted
from 10n to 12n between 122W and 128W. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A Gale Warning is in effect for the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Please 
read the Special Features section above for details. 

A ridge dominates the offshore forecast waters of Baja California
supporting gentle to moderate NW to N winds and moderate seas. 
In the Gulf of California, mainly light to gentle winds and slight
seas are noted. Elsewhere along the Mexican forecast waters, and
outside of the Tehuantepec region, light to gentle winds and seas
of 3 to 5 ft in mixed swells prevail.

For the forecast, aside from the gale conditions in the Tehunatepec
region, fresh to strong S to SW winds and moderate seas are expected
in the northern Gulf of California this evening and tonight. Elsewhere,
mainly gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas are
expected.  

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Gentle to moderate S to SW winds seas are noted south of the equatorial
trough while W to NW winds are to the north of it. Seas are in general
3 to 5 ft in primarily SW swell. Meanwhile, scattered moderate convection
continues to develop across the offshore forecast waters from Colombia
to Nicaragua. Gusty winds, frequent lightning, and higher seas are
likely near thunderstorms. 

For the forecast, abundant tropical moisture and surface convergence
will persist across the offshore waters from Colombia to Nicaragua,
including the Gulf of Panama, through early this week, continuing
to support the development of showers and thunderstorms across 
the area. Otherwise, fresh easterly winds are expected in the 
Papagayo region tonight through Mon night. Elsewhere, gentle to 
moderate winds and moderate seas, in primarily southerly swell, 
are expected through midweek.  

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Strong winds aloft are advecting abundant multilayer clouds over
the NW waters into Baja California Norte. A ridge continues to 
dominate the forecast waters N of 15N and W of 110W, including 
the Revillagigedo Islands. The pressure gradient between the 
ridge and lower pressures in the vicinity of the ITCZ supports
moderate to fresh trade winds mainly W of 120W. Latest scatterometer
data confirmed the presence of these wind speeds. Elsewhere under
the influence of the ridge, gentle to moderate winds are noted.
Outside of the trade wind zone, mainly moderate seas are 
observed.

High pressure building southeastward from north of the Hawaiian 
Islands is going to tighten the pressure gradient north of the 
ITCZ. In response, trade winds north of the ITCZ to about 18N 
and west of 130W are going to increase to fresh to strong speeds 
strong Mon through Tue, also sustaining the rough seas. A 
combination of NW and southerly swells should support moderate 
seas for the remaining waters through most of the week.

$$
GR
  

No Storms to Report