886
FXUS64 KOHX 061718
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1218 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1216 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

- Dry weather expected through Friday with cool nights and warm
  days.

- Medium rain chances (<60%) this weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Wednesday)
Issued at 1123 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

Clear skies continue for Middle Tennessee as high pressure takes
over at the surface. Today, while dry and sunny, is looking better
on the fire weather front thanks to much lighter winds in the area.
Highs today will get into the low to mid 80s as we continue to
bounce back to above-normal temperatures after that cold front.
Overnight expect lows in the upper 40s to low 50s and clear skies.
Coolest spots each morning will be in the valleys and higher
elevations. Wednesday looks much the same as today, with a few more
clouds around Middle Tennessee.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday Night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1123 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

Mostly benign weather for the forecast period, starting with a
moisture deprived trough Thursday. The associated cold front is so
weak that we`re not expecting much of a change, if any, in
temperatures into the weekend. Guidance has become more clear on our
next rainmaker, which looks to be tropical in nature. With the
influx of Gulf moisture this weekend, this looks to be a good
drought busting event, at least currently. QPF looks like over 0.75
inches areawide, with some areas getting a few inches. Hopefully,
this trend keeps on as we approach the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1216 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

VFR conditions prevail with light and variable winds. Winds will
shift out of the west-southwest after 15Z Wednesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      58  85  58  87 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    54  85  57  87 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     51  79  53  81 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       56  86  56  89 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     55  80  55  82 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      54  79  55  80 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   56  85  56  88 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   56  86  55  88 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        56  82  57  85 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Holley
LONG TERM....Holley
AVIATION.....Baggett