148
FXUS64 KOHX 011741
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1141 AM CST Sun Nov 1 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1131 AM CST Sun Nov 1 2026

- Look for medium to high rain chances this afternoon and into the
  evening.

- Monday and Tuesday look to be rain-free, then another soaking
  rainfall will arrive during the middle of the week.

- Warmest temperatures will occur on Tuesday, with a gradual
  cooling trend afterwards.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Monday)
Issued at 1131 AM CST Sun Nov 1 2026

A broad area of light to moderate rainfall continues to impact the
mid state as a shortwave makes its way across the region. MRMS
rainfall estimates show that a significant portion of southwest
Middle Tennessee has received 1 to 3 inches of rainfall already,
with lesser amounts occurring elsewhere. The heaviest
precipitation will exit the mid state by nightfall, but rain
chances will still linger into the evening, mainly north of I-40.
High pressure will follow behind the departing shortwave tomorrow,
with a couple of rain-free days to start the new week.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday Night through next Sunday)
Issued at 1131 AM CST Sun Nov 1 2026

A strong cold front and upper trough will begin to impact Middle
Tennessee Tuesday night and especially Wednesday as another
soaking rain spreads across the region. Temperatures will peak in
the mid and upper 70s most areas on Tuesday, then look for
readings to gradually taper off to (or slightly below) seasonal
norms by the end of the week. No hazardous weather is expected
anytime soon. Hopefully the much-needed rainfall this week can at
a minimum put the brakes on any further worsening of the drought.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1108 AM CST Sun Nov 1 2026

A disturbance crossing the region will bring widespread light
showers with MVFR cigs/vsbys early this afternoon. The showers
will taper off west to east this afternoon and evening, allowing
cigs/vsbys to improve to mainly VFR by tonight. Winds will be SSE
5-10 KT through the period, with some daytime gusts up to 20KT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      63  52  73  58 / 100  30  10   0
Clarksville    62  52  73  59 / 100  30  10   0
Crossville     60  47  68  51 /  70  20  10   0
Columbia       63  52  73  58 / 100  20  10   0
Cookeville     63  52  71  57 /  80  30  10   0
Jamestown      63  50  70  54 /  70  40  10   0
Lawrenceburg   62  51  72  57 / 100  10  10   0
Murfreesboro   64  52  74  58 /  90  20  10   0
Waverly        61  53  72  61 / 100  20  10   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Rose
LONG TERM....Rose
AVIATION.....13