252
FXUS64 KMAF 011713
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1113 AM CST Sun Nov 1 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1108 AM CST Sun Nov 1 2026

- Patchy fog will develop over portions of southeast New Mexico
  and West Texas early this morning.

- Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms may clip
  portions of southeast New Mexico late Sunday night. A storm or
  two may be strong to marginally severe, capable of producing
  strong and gusty winds.

- Increasing southerly winds shifting to westerly Monday, with
  strong westerly winds (40-50 mph, gusts 65 mph) over the
  Guadalupes/Delawares. A High Wind Watch is in effect.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday afternoon)
Issued at 205 AM CST Sun Nov 1 2026

Current observations show extensive low clouds across the area
once again. Most visibilities are good though fog is becoming more
dense in the northwestern Permian Basin and southeastern New
Mexico. It is still too sparse to issue a Dense Fog Advisory but
will continue to monitor. The low clouds will hang in for much if
not all of the day, keeping temperatures near normal. An
approaching trough will cause isolated convection to form in SE NM
where one or two storms could become severe, though the severe
threat will be low.

Winds veer from a more westerly direction tonight ahead of the
trough, pushing moisture to the east and allowing for clearing
skies. Winds will increase, especially in the Guadalupe Mountains
where a High Wind Watch remains in effect for Monday. Breezy to
windy conditions are expected in the lower elevations and
downsloping will push temps back up above normal.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 205 AM CST Sun Nov 1 2026

The trough pushes east on Tuesday sending a weak cold front into
the CWA. Temperatures drop back down only to near normal where
they will continue through the end of the week. The upper pattern
is zonal and any systems moving across the country will be weak
and fast moving moving from west to east. The lack of any systems
moving down out of Canada prevents any strong cold air intrusion
for our forecast period.

Hennig

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1108 AM CST Sun Nov 1 2026

IFR/LIFR cigs will persist into the overnight hours, mainly
KCNM/KHOB/KPEQ, w/MVFR KMAF. Models are not handling this very
well, and expect a lot of variability next 12 hrs or so. However,
as winds veer to westerly near the end of the forecast period,
expect conditions to rapidly scatter out to VFR as westerlies
increase and become gusty.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               76  64  81  55 /  20  10   0   0
Carlsbad                 78  61  75  52 /   0  10   0   0
Dryden                   77  63  82  60 /   0   0   0  10
Fort Stockton            82  64  84  55 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           74  57  66  47 /   0  20   0   0
Hobbs                    74  60  74  50 /  10  10   0   0
Marfa                    76  56  76  48 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport     75  64  79  54 /  10   0   0   0
Odessa                   76  64  79  54 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     79  63  79  54 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...High Wind Warning from 8 AM CST /7 AM MST/ to 9 PM CST /8 PM
     MST/ Monday for Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
     Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

NM...High Wind Warning from 7 AM to 8 PM MST Monday for Guadalupe
     Mountains of Eddy County.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...94
LONG TERM....94
AVIATION...99