771
FXUS64 KCRP 021127
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
527 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 522 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

- Warming conditions through most of the week

- Low to medium rain chances Tuesday and Wednesday

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1132 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

With onshore flow returning to the region, expect things to continue
to warm through the early portions of the week. Highs will return to
the 60s and 70s today with 80s expected out west by Tuesday. There
is a chance that we could see some coastal/marine fog to develop as
moisture pools back into the region Monday night into Tuesday.
Dewpoints are progged to increase into the upper 50s and lower 60s,
the caveat being the water temperatures. We will have to monitor
water temperatures around from now to then to see if they will
increase above those temps. We will see a weaker cold front swing
through the region Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. This will
bring low to medium rain chances in the mainly the Victoria
Crossroads. Guidance has continued to back off on the rain chances
in the region and continue to shift further east. Therefore, it will
be worth monitoring the trend. Highs and lows don`t come down too
much from in the wake of the front. Highs will be in the 60s before
returning to the 70s and 80s heading into the weekend. Lows will be
in the 40s and 50s generally.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 522 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

VFR conditions currently prevail across South Texas with the
exception over the Victoria Crossroads where fog has impacted VCT
and caused periodic LIFR vsby and cigs. There will still be a few
hours of potential MVFR vsby and cigs across other terminals this
morning but VFR conditions will prevail by the afternoon across
all sites. Southeasterly winds will strengthen to a sustained
15-20 knots with gusts around 25 knots this afternoon. Winds will
weaken but hover around 10 knots overnight tonight, limiting fog
chances but still maintain a medium chance for MVFR ceiling
development inland.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1132 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

A gentle onshore breeze (BF 3) is expected to increase today to
moderate to strong breeze (BF 4-6) through Tuesday with Small Craft
Advisory conditions likely. Conditions will subside briefly to a
more gentle to moderate breeze Tuesday night. Another cold front
moves through Tuesday night into Wednesday morning increasing winds
once again. This will likely lead to Small Craft Advisory conditions
once again. There is a low to medium chance for showers Tuesday and
Wednesday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1132 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

RH will continue to increase today with onshore flow continuing to
pump moisture back into the region. ERC values remain generally low,
and the potential for critical fire conditions is low. There is a
low to medium chance for showers toward the middle of next week
mainly in the northern Coastal Bend as a cold front swings through
the area. Relative humidity values will fall behind the front to low
levels (<30%) again around but winds will remain generally at light
levels. ERCs will increase around the 50-89th percentile in the
Brush Country to portions of the Coastal Plains which may warrant at
least a Fire Danger Statement. Will continue to monitor how this
unfolds through the week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    70  60  78  56 /   0   0   0  10
Victoria          70  56  76  48 /   0  10  20  30
Laredo            73  57  79  53 /   0  10   0   0
Alice             73  57  81  52 /   0   0   0   0
Rockport          67  57  72  52 /   0  10  10  30
Cotulla           70  54  77  50 /   0   0   0   0
Kingsville        73  59  81  55 /   0   0   0  10
Navy Corpus       68  61  72  56 /   0  10  10  20

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$


DISCUSSION...NP/92
AVIATION...EMF/94