522
FXUS62 KFFC 041052
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
652 AM EDT Mon May 4 2026


...New 12Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Shower and thunderstorm chances return mid week (Wednesday and
  Thursday). There is high uncertainty in the exact timing and
  intensity of any precipitation.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 219 AM EDT Mon May 4 2026

High pressure across the region will keep mostly clear skies over
the state today with some increasing clouds Tuesday. The ridge is
elongated with the axis angled from NE to SW across central GA.
The main center of the ridge moves east through the day and slowly
weakens its grip on the state through Tuesday afternoon. We will
see increasing cloud cover from the NW ahead of the next system
that will bring increased precip chances to the state in the
extended periods. Dry conditions will continue with minimum
Relative Humidity values slowly increasing in the short term. With
the ridge slowly moving out the winds turn to the SW allowing
Gulf moisture to slowly increase across the region. RH values will
dip down into the lower 30s today but with the light SW winds a
fire danger statement should not be needed. The RH values will
still need to be monitored today as the RH values could get very
close to critical thresholds (<30%). RH values Tues will dip down
into the upper 30% to lower 40% range so not expecting any fire
weather concerns.

One big thing this ridge will do is allow temps to rebound to near
and slightly above seasonal norms. Will see temps today mainly in
he 70s to near 80 with highs Tuesday in the upper 70s to middle
80s. Low temps will get down into the 50s Tue morning.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 219 AM EDT Mon May 4 2026

Another front is expected on Wednesday and into Thursday. While this
front is still a few days out, models are in good agreement that
plenty of instability will build during the day on Wednesday.
Temperatures will climb into the low to mid 80s with dewpoints in
the low 60s. The GFS forecast soundings, as a result generate enough
instability to warrant us keeping a close eye on the forecast as it
evolves over the next few days.

Temperatures in the upper 70s and low 80s will cool falling the cold
front Thursday into Friday. Highs will reach the 70s areawide and
overnight lows in the 40s and low 50s. Rain chances may linger into
the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 617 AM EDT Mon May 4 2026

Mostly clear skies with no precipitation or restrictions to VSBYs.
Winds are light and variable this morning. Wind will increase out
of the W to SW in the 5-10kt range this afternoon. Winds will
diminish to 5kt or less after sunset.

//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...
Confidence high on all elements.

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          78  51  81  60 /   0   0   0  10
Atlanta         78  54  80  62 /   0   0   0  10
Blairsville     75  47  74  56 /   0   0  10  30
Cartersville    79  52  80  60 /   0   0   0  20
Columbus        78  51  82  60 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     78  52  79  61 /   0   0   0  20
Macon           78  52  82  59 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            79  51  80  61 /   0   0  10  30
Peachtree City  78  50  81  59 /   0   0   0  10
Vidalia         80  55  85  62 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....Vaughn
AVIATION...01