585
FXUS65 KVEF 021127
AFDVEF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
327 AM PST Mon Feb 2 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Quiet weather continues through the week with gradually warming
  temperatures and breezy north winds along the Colorado River
  Valley.

* Pattern change expected this weekend. Details remain uncertain
  at this time.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Today through Sunday.

Ridging continues through much of the work week, resulting in quiet
weather, dry conditions, and generally light winds. The exception
will be along the Colorado River Valley where gusty north winds will
elevate as a result of a weak shortwave passage along the flow
aloft. These gusty winds will occur on Tuesday and Wednesday
afternoons with speeds between 25 and 35 mph, which will increase
wave heights on Lake Mohave and Lake Havasu to 1 to 3 feet.
Otherwise, temperatures will remain well-above normal through the
forecast period, with afternoon highs 10 to 15 degrees above
seasonal normals.

Through the week, ensemble means continue to show a closed low off
the coast of Baja California slowly moving northward along the
shoreline. Late-week, this low will weaken into an open wave, phase
with another incoming system from the eastern Pacific, and will push
into the Desert Southwest. Details remain uncertain at this time,
with ensemble ECMWF means favoring a swath of light rain across the
Mojave Desert and ensemble GFS means favoring hit-or-miss sprinkles.
This pattern change continues into the start of next week as
troughing returns to the western CONUS.

&&

.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 12Z Forecast Package...Winds
through the forecast period will be around 5-7KT, generally
following typical daily directional patterns. Bands of mid-level
and high clouds will gradually clear out through this afternoon,
but with bases at or above 15kft, operational impacts are not
expected. VFR conditions prevail.


For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...For the 12Z Forecast Package...Across most of the
region, winds will remain around 5-10KT, following typical daily
directional patterns with some variability. The exception will be
along the Lower Colorado River Valley in the vicinity of KIFP,
where elevated terrain-enhanced northerly winds with intermittent
gusts to 15-20KT are expected late this morning into this
afternoon, with winds becoming elevated again overnight. VFR
conditions will prevail, with mid-level and high clouds between
15-20kft gradually clearing from north to south through early
evening.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Soulat
AVIATION...Phillipson

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