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FXUS63 KDDC 021715
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1115 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Above normal temperatures today and again late week into the
weekend

- A slight chance of a wintery mix Tuesday night but accumulations
will be little to none

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 223 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

The upper level ridge currently over the Rockies will continue to be
flattened as an upper level trough of low pressure digs into the
Northern Plains today and into the Central Plains tonight. This will
help push a weak cold front through the area this afternoon shifting
southwesterly winds to the north. No precipitation is expected with
this disturbance with only an increase in high level cloudiness.
This will be short lived as skies clear by Tuesday morning. A
secondary weak cold front moves through the area tomorrow night.
There may be enough moisture for a few light showers to fall Tuesday
night and may mix with snow since the temperatures will be around
freezing. Little if no accumulation is expected with increasing
cloudiness overnight. As for temperatures, highs today should once
again reach into the 60s with the exception of central Kansas where
50s will be observed. Lows tonight will dip into the upper 20s with
highs tomorrow in the 50s. Lows tomorrow night will dip to around 30
degrees.

The synoptic pattern for the remainder of the forecast will be
described with an upper level ridge building over the Rockies with
an upper level trough over the eastern United States. This will
place western Kansas under northwest flow aloft suppressing any
significant weather to occur. A few weak shortwaves will move down
from this flow allowing for a few surface cold fronts to move
through the area, but only expect an increase in high level
cloudiness. As for temperatures, highs will reach into the 50s
Wednesday with upper 50s to mid 60s for the remainder of the
forecast. Lows will generally be in the upper 20s to mid 30s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1115 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

VFR conditions will prevail throughout the 18z TAF period. A
wind shift is beginning to move southward across the area, and
winds will be from northerly direction through the afternoon.
Breezier conditions can be expected at GCK and LBL compared to
DDC and HYS, with sustained winds around 15 knots to the west
and 10 knots farther east. Northwest winds 5-10 knots will be
most prevalent into tonight and into Tuesday morning.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...Bennett