199
FXUS62 KFFC 261724
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
124 PM EDT Tue May 26 2026


...New 18Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...

  - An unsettled weather pattern brings continued widespread
    showers and thunderstorms for most of the remainder of the
    week and into the weekend.

  - A Flood Watch remains in effect through late this evening and
    has been expanded to include all of west Georgia and most of
    north Georgia.

  - A few strong to severe thunderstorms remain possible each
    afternoon and evening, primarily producing localized damaging
    wind gusts.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 251 AM EDT Tue May 26 2026

With no pattern change in our immediate future, the daily wet and
stormy weather will persist today through Wednesday.  There is some
lingering rainfall affecting portions of the area this morning amid
the continued conveyor of deep moisture northward across the area,
but fortunately coverage and intensity (and rainfall rates) have
been on a general downward trend. The most notable change this
morning comes in the way of an expanded Flood Watch that now covers
roughly the northwest two-thirds of the area through late this
evening. Given the last several days have brought multiple waves of
rainfall that have caused localized areas to pick up 5+" of
rainfall, the additional widespread convection this afternoon will
lead to locally heavy rainfall on already saturated soils. The Day 1
Excessive Rainfall Outlook from WPC for today supports this
continued threat for localized flash flooding with a broad swath of
the area under the "Slight" categorical risk. As has been the case
the last several days, training/lingering storms can be expected to
drop 2-3+" of rain in a few spots.

As alluded to above, Wednesday will bring another day characterized
by deep southwest flow supportive of additional widespread afternoon
and evening convection. Locally heavy rainfall will remain a threat,
though the overall coverage and potential may begin to trend
downward slightly as compared to today.

Again, no widespread severe threat is expected, though a few
isolated storms could breach severe limits and produce strong
downburst winds.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 251 AM EDT Tue May 26 2026

Wet Conditions Continue Through the Weekend:

Mild and humid conditions with daily rounds of showers and storms
will continue through the rest of the week and over the weekend.
This is primarily due to persistent low to mid-level southerly
flow pooling a moist airmass (PWAT values of 1.5-2") up over the
area from the Gulf. Thursday may actually end up being one of the
relatively drier days of this stretch of wet weather, as a mid-
level ridge briefly builds over the area and attempts to suppress
convection. Despite its best efforts, we will likely still see
scattered afternoon showers and storms due to the moist airmass
and diurnal instability. Activity looks to ramp back up again for
Friday and Saturday as low pressure slides into the lower
Mississippi Valley and sets a frontal boundary up over the
region. This will lead to increased forcing and instability over
the area, and also bring PWAT values up to around 2", supporting
widespread showers and storms each day. Given the recent stretch
of wet weather and the potential for heavy rain, another Flood
Watch may be needed for this timeframe. While no widespread
severe weather is anticipated, this pattern would certainly
support strong instability with gusty downburst storms. High
temperatures will continue to be in the 70s to 80s, with lows in
the 60s.

Confidence in the forecast starts to drop from Sunday into early
next week as model guidance has quite a bit of spread, but the
most likely scenario is that the wet weather pattern continues
into at least Monday, with potential drying by the middle of the
week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 112 PM EDT Tue May 26 2026

Generally SCT-BKN MVFR to low-VFR conds expected thru the aftn.
Waves of pcpn will once again develop thru the evening, with the
best window for direct terminal impacts in TSRA from 18-23Z.
2-4SM vsbys psbl in heavy pcpn. Passing -SHRA may linger thru
01Z. Deterioration back to BKN/OVC IFR likely by 05-06Z, with
TWRINC psbl from 08-15Z. Winds will generally remain out of the
SW/SSW at 5-8kts, ocnl nearly due S this aftn. Another round of
TSRA exp tmrw aftn, covg may be lower than in previous aftns.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium confidence all elements.

96

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          82  65  83  66 /  90  50  50  10
Atlanta         80  67  82  68 /  90  40  50  20
Blairsville     75  62  78  62 /  90  60  60  30
Cartersville    81  66  83  66 /  90  40  60  30
Columbus        82  67  85  67 /  80  40  50  10
Gainesville     79  66  81  67 /  90  50  50  20
Macon           84  66  85  66 /  80  30  40  10
Rome            80  66  83  66 /  80  50  60  30
Peachtree City  81  66  83  66 /  90  40  60  10
Vidalia         89  69  88  69 /  50  50  50  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch until 11 PM EDT this evening for GAZ001>009-011>016-
019>025-027-030>038-041>050-052>060-066>072-078>082-089>094-
102>104.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RW
LONG TERM....Culver
AVIATION...96