118
FXUS64 KFWD 061733
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1233 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Quiet weather is expected through the upcoming weekend, with
  cool nights and warm afternoons.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Wednesday)
Issued at 1233 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

Pleasant, early-fall weather will continue through Wednesday as
dry air and light east-northeast winds remain settled over North
and Central Texas. Expect afternoon highs in the low to mid 80s
beneath sunny skies across most of the region both today and
Wednesday, inching toward 90 degrees west of Hwy 281 where
southerly winds will re-establish on the western periphery of a
surface ridge. Clear skies, light winds, and dry air will allow
for temperatures to fall into the mid 50s to low 60s once again by
early Wednesday morning across North and Central Texas (near-
normal for this time of year).

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 1233 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

Surface ridging will remain extended from the the Midwest toward
North Texas, keeping light east-northeast surface winds over our
forecast area through at least the end of the work week. This will
allow for those pleasant, sunny afternoons with highs in the low
to mid 80s to continue into at least Friday. A more easterly
component to the surface wind field will draw slightly greater
moisture into North and Central Texas late Friday into the
weekend, mostly noticed by warmer overnight lows in the mid 60s.

We will be monitoring the phasing of an upper-level low with a
tropical disturbance over the Gulf this weekend which could bring
higher PWATs and low rain chances to parts of East Texas late
Saturday into early next week. The bulk of this rainfall will
remain well east of our forecast area near the Mississippi River
Valley. In fact, this circulation could keep east-northeasterly
surface winds over our forecast area into the first half of the
weekend allowing for another mild, pleasant day on Saturday with
highs in the low to mid 80s. More appreciable moisture return will
likely hold off until early next week with any real rain chances
holding off until at least midweek next week as broad troughing
develops over the western CONUS.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1233 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

VFR conditions and light east-northeasterly surface winds
generally below 8 KT will prevail through the TAF period at all
North and Central Texas terminals. Winds will become near-calm and
variable after sunset this evening.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 110 AM CDT Mon Oct 5 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    62  84  63  85 /   0   0   0   0
Waco                61  85  64  86 /   0   0   0   0
Paris               57  85  59  86 /   0   0   0   0
Denton              58  85  59  86 /   0   0   0   0
McKinney            58  83  59  84 /   0   0   0   0
Dallas              62  86  64  86 /   0   0   0   0
Terrell             58  87  61  87 /   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           59  88  63  89 /   0   0   0   0
Temple              60  85  63  86 /   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       57  87  57  87 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Langfeld
LONG TERM....Langfeld
AVIATION...Langfeld