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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 
2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical 
Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2026. During the off-season, 
Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions 
warrant.

$$
Forecaster Bucci
NNNN
    

125 
AXNT20 KNHC 151034
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Dec 15 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
1020 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Western Atlantic Gale Warning: Gale-force northwest to north 
winds and rough seas of 10 to 16 ft in north swell are spreading
into the Atlantic waters east of 78W early this morning, behind an
arctic cold front that extends from 31N70W to near Palm Beach, 
Florida. These gale conditions are expected to persist immediately
behind the front this morning, as it moves southeastward, before 
gale- force winds behind the area remain north of 31N by early 
afternoon. Otherwise, widespread strong to near-gale force 
northerly winds producing very rough seas in northwest to north 
swell are expected behind the front today. The N swell will reach
the islands of the northeast Caribbean late Tue night into early 
Wed as it merges with easterly trade wind swell moving through the
regional waters. Seas will begin to gradually subside from NW to 
SE Wed through Wed night. Please read the latest High Seas 
Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more 
information.

East Atlantic Significant Swell Event: Large, long period N to 
NE swell continues to affect most of the eastern tropical and 
subtropical Atlantic. Seas of 12 ft or greater are currently from
08N to 21N between 26W and 49W, and from 10N to 21N east of 24W, 
where peak seas are 13 ft, per recent satellite altimeter data. 
Global wave models show northerly swell of 14 to 16 seconds 
mixing with NE swell of 9 to 10 seconds across this area. With 
persistent fresh to strong northeast trade winds, the area of 12 
ft or greater seas will expand westward to near 50W this morning 
Mon before they slowly subside from NE to SW going into Tue. For 
information east of 35W please read the latest High Seas Forecast 
issued by Meteo- France at website: 
https://wwmiws.wmo.int/index.php/metareas/affiche/2. For 
information west of 35W, please read the latest High Seas 
Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 07N12.5W, and
continues southwestward to 04N23W, where it transitions to the 
ITCZ to 03N32W to 04.5N40W to 04N49W. Numerous moderate to 
isolated strong convection is seen from 02N to 07.5N, and east of
32W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 02N to 06.5N
between 32W and 38W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

An arctic cold front extends from near Naples, Florida to near
Tampico, Mexico as a large 1040 mb high pressure system across the
eastern U.S. builds in over the basin behind it. A few showers are
noted along the front across central and west portions. The very 
tight pressure gradient between the front and the high pressure is
bringing strong to near-gale force northeast winds, with gusts to
gale force north of the front per latest ASCAT data. Seas with 
these winds are in the 8 to 11 ft range based on the latest 
satellite altimeter data. The latest ASCAT satellite data shows 
gentle to moderate north to northeast winds elsewhere across the 
basin south of the front, where seas are 4 to 6 ft. 

For the forecast, the aforementioned cold front will continue to 
move south across the basin and exit the Gulf tonight. Strong 
northerly winds and building seas will follow the front. High 
pressure will dominate the Gulf region in the wake of the front 
Tue through Thu. Looking ahead, the next cold front is expected to
move into the NW Gulf Thu evening and reach from near Tampa Bay 
to SE Texas Fri evening then lift northward and dissipate.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Atlantic high pressure has shifted eastward into the central 
Atlantic. As as result, the trade winds over the eastern 
Caribbean have diminished to moderate speeds, but continue at 
fresh speeds across the south-central Caribbean waters. Gentle to
moderate trade winds are over the western Caribbean. Seas of 5 to
8 ft prevail over most of the basin east of about 82W, with the 
exception of higher seas of 7 to 9 ft from 11N to 15N between 73W 
and 81W. Lower seas of 3 to 5 ft are west of 81W. Otherwise, a 
trough is analyzed over the northwestern Caribbean. Scattered 
moderate to strong convection is depicted south of 13N, and west 
of 80W in association to another surface trough offshore of
Nicaragua, and the eastern Pacific monsoon trough extending across
Costa Rica and Panama.

For the forecast, fresh trade winds and moderate seas will prevail over
the south central Caribbean through Tue as Atlantic high pressure
remains well NE of the region. Elsewhere, fresh to locally strong
trade winds and rough seas in large E swell will persist over the
tropical Atlantic waters, through the Atlantic passages and into 
the eastern part of the basin through Tue. A cold front will 
enter the northwestern Caribbean this evening, accompanied by 
increasing winds and building seas. This front is expected to 
reach from central Cuba to N Belize Tue morning, then will stall 
and gradually dissipate through Wed. High pressure will build into
the W Atlantic Wed through Fri to bring a return to fresh to 
strong trades across the central Caribbean.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please see the Special Features section for more information on 
a Gale warning for the western Atlantic waters offshore northern 
Florida, and for a significant swell event in the eastern 
Atlantic.

An arctic cold front continues to move southeastward across the
western Atlantic this morning, extending from near 31N70W to near
Palm Beach, Florida. Outside of the areas of northerly gales
immediately behind the front, strong to near-gale force NW to N winds
and very rough seas follow the front. Seas well offshore of NE
Florida have built to 8 to 12 ft in the past few hours. A trough 
is analyzed from near 29N72W southwestward to northwestern 
Bahamas. Isolated to scattered moderate convection is found along 
the trough. Another surface trough to the southeast, and a deep 
layered trough are supporting scattered moderate isolated strong 
convection north of 23.5N between 61W and 71W. Gentle to moderate
south to southwest winds are found along the troughs, except for 
moderate to fresh northwest winds north of 29N. Gentle to moderate
northerly winds are spreading across the Bahamas and adjacent
waters ahead of the front. Seas are 5 to 7 ft west of the 
troughs, except for lower seas of 2 to 5 ft across the Bahamas. 

