265
FXUS64 KOHX 060444
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1144 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1143 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

- Fair weather through tomorrow with cool nights and mornings.

- Warming temperatures beginning Wednesday with near-record highs
  this weekend.

- No meaningful rainfall expected over the next several days.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 1110 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

High pressure and northwest flow aloft will reside across the
region today and tomorrow which will dictate stable weather.
Daytime temperatures are fairly seasonal with cool nights and
mornings. A subtle shortwave/clipper will ripple through the
northwest flow tomorrow which brings daytime temperatures down a
couple degrees from today (Monday).

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Monday)
Issued at 1110 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

High pressure and low-level ridging will move east of Tennessee on
Wednesday which will allow for a transition to southerly low-level
flow and height rises. This will be the beginning of a warming
period that will persist into this weekend as deep-layer ridging
strengthens across the Southeast. As such, temperatures will
remain above-normal for the remainder of the forecast period.
Unfortunately the ridge will be fairly steadily positioned in the
region which displaces better tropospheric moisture/rainfall to
our west. The forecast is dry and very warm by this weekend with
highs flirting with record values. This is not good news for
drought conditions. In fact, current medium-range guidance and
ensembles are not too optimistic for meaningful rain through the
next 10 days.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1143 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

Very quiet conditions thanks to high pressure in the region. Winds
are N to NNW through the morning and afternoon at 7-10 kts, and
less gusty.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      64  41  70  44 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    62  40  70  43 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     59  36  63  40 /  30   0   0   0
Columbia       64  39  69  43 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     59  38  65  41 /  10   0   0   0
Jamestown      59  36  64  39 /  20   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   63  39  67  42 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   64  39  69  42 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        63  40  70  44 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Sizemore
LONG TERM....Sizemore
AVIATION.....Sizemore