ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 
2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical 
Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2026. During the off-season, 
Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions 
warrant.

$$
Forecaster Bucci
NNNN
    

000
AXNT20 KNHC 011724
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Feb 1 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Atlantic Storm Warning: A strong arctic cold front extends from 
the low pressure to 31N67W to east Cuba. To the E, another cold
front is analyzed from 31N62W to 20N72W. Storm force NW winds are
expected W of the first front, mainly N of 28N and E of 74W, 
while gale force NW winds prevail N of 25N between and W of 66W. 
Another area of gale force SW winds is E of the fronts mainly N of
29N between 57W-62W. Very rough to high seas will prevail in 
these areas, expected to peak to 29 ft tonight along 30N. Rough 
seas prevail across most of the basin N of 22N. The storm force 
winds will diminish tonight by 02/00Z, while the gale force winds 
will follow the fronts and diminish by 02/12Z. Seas across the 
forecast domain will slowly subside starting at midweek as high 
pressure in the wake of the fronts shift eastward near 29N. 
Mariners are urged to exercise caution across the basin, including
outside of the storm and gale condition affected zones, due to 
the expansive area of strong to near gale force winds and 
associated rough seas. Please keep up with the latest forecasts.

Please read the latest High Seas Forecasts at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more information.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 11N15W then continues
to 04N18W. The ITCZ continues from that point to 00N50W. Scattered
moderate convection is noted along the ITCZ.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A tight pressure gradient between strong high pressure building 
across the area and the cold front that is now well southeast of 
the Gulf is supporting fresh to strong NW winds across the eastern
half of the basin, while moderate to fresh winds prevail W of 90W. 
Rough to very rough seas prevail across the basin, with highest
values E of 89W. 

For the forecast, winds and seas will diminish from NW to SE 
across the Gulf through tonight as the high pressure begins to 
shift eastward across the northern Gulf. Another cold front is 
expected to enter the northwestern Gulf Wed, reach from the 
Florida Panhandle to the western Gulf by Wed afternoon, and from 
southwest Florida to the eastern Bay of Campeche by early Thu 
afternoon, then move southeast of the Gulf by early Thu evening. 
Fresh to strong northerly winds and building seas are expected 
behind this next frontal system. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA... 

A strong arctic cold front extends from eastern Cuba to 15N84W 
and to along the southern coast of Honduras. To the E, another 
front is analyzed from 20N73W to 12N83W. Strong to near gale- 
force NW winds and rough seas are found behind these boundaries. A
surface trough extends from eastern eastern Hispaniola to north 
Colombia. Fresh to strong northerly winds and rough seas are 
evident between the trough mainly S of 13N. Moderate to fresh 
easterly winds and moderate seas are noted in the eastern 
Caribbean E of the trough.

For the forecast, the two cold fronts will merge late this 
afternoon, and then overtake the trough as it reaches from Puerto 
Rico to northwestern Colombia by this evening. It will then begin 
to stall from eastern Puerto Rico to northwestern Venezuela Mon 
and Mon night. Strong to near-gale force north winds and rough 
seas are expected behind this front. By early Tue, fresh to strong
NE to E winds will prevail roughly west of a line from the Virgin
Islands to northeastern Colombia to central Cuba along with seas 
to near 12 ft. These winds and seas will likely diminish in 
coverage on Wed and further on Thu as another cold front 
approaches the northwestern Caribbean. 

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please see the Special Features section for details on ongoing 
Storm and Gale Warnings for sections of the western Atlantic.

