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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 140653

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0153 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

   Valid 141200Z - 151200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   A midlevel trough and belt of south-southwesterly flow aloft will
   advance east-northeastward across the Southwest on Friday. A surface
   low south of south-central NM will promote modestly breezy westerly
   surface winds across southeastern AZ and southwestern NM. Given a
   deep/dry boundary layer across the area (single-digit RH), elevated
   to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. The
   primary limiting factor for the addition of a Critical area
   continues to be marginal surface winds (15-20 mph). Across northern
   Arizona on the fringe of better moisture located across the Four
   Corners into western New Mexico, isolated dry thunderstorms will be
   possible along the Mogollon Rim. 

   Enhanced westerly flow aloft will move into the base of a
   mid-level trough across the Northwest Friday afternoon. The
   associated downslope flow across the Cascades and Sierra will favor
   locally dry/breezy conditions across portions of northwestern NV and
   eastern WA/northeastern OR where fuels have dried sufficiently to
   support fire spread. As a result, elevated conditions are expected
   for both areas, with locally critical conditions possible in
   northwestern NV -- where 20-25 mph sustained westerly surface winds
   are expected.

   ..Thornton.. 06/14/2024
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 140654

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0154 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

   Valid 151200Z - 161200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level trough will remain in place across the western US on
   Saturday with a belt of enhanced west to southwesterly flow moving
   across the Cascades into the Northern Rockies. This will bring
   potential for breezy/dry downslope flow to overspread dry fuels in
   the lee of the Cascades across western Washington/northern Oregon
   within the Columbia Basin. Afternoon relative humidity reductions to
   15-25 percent will overlap sustained winds 15-20 mph. Locally
   Critical fire weather concerns will be possible, though Critical
   winds appear too localized to include any areas at this time. 

   Ahead of the western US trough, a surface trough across southern
   Nevada into western Arizona will bring breezy/dry conditions across
   southern Nevada into southwestern Utah and northwestern Arizona,
   where relative humidity reductions into the teens to single digit
   will overlap sustained southwesterly flow around 10-15 mph. This
   warrants inclusion of an Elevated delineation as fuels are
   critically dry across this region.

   ..Thornton.. 06/14/2024


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 132152

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0452 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

   Valid 151200Z - 211200Z

   Broad cyclonic mid-level flow will persist over the northwestern
   quadrant of the CONUS through late next week as an upper ridge
   dominates the central and eastern CONUS. Several days of
   wildfire-spread potential are evident over the Interior West as
   multiple mid-level troughs pivot around the broad cyclonic flow
   aloft. The first in a series of mid-level troughs will overspread
   the Pacific Northwest on Day 3 (Saturday), with dry and windy
   conditions overspreading drying fuels to the lee of the Cascades,
   and farther south across southern portions of the Great Basin. By
   Days 4-5 (Sunday and Monday), a broader and more amplified mid-level
   trough will traverse the Interior West, supporting dry and windy
   conditions atop receptive fuels from portions of the California
   Valley area, to the Great Basin and Desert Southwest. The best
   chance for Critically dry and windy conditions atop receptive fuels
   will be over southern Utah into much of northern and central Arizona
   and far western New Mexico, where 70 percent Critical probabilities
   have been added. Thereafter, the mid-level trough will depart the
   region. Dry conditions will persist, but questions remain regarding
   the strength of the surface wind field, precluding the addition of
   Critical probabilities for Days 6-8 (Tuesday-Thursday).

   ..Squitieri.. 06/13/2024
      




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