684
FXUS64 KJAN 020530
AFDJAN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1130 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

  - Rain chances pick up late Tuesday into Wednesday before drier
    conditions late week into next weekend.

&&

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...
Issued at 928 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

Although northwest flow aloft will continue across our CWA
tonight, a >1030mb surface high centered over the Louisiana coast
will shift east resulting in a low level southerly wind. This
south wind will help keep temperatures warmer than last night.
Temperatures have already dropped below freezing and were on track
to bottom out in the low to mid 20s which is still colder than
normal. /22/

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 114 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

Surface high pressure over the Lower MS Valley will continue to
bring quiet conditions for the next couple of days.
Tonight`s lows (low/mid 20s) will remain below freezing across
the area. As the high continues southeastward, highs (upper 40s-near
60 degrees)/low (ranging in the 30s-40s) will continue to run below
seasonal to near seasonal averages. Moisture return is expected
ahead of the an incoming shortwave trough, bringing showers and an
isolated t-storm chances back on Tuesday into Wednesday with the
greatest chances Tuesday evening. Areawide PoPs between 50-90% are
expected, setting up for a wet mid-week. A frontal boundary will
swing through Wednesday afternoon/evening dropping overnight lows
back to the 20s. Once the boundary passes, quieter weather pattern
expected as another surface high settles into the southeast. Temps
will return to seasonal averages by the end of the period. /SW/

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1130 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

Quiet conditions will persist through the entire TAF period with
VFR ceilings prevailing. /CR/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       25  60  41  63 /   0   0   0  70
Meridian      22  57  36  65 /   0   0   0  50
Vicksburg     27  59  42  61 /   0   0   0  80
Hattiesburg   25  60  38  69 /   0   0   0  20
Natchez       27  62  43  65 /   0   0   0  60
Greenville    25  52  40  53 /   0   0   0  90
Greenwood     25  55  40  56 /   0   0   0  90

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

22/SW/CR