004
FXUS64 KLCH 060442
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1142 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Rainfall the past 24 hours did increase fuel moisture in the
  short term in many areas. However we may see fire weather
  concerns due to breezy conditions and low humidity Monday and
  Tuesday afternoons.

- Some rain chances return Wednesday through Saturday. However,
  many locations will remain dry through this time frame. Rain
  will be isolated to scattered, and somewhat hit and miss.

- A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for our marine zones.
  North winds will gust from 20 to 30 knots at times into Monday,
  bringing wave heights into the 3 to 7 ft. range.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Tonight through next Sunday)
Issued at 1110 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

It was a chilly night across southeast Texas and much of Louisiana
as a dry continental airmass surged through the region from the
north. Overnight lows will drop into the 50s while mostly cloudy
skies and north breezes persist.

Some rain was falling along the northern Gulf, however, most of
this will not make it to the coast.

A broad shortwave trough will slowly approach the area from west
Texas. It`s possible this feature will help force isolated to
scattered showers beginning Wednesday, but until then, chances
favor dry and mild weather. Temperatures will be fantastic with
highs in the 70s. Overnight lows will drop into the 40s and 50s
through Wednesday.

Easterly trajectories across the Gulf will support dry air
advection across our region, limiting the amount of moisture
increases we see across the deep south the rest of the week. This
could lead to another extended period of dry weather over the
next 7 to 12 days for most of us.

In the meantime, upper ridging builds across the eastern half of
the conus while a deep trough builds out west. Some of this
western energy will bring active weather to the plains next week.
It`s uncertain weather or not southeast Texas or portions of
Louisiana will get in on this action.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1110 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

Pilots flying in and out of the southeast Texas and southwest
Louisiana airports can expect VFR conditions over the next 24
hours.

Northeast breezes could gust up to 15 to 25 knots Monday morning
but decreasing in the afternoon. Mid and high level clouds look to
persist well into the PM hours of Monday.

Chances are starting to favor another extended period of dry
weather across the region beyond the 24 TAF cycle.

Safe Travels

&&


.MARINE...
Issued at 1110 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect until Monday PM for our
marine zones. Northeast gusts of 15 to 25 mph will bring wave
heights ranging from 3 to 7 feet. Wind speeds will begin to
decrease toward Monday evening and night.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1110 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

Despite the recent rainfall, not enough fell to improve drought
conditions much. There were some areas that received over an
inch, but most locations received anywhere from a 0.10 to 0.75 of
an inch. Any help from this rain will be short term, and fire
weather concerns will quickly come back by Monday and Tuesday
afternoons.

Relative humidity will drop below 30 percent in most locations as
winds gust into the mid to upper teens. Chances are low for red
flag criteria, however, elevated fire weather conditions will be
messaged with this morning`s suite of graphical products.

Beyond Tuesday afternoon, relative humidity should increase
sufficiently to lower the risk for a rapid spread in wildland
fires.

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM CDT Monday for GMZ430-432-450-
     452-455.

     Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM CDT Monday for GMZ470-472.

     Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM CDT Tuesday for GMZ475.

&&

$$

PUBLIC/FIRE/MARINE...29
AVIATION...29