A 1031 mb high pressure is near 38N36W. A tight pressure gradient
between the high pressure and relatively lower pressure across the
tropics to its south is sustaining fresh to strong trade winds 
over the waters south of about 25N and east of 60W. Seas of 8 to 
13 ft prevail with these trade winds, as noted above in the 
Special Features section.

For the forecast W of 55W, Gale-force winds will continue immediately
behind the cold front east of the Bahamas through midday today. 
Otherwise, the front will continue to progress southeastward and be
followed by strong to near gale-force northerly winds and quickly
building seas through this evening. The front will reach from 
31N57W to the central Bahamas and through the Straits of Florida 
by Mon evening, stall from 30N55W to the SE Bahamas and central 
Cuba by Tue morning, then slowly dissipate through Wed afternoon. 
Large N swell will build across the regional waters behind the 
front today through Tue before subsiding. The Bermuda High will 
dominate the regional waters Thu through Fri. 

$$
Stripling
  

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 PM PST Sun Nov 30 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 
2025 Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather 
Outlook will resume on May 15, 2026 for the eastern North Pacific 
and on June 1, 2026 for the central North Pacific. During the 
off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as 
conditions warrant.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs
NNNN
    

000
AXPZ20 KNHC 151446
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Mon Dec 15 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1400 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Gulf of Tehuantepec Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between 
the high pressure over Mexico and the eastern north Pacific 
monsoon trough will lead to gale-force northerly winds to prevail
across the Gulf of Tehuantepec through Tue morning. Winds may
peak just about 40 kt this evening. By Tue afternoon, the high 
pressure will begin to shift eastward and weaken. Rough seas will
are expected with the strongest winds, peaking around 15 ft
tonight. Please read the latest High Seas issued by the 
National Hurricane Center at website: 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more 
information.
 
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 08.5N78W to 08N97W to 06N103W to
08N113W. The ITCZ continues from that point to 08N128.5W. A 
surface trough is analyzed from 14N126W to 08N129.5W. The ITCZ 
then resumes W of the trough from 08N130.5W to beyond 04.5N140W. 
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 06N to 11N between
77W and 100W, from 09N to 13.5N between 102W and 116W, and from
07N to 18.5N between 121W and 133.5W. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A Gale Warning is in effect for the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Please 
see the Special Feature section for more details.

A 1024 mb high center is analyzed just N of the area near 
32N128W. Its associated ridge extends to near the Revillagigedo 
Islands. The related pressure gradient is allowing for gentle to 
moderate northwest to north winds and slight to moderate seas 
over the Mexican offshore waters N of 17N. Light and variable 
winds and slight seas prevail elsewhere between 13N to 17N 
outside of the Tehuantepec area.

For the forecast, gale-force winds over the Gulf of Tehuantepec 
will prevail through Tue morning. Elsewhere, mainly gentle to 
moderate winds and moderate seas will prevail through the middle 
of the week. Fresh to strong northerly winds and rough seas will 
develop mainly just beyond the offshore waters of Baja 
California Norte by the middle part of the week. Moderate to 
fresh winds will pulse near Cabo Corrientes during the middle of 
the week. Fresh to strong gap winds may return in the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec by the end of the week into next weekend.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh to strong northeast winds prevail in the Gulf of Papagayo 
region as high pressure builds in N of the Caribbean with lower 
pressures along the monsoon trough over southern Costa Rica and 
Panama. Light to gentle winds are elsewhere N of 08N. Moderate 
seas is noted in the Gulf of Papagayo. S of 08N, gentle to 
moderate southerly winds and moderate seas prevail, except slight
seas nearshore Colombia and eastern Panama. Active convection is
present near Panama and Costa Rica as described above with
locally higher winds and seas possible.

For the forecast, building high pressure north of the Caribbean
will continue to support pulsing fresh to strong easterly trade 
winds and moderate seas across the Gulf of Papagayo through 
midweek, possibly returning Fri night into next weekend. Rough 
seas will develop this afternoon in the far offshore waters of 
Guatemala through Tue due to a Gulf of Tehuantepec gale-force gap
event. Moderate to fresh northerly winds will pulse in the Gulf 
of Panama this week. Gentle to moderate winds and slight to 
moderate seas will prevail elsewhere.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A 1024 mb high center is analyzed just N of the area near 
32N128W. Its associated ridge extends to near the Revillagigedo 
Islands. The pressure gradient between the high and relatively 
lower pressures associated to a trough that extends in the
W-central waters as described above is bringing moderate to 
fresh trade winds from 09N to 209N and W of 120W or so. Rough 
seas prevail over these waters in mixed swell along with wind 
generated seas. Moderate southerly winds and moderate seas are 
occurring S of the monsoon trough and ITCZ. Mainly gentle to
moderate winds and moderate seas prevail across the remainder of
the open waters.

For the forecast, the surface trough in the W-central waters will
move westward through the early part of the week while 
weakening. High pressure will build further over the northern 
waters into the middle portion of the week leading to a 
tightening of the pressure gradient that will cause fresh to 
strong easterly winds and rough seas over much of the tradewind 
belt west of 120W. Over the eastern part of the area, fresh to 
strong easterly winds and rough seas associated with the gale- 
force gap wind event in the Gulf of Tehuantepec will spread 
westward to near 106W from 08N to 12N through Tue. Seas will
build to rough near 30N140W later today through Tue night in NW
swell. Meanwhile, a tight pressure gradient will develop offshore
southern California leading to fresh to strong winds and rough
seas in the N-central waters mid-week.
 
$$
Lewitsky
  

No Storms to Report