834
FXUS63 KPAH 191651
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1151 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A significant warming trend will send temperatures rising
  15-25 degrees above normal by this weekend.

- A cold front will bring a small and decreasing chance
  (10-20%) of showers and thunderstorms east of the Mississippi
  River Sunday evening.

- Temperatures will cool back to near normal late March values
  early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1151 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026

Relatively tranquil weather conditions are apparent across the
region today. Patchy high clouds dot the western half of the
quad-state on the nose of a modest jet max pushing into and east
of the area. Dry, warmer and mostly sunny conditions persist
through tomorrow with the main noticeable differences being
a slightly stronger southwest breeze and temperatures peaking
about 8 degrees higher. Saturday looks a little warmer still.

Good model agreement on a fairly strong cold front moving
through Sunday although there is also pretty good agreement that
it will be a dry passage due to a lack of column moisture,
particularly in the mid-levels. I`m a little skeptical of a dry
March front, but will hold the line for now keeping a breezy and
dry day in place. Behind the front temperatures drop back closer
to seasonal norms with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s.
With a general trend warming back up somewhat into the middle of
next week. There are no obvious major/trackable weather systems
or hazards through the rest of the forecast period.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1151 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026

VFR conditions are forecast through the period. Southwest winds
will ease overnight before picking back up a little stronger
during the day on Friday.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JGG
AVIATION...JGG