Outside of the Storm/Gale Warnings areas, a cold front enters the
central Atlantic waters near 31N29W and continues southwestward 
to 26N40W then becomes stationary to 27N50W. Moderate to fresh SW
winds and rough seas are found ahead of the front to 30W and 
north of 29N. The remainder of the basin is under the influence of
a 1025 mb high center located near 28N28W. Moderate to fresh 
northeast to east winds and rough seas are found south of a line 
from Morocco to the Leeward Islands. Moderate to fresh southeast 
winds and rough seas are also evident from 20N and 25N and between
50W and 65W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate to 
rough seas prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, please see the Special Features 
section above.

$$
ERA
  

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 PM PST Sun Nov 30 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 
2025 Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather 
Outlook will resume on May 15, 2026 for the eastern North Pacific 
and on June 1, 2026 for the central North Pacific. During the 
off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as 
conditions warrant.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs
NNNN
    

539 
AXPZ20 KNHC 011416
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Sun Feb 1 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1400 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Gulf of Tehuantepec Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between 
high pressure across eastern Mexico and the eastern north Pacific
monsoon trough is supporting strong gale-force winds up to 45 kt,
and seas to near 18 ft, in the Tehuantepec region. Winds will 
very gradually diminish, falling below gale-force by Tue 
morning. Another gale force gap wind event is possible in 
Tehuantepec starting the middle of the week.

Gulf of Papagayo Gale Warning: Fresh to strong NE to E gap winds
in the Gulf of Papagayo will reach near-gale to gale-force tonight
through Tue morning as an Arctic high pressure building over the
eastern United States helps tighten the pressure gradient. Seas 
will peak near 12 ft with these winds. 

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 07.5N78W to 05.5N90W to
06.5N121W. The ITCZ extends from 06.5N121W to 04N130W to beyond
05N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 00N to 08.5N
between 77W and 83W, and from 07N to 10N between 124W and 140W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A Gale Warning is in effect for the Gulf of Tehuantepec through 
early this week. Please see the Special Features section above 
for more details.

Aside from the Gulf of Tehuantepec, the pressure gradient 
between surface ridging west of the Baja Peninsula and a surface 
trough over western Mexico is supporting moderate NW winds in 
the northern Gulf of California, and offshore Baja California N
of Cabo San Lazaro. Seas are slight to moderate over these 
waters. Elsewhere, winds are moderate or weaker with moderate 
seas.

For the forecast aside from the Gulf of Tehuantepec, a set of NW
swell will impact the waters W of the Baja California peninsula 
late tonight through Tue. Another set of large NW swell will 
enter the waters off Baja California Norte the end of the week. 

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

A Gale Warning is expected for the Gulf of Papagayo starting 
tonight. Please see the Special Features section above for more 
details.

Fresh to strong winds prevail over the Papagayo region, as well
as in the Gulf of Panama. Otherwise, gentle to moderate winds 
and moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast, aside from the Gulf of Papagayo, a gale-force 
gap wind event over the Gulf of Tehuantepec will produce rough 
to very rough seas over the western Guatemala and El Salvador 
waters through the early part of the week, and then again late
this week with another gap wind event in the Gulf of Tehuantepec.
Swell generated from the Gulf of Papagayo gap wind event will 
merge with this area to maintain rough and confused seas early 
this week. Fresh to strong northerly gap winds along with rough 
seas will impact the Gulf of Panama through Tue night, with 
similar conditions in the Gulf of Fonseca.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A cold front is over the NW waters from 30N132.5W to 24N140W. 
Scattered showers are in the vicinity of this front. The front 
has ushered in a set of large NW swell, with seas in the 8 to 14 
ft range behind the front. Elsewhere, surface ridging prevails 
across the waters north of 20N. The pressure gradient between the
ridge and lower pressure in the vicinity of the ITCZ is 
supporting moderate trades north of the ITCZ to near 18N and west
of about 125W. Elsewhere, moderate winds, and moderate seas in 
mixed swell, prevail.

For the forecast, the aforementioned cold front will weaken 
and dissipate later today. The very rough seas greater than 12 
ft will impact the waters N of 20N and W of 130W through today, 
with the rough seas greater than 8 ft spreading SE to cover the 
waters NW of 04N140W to 30N120W by early Mon before starting to 
subside below 8 ft. Seas with this swell will subside below 8 ft 
by the middle of the week. Another set of large NW swell will 
move into the NW waters early Tue, and bring rough to very rough 
seas across the same general waters through the remainder of the 
week. Fresh to strong southerly winds will impact the NW waters
much of this week with a gale-force system just to the NW of 
30N140W.

$$
Lewitsky
  

No Storms to